Market Talk

[MR CARLO]

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Better to leave some on the table, than to not take any home. This is what J.P. Morgan meant when he said, "I never knew anyone who went broke taking a profit."

Today thursday 100% G fund. The profits this week have been very kind. My risk tolerance is not as high as some. I'll wait for the penny in the G fund and walk away for the rest of the week worry free. Also I fear a reversal thurs or fri. Good luck to all.

 

[Rod]

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After a little Googling:

Jan: WEAK

http://www.forbes.com/markets/2005/02/04/cx_ab_0204video1.html

FEB: STRONG

Includes a growth chart for 2004:

http://www.smartmoney.com/theeconomy/index.cfm?story=20050304

MAR: WEAK

http://www.wsws.org/articles/2005/apr2005/jobs-a05.shtml

APR: Will be released this Friday.


All of these reports were released on thefirst Friday of the month. So, you can simply look at the historical share prices of the CSI on the first Friday and possibly the following Monday to get a better picture. I hope this helps!

God Bless:^

 

[Rod]

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TAKE NOTE concerning the March Jobs Report:

"The US Labor Department reported April 1 that US job creation in March was the weakest since July 2004."

BUT, the (C,S,) and (I) posted gains that day.

 

[Show-me]

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Rod wrote:

TAKE NOTE concerning the March Jobs Report:

"The US Labor Department reported April 1 that US job creation in March was the weakest since July 2004."

BUT, the (C,S,) and (I) posted gains that day.

Rod,

I'm not sure what day you mean. April 1st?





Apr 01, 2005
10.80
10.39
12.55
14.20
15.39

Mar 31, 2005
10.80
10.37
12.64
14.25
15.45


Darn! That looked alot better before I sent it. Anyway Apr. 1 was a down day CSI.

 

[Show-me]

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http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet

C Fund movement on day of job report and following Monday.

Friday Jan 7 -.2% following monday was up .4%

Friday Feb 4 +1.1% following monday was down .1%

Friday Mar 4+.09% following monday was up .3%

Friday Apr 1 -.07% following monday was up .3%

It's not perrty but it was quick. Goodnight!

 

[Show-me]

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April 1 was the big 100k "swiiiing and a miss" april fools job report.

 

[mlk_man]

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Show-me wrote:

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet

C Fund movement on day of job report and following Monday.

Friday Jan 7 -.2% following monday was up .4%

Friday Feb 4 +1.1% following monday was down .1%

Friday Mar 4+.09% following monday was up .3%

Friday Apr 1 -.07% following monday was up .3%

It's not perrty but it was quick. Goodnight!

So basically, if you stayed in both days, you came out ahead everytime. Hmmmmm :^

 

[Rod]

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Show-me wrote:

Rod wrote:

TAKE NOTE concerning the March Jobs Report:

"The US Labor Department reported April 1 that US job creation in March was the weakest since July 2004."

BUT, the (C,S,) and (I) posted gains that day.

Rod,

I'm not sure what day you mean. April 1st?





Apr 01, 2005
10.80
10.39
12.55
14.20
15.39

Mar 31, 2005
10.80
10.37
12.64
14.25
15.45


Darn! That looked alot better before I sent it. Anyway Apr. 1 was a down day CSI.

Sorry... I brain-farted... I must've been looking at March 4 (thinking about "March")

 

[The_Technician]

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I'm sure of one thing......its too risky to sing that way Birtch........but in anycase one day doesn't make the year......We'll see won't we....I could be dead wrong....but it won't be at my expense....if you just not absolutely sure.....why put money on it.....

I just wondering what happens after a good day like yesterday........

I have noticed one thing yesterday, review themarket action for the last two months after the Fed reports dates.......and see how the market jumped and then dropped....is there that one drop coming soon????

In any case, higher interest rates, higher energy costs,etc do not bode well for the future market....if it does, I don't want those people saying its great managing my accounts.

