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Briefing.com
Hitting the wires about five minutes ago, the final March University of Michigan Confidence reading came in at 69.5, compared to the expected number of 70.0.
 
Treasury set to announce regulatory overhaul
By Glenn Somerville2 hours, 47 minutes ago
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080331/bs_nm/usa_economy_regulation_dc

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson will reveal in full sweeping new plans on Monday for streamlining a hodgepodge of regulation faulted for permitting the U.S. mortgage crisis to balloon into a full-blown economic threat.
Keenly aware of the political debate already mounting as soaring home foreclosures push the economy toward recession, the Bush administration allowed the veil to be lifted on key measures before Paulson's announcement at 10:00 a.m EDT.

The regulatory blueprint proposes vesting new powers as a "market stability regulator" in the Federal Reserve -- effectively formalizing a role it already has been performing by providing liquidity to investment banks and lowering official interest rates.

It would give the U.S. central bank authority to demand that all financial system participants supply it with full information on their activities and grant the Fed a right to collaborate with other regulators in setting rules for their behavior.

Since problems surfaced last August with rising failure rates on subprime mortgage loans to less credit-worthy borrowers, credit markets have come near seizure several times. And public anger has mounted at what was perceived as slack enforcement of existing rules.

Many mortgage loans were made without basic fact-checking. Some did not even verify whether borrowers actually earned the incomes they claimed or whether they were steered into inappropriate loans with low initial "teaser" rates that soon reset at higher rates requiring much larger monthly payments.

Treasury acknowledged in draft proposals that the current regulatory system is full of "regulatory gaps as well as redundancies." It sets out an ambitious schedule for modifying and simplifying it -- one that has little chance of being enacted in President George W. Bush's remaining 10 months.

MERGE WATCHDOGS?

Among changes, Treasury wants to merge the Securities and Exchange Commission, the U.S. markets watchdog, with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission that is charged with overseeing the activities of the nation's futures market.

It also recommends getting rid of a Depression-era charter for thrifts that was intended to make it easier to obtain mortgage loans, saying it is no longer necessary. That would mean closing the Office of Thrift Supervision and transferring its duties to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency that oversees national banks.

In one important change to try to clamp down on mortgage brokers, Treasury is urging the establishment of a "Mortgage Origination Commission" made up of regulatory agency representatives that would be able to set licensing standards for mortgage brokers.

That would boost consumer protection by increasing scrutiny of the personal conduct, disciplinary history and educational qualifications of the people who are frequently on the lending front lines.

For a variety of reasons, none Treasury's proposals faces an easy future, as the director of Office of Thrift Supervision made clear in a message to employees on the weekend.

"Many of you might be wondering whether financial markets restructuring is an idea whose time has finally come," John Reich told OTS employees. "I don't think so, at least as it pertains to the four federal banking agencies."
Paulson, a 30-year veteran of Wall Street who initiated the regulatory study a year ago, has warned against dampening "innovation" by applying too many rules to the financial services sector and his stance will raise questions.

A draft of a speech Paulson planned for Monday said it was neither "fair or accurate" to blame lax regulation for the current turmoil. Indeed, Treasury started studying regulation in response to financial industry complaints that it was so regulated it was losing business to capital markets in Europe.

Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama has pointedly noted that he saw "no call for increased capital reserve requirements and liquidity requirements on investment banks" similar to those of commercial banks, despite the fact the Fed is now lending to investment banks.

A spokesman for Sen. John McCain, who has secured the Republican nomination for November's election, said only that he "looks forward to a healthy debate," effectively saying that any substantive rules change will be slow to come.
 
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -6.2. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -9.0. Futures fall on a worse than expected intial jobless claims reading. New unemployment claims for the week ended March 29 jumped to 407,000 from 369,000. Economists expected 366,000 claims. In other news, Lehman Brothers lowered its earnings estimates on Goldman Sachs (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS) and Merrill Lynch (MER). Meanwhile, Goldman lowered its earnings estimates on Lehman.
 
Briefing.com
10:05 am : The major indices come off their worst levels on a better than expected economic reading, but remain in the red. Just hitting the wires, the March ISM Services reading rose to 49.6 from 49.3. This topped the expected reading of 48.5. Because the number is below 50, it reflects a contraction in non-manufacturing activities.
Six of the ten economic sectors are in negative territory. Financials are leading the way lower. Lehman Brothers lowered its earnings estimates on Goldman Sachs (GS 174.70, -2.17), Morgan Stanley (MS 48.27, -0.82) and Merrill Lynch (MER 44.66, -0.68), while Goldman lowered its earnings estimates on Lehman Bros. (LEH 43.07, -1.00).
 