I wait till things stabilize later thank you....

 

[The_Technician]

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One other thing to add about the recent drops over the last two months.....they dropped approx 30-40 points on the S&P....or over 3%......:?

Lastly, the market has been on a ggod run since 28 April....it been time for a time out....according to data on TSP trends....its at a top for the period....

Hey, Birch.....lets talk about the market again in a week or so......try me about May 20th......I want to see all those shorts bleeding good by then alright.....there are alot of people here that would love it......:^

Sorry, I don't buy it Birch...u stay in the C fund and ride that thing....

The Technician :dude:

 

[teknobucks]

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just bot......

100% C

tekno

order effective cob may 5....cinco de mayo!!

 

[teknobucks]

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The Technician wrote:

One other thing to add about the recent drops over the last two months.....they dropped approx 30-40 points on the S&P....or over 3%......:?

Lastly, the market has been on a ggod run since 28 April....it been time for a time out....according to data on TSP trends....its at a top for the period....

Hey, Birch.....lets talk about the market again in a week or so......try me about May 20th......I want to see all those shorts bleeding good by then alright.....there are alot of people here that would love it......:^

Sorry, I don't buy it Birch...u stay in the C fund and ride that thing....

The Technician :dude:

http://www.dynamicbear.com/dynamicbull/badday1.htm :^

 

[Spaf]

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teknobucks wrote:

just bot......100% C

tekno order effective cob may 5....cinco de mayo!!

You are changing your strategy Tekno! I would have thunk 97C 2S and 1I

 

[Show-me]

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I wanted to re-post this because I had the numbers wrong for Mar 4 and Apr 1. Sorry! Apr 1 was the only loser. I had .09 for Mar 4 and .07 for Apr 1. Sorry again it was nap time forme and I'm much better now.



C Fund movement on day of job report and following Monday.

Friday Jan 7 -.2% following monday was up .4%

Friday Feb 4 +1.1% following monday was down .1%

Friday Mar 4+.9% following monday was up .3%

Friday Apr 1 -.7% following monday was up .3%

 

[Show-me]

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I think I'll hang in there until Friday. I am getting a little antsy tho.

Good luck everyone!

 

[The_Technician]

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Here's an interesting report.....pay particular attention to productivity data....it preceeds the market moves.....:shock:

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,155572,00.html

The Technician:dude:

 

[learning]

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Hmm. 3 out of 4 Mondays are up. Fridays 50/50. Kind of like Mondays odds.

 

[Spaf]

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The Kingdom of TSP

Daily

Market News, Doodles, Tea Leaves & Yak Date May 5, Closing


Market News.

News: Party in market area got rained out. GM and Ford had their cars towed. Townsfolks left without a ride.

Krude horseman still out on bail. Scares up lube +0.70 cents to 50.83.


Doodles and Tea Leaves.

Doodles: S&P at1172.63 dn -3.02
CMF money flow at 0.006, falling slightly.
RSI strength at 52.8, falling slightly.
MACD moving averages at -3.65, rising bullish.
STO momentum at 83.2, overbought.

Tea Leaves:Tea spilled when car hit brakes.


Yak.

Remarks:Holding 0/100.

Will be trying out the STO: The Stochastic Oscillator was developedto track market momentum.

Rgds! Spaf

 

[Rod]

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As of now, it looks as if the (I) is going to kick some major butt today!

The Nikkei is UP 1.60%. :^

The jobs report is predicted to be strong. So, today may be a GREAT day on The Street!

God Bless

 

[pyriel]

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I'm going to have to agree with you Rod. All indication seems to be pointing upward which is why I turned my attention for Monday. I went back and looked at all the Mondays fund price for c fund and it seemed that the c fund went up 11x vs. down 6x since the beginning of the year. With the rebound happening, I really like that almost 2 to 1 chance percentage of c fund going up so I will be staying 100c even for Monday. Currently 100c right now.

Pyriel