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +2.5. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.0. Futures give up some of their gains after a worse than expected jobs report showed payrolls declined for the third straight month. Just reported, nonfarm payrolls declined by 80,000, which is worse than the expected 50,000 decline. February's decline was revised to 76,000 from 63,000. Manufacturing payrolls fell by 48,000, falling short of the expected decline of 35,000. The unemployment rate ticked up to 5.1% from 4.8%. Economists expected a rate of 5.0%.
 
3:00 pm : The major indices regain some ground. The Nasdaq is outperforming as large-cap tech names continue to show strength.
MBIA (MBI 13.72, -0.57) had its insurer financial strength rating cut to AA from AAA by Fitch Ratings. MBIA's long-term rating was cut to A from AA. MBIA responded by stating it "respectfully disagrees with Fitch's conclusions," citing it has $17 billion in claims-paying resources.
 
Nice pop on the open this morning-

C fund up 0.68% right out of the box, in the first minute of trading.

In the wake of the big move up Tuesday, guys on CNBC commented how positive it was that the indicies held on to most/all of Tuesday's gains. In the previous weeks big moves up were sold off.
 
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Aluminum maker Alcoa Inc. said late Monday its first-quarter profit fell to $303 million, or 37 cents a share, from $662 million, or 75 cents a share, a year ago. Excluding one time items, the company would have reported a profit from continuing operations of 44 cents a share. Revenue fell to $7.38 billion from $7.91 billion in the year ago period. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial estimated a profit of 48 cents a share on $7.2 billion in revenue
 
Bernanke Alert


Ben Bernanke Speaks! Wednesday - Apr 9, 2008

9:30 AM ET : Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to make opening remarks at the Jump Start Financial Literacy conference, in Washington. No Q&A .
Who's Speaking ... Wednesday - Apr 9, 2008

1:30 PM ET : Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher (FOMC voting member) Dallas Federal Reserve chief Richard Fisher delivers a speech in San Antonio at a community luncheon hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.


Ben Bernanke Speaks! Thursday - Apr 10, 2008

1:00 PM ET : Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to speak about the President's Working Group and Financial Stability Forum reports, at the University of Richmond, Virginia. Audience Q&A expected .

http://www.nasdaq.com/asp/econodayframe.asp?page=http://www.nasdaq.com/econoday/index.html

Added note: Greenspan on CNBC today at 4:15est. Should make make for an interesting Wednesday.
 
Some Fed Policymakers Worried About `prolonged and Severe' Economic Downturn

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Worries about a deep recession -- not a shallow one -- drove Federal Reserve policymakers to slash a key interest rate last month, meeting minutes show. Even as the Fed battled in almost unprecedented fashion to stem a widening credit and housing slump, some members fretted over the possibility of a "prolonged and severe" economic downturn. It was in that environment that they voted -- with two dissents -- to cut its most important interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point to 2.25 percent. That action capped the most aggressive Fed intervention in a quarter-century.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080408/fed_minutes.html
 
Briefing.com
4:16PM Washington Mutual: Moody's changes WaMu's outlook to stable (WM) 11.81 -1.34 : Moody's changed the outlook on Washington Mutual and Washington Mutual Bank to stable from negative following the announcement that WaMu has entered into a definitive agreement to raise $1.5 bln of common equity and $5.5 bln of contingently convertible, perpetual non-cumulative preferred stock. Moody's expects the company to receive the required shareholder approvals given the involvement of current WaMu shareholders in the transaction. The change in the rating outlook reflects Moody's view that the capital raise of $7 bln provides sufficient cushion for the company to maintain capital ratios which are greater than 100 basis points above the regulatory well capitalized minimums.
 
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +1.0. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +1.2. Futures currently indicate an upside open to Wednesday's trading. Citigroup (C) discloses its intention to sell $12 billion in leveraged loans and bonds to a group of private equity firms, according to The Wall Street Journal. United Parcel Service (UPS) lowered its first quarter EPS guidance below the consensus estimate.
 
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +0.4. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +0.5. S&P and Nasdaq futures continue to indicate a positive start to Wednesday's action. The Wall Street Journal reported its sources indicated Boeing (BA) will delay further deliveries for its 787 Dreamliner. The Wall Street Journal also reported Northwest Airlines (NWA) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) could proceed with their merger announcement next week if Delta succeeds in talks with its pilots.
 
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +0.3. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +2.8. Futures continue to indicate a slightly positive start, despite doses of negative news items. Standard & Poor's downgraded the financial strength ratings of mortgage insurers MTG, ORI, PMI, and RDN to below AA-.
 
Briefing.com
10:00 am : Each of the major indices are now in negative ground after a push lower. During the first leg of trading, utilities (+0.5%), materials (+0.3), and energy (+0.3%) are the only sectors in positive territory.
February Wholesale Inventories were expected to increase 0.5%, but came in at +1.1%.
Crude oil inventories for the week ending April 5 are due at 10:30 AM ET. Oil is currently trading at $109 per barrel, up 0.5%.
 
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