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Briefing.com
08:32 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -1.8. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -4.0. Total PPI rose 0.6% (consensus 0.1%) in July, led by a 2.5% jump in energy prices. The more closely-watched core rate rose just 0.1% (consensus 0.2%), but the year/year rate now stands at 2.3%. The Trade Deficit unexpectedly narrowed in June to $58.1 bln (consensus $61.0 bln). After catching a slight bid heading into the data, the futures market has pulled back and continues to signal a sluggish start for stocks.
 
U.S. Producer Prices Rise 0.6% in July; Core Rate Rises 0.1% :mad:

By Shobhana Chandra

Aug. 14 (Bloomberg) -- Prices paid to U.S. producers rose more than forecast in July on higher fuel costs. Excluding food and energy, the inflation rate was less than predicted.
The 0.6 percent gain followed a 0.2 percent decline in June, the Labor Department said today in Washington. So-called core producer prices that exclude fuel and food rose 0.1 percent, the smallest gain in three months.
The report may help ease the concerns of Federal Reserve policy makers, who reiterated at their meeting last week that inflation remains the biggest risk to the economy. Competition is restraining businesses from raising prices, even as overseas demand boosts raw materials costs.
``Prices look contained at the producer level,'' Chris Rupkey, senior financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York, said before the report. ``It doesn't look like pipeline pressures are strong enough to push up prices at the consumer level that the Fed is concerned about.''
Prices paid to factories, farmers and other producers were forecast to rise 0.2 percent, according to the median of 73 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey. Estimates ranged from an increase of 0.8 percent to a decline of 0.5 percent. (more)
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=abrlImLvfBzc&refer=home
 
Today’s market is beginning to remind of that deer in the back of Richards car, in the movie "Tommy Boy."

[Richard's car is destroyed by a deer]
Richard Hayden: No way that just happened! My car is completely destroyed!
Tommy: I swear I've seen a lot of stuff in my life, but that... was... *AWESOME*!
[bursts out laughing] :laugh:
Tommy: ... but, sorry about your car, man. That... That sucks.
 
3:00 pm : Selling remains the name of the game heading into the final hour of trading. After failing to find support above the 1439 mark a little over an hour ago, the S&P 500 has continued to make lower lows.
The Nasdaq, which is turning in the next worst performance among the major, has recently broken through support (2510) and is now testing Friday's lows around the 2503 level.
The Dow, which now boasts only two winners among its 30 components (HON +0.9%, XOM +0.2%), has also been unable to attract even buyers to form a bottom near 13060.
 
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -7.7. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -12.0. Early indications suggest stocks will open on a downbeat note. The negative manner in which the market closed Tuesday, with the major indices plunging 1.7% on average, coupled with relatively disappointing guidance from Applied Materials (AMAT) and ongoing concerns about the credit turmoil, are contributing to the bearish disposition.
With inflation still pegged as the Fed's "predominant" concern, investors are also exhibiting a cautious stance ahead of today's influential CPI report (8:30 ET), given its ability to move the market and influence Fed policy.
 
Briefing.com
4:20 pm : After a handful of attempts to get buying efforts back on track, an increasingly nervous market plagued by a fresh round of credit worries succumbed to another day of widespread consolidation.
The S&P 500 slipped into negative territory for the year, the first time it's closed there since March 28. It is now 9.4% off its July 19 record finish and very close to fulfilling the classic definition of a market correction. The Dow, which closed below 13,000 for the first time since April 24, and Nasdaq extended their losing streaks to five sessions.
Since Financials (-1.0%), Technology (-1.8%), Industrials (-2.2%), and Energy (-2.2%) are representative of so much influence on the S&P 500, collectively accounting for nearly 60% of the index's total weighting, sizable declines in all four removed significant leadership.
Financials, the most heavily weighted sector, closed at fresh 2007 lows and is now down 13% on the year. The sector's biggest disappointment was Countrywide Financial (CFC 21.29 -3.17). The stock plunged almost 13%, initially losing ground after Merrill Lynch advised investors to sell the stock on liquidity concerns and then getting kicked while it was down after it was reported that dealers were currently quoting CFC's commercial paper at 12.5%.
Today marking the deadline for many hedge fund investors to file redemption requests for the third quarter also acted as an overhang. Reports that an Australian company said subprime woes may have wiped out 80% of one of its hedge funds and Mitsubishi UFJ, one of Japan's biggest banks, reporting losses from subprime exposure lent further validation to the global impact of the mortgage meltdown.
 
Briefing.com
08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -18.1. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -19.0. Early indications are pointing to another bloodletting on Wall Street as concerns of a global credit crunch continue to mount. The bearish manner in which the market sold off into the close yesterday, with the major indices tacking an average 1.4% drop onto Tuesday's 1.7% tumble, set the negative tone for overseas markets.
The major European bourses are on down 2.9% on average. The Hang Seng fell 3.3% overnight while another 2.0% decline on the Nikkei 225 pushed it to fresh new lows for the year. The yen soaring 2.0% to a one-year high against the dollar has renewed fears about the ripple effect of an unwinding of the yen-carry trade leading to a liquidity crisis.
Countrywide Financial (CFC) being forced to draw on an $11.5 bln credit facility is also worrisome. CFC shares are down 18% in pre-market action.
 
Fed's Poole says no need for emergency rate cut
Thursday August 16, 7:31 am ET


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President William Poole said on Wednesday financial market turmoil had not undermined the U.S. economy and there was no need for the central bank to ride to the rescue with an emergency rate cut.

"It's premature to say that this upset in the market is changing the course of the economy in any fundamental way," he said in an interview with Bloomberg.

"Obviously, there could be an impact, but we have to rely on some real evidence."

Global stock markets have fallen sharply as investors increasingly shy away from risky assets amid signs the troubles in the U.S. subprime mortgage market have resulted in a drying up of credit in broader markets.

Poole said market developments would extend the housing slump, but that it was uncertain how long the downturn would last and how deep it would be.

"The issue for me is whether it's going to spread into business fixed investment and the consumer segment more broadly. I don't see evidence that that's taking place," Poole said.

The St. Louis Fed chief said that barring a "calamity," there was no need for the U.S. central bank to consider cutting interest rates before policy-makers gather for their next regularly scheduled meeting on September 18, Bloomberg said.

Interest rate futures prices show an expectation the Fed will lower borrowing costs by at least a quarter-percentage point at its next meeting on September 18, and a chance it cuts rates sooner.

"If the data confirm the market's view that the economy is sagging, we'll have to decide whether to share that view," Poole said.

Poole, who is among the voter's this year on the Fed's policy-setting panel, said there was little evidence to suggest companies are changing their spending or hiring plans.

"I have not changed fundamentally my outlook," he said. "As I talk to companies, their capital spending plans are intact."

Credit market stresses tied to rising defaults in the U.S. subprime mortgage market led the Fed and other central banks around the globe to pump money into banking systems over the past week in an effort to ward off a credit crunch.

Poole said the Fed was in touch with the markets and would "supply more cash as necessary" to meet short-term demand for funds.

He also said that while U.S. inflation was "moving in the right direction," the "job is not done."

At their last meeting on August 7, Fed policy-makers said tightening credit conditions had increased downside risks to economic growth, but they reaffirmed that their main concern was a risk that inflation would fail to ease.
Source: http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/070816/usa_fed_poole.html?.v=1
 
09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -8.8. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -10.0. Pre-market sentiment continues to improve but S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures still have a long way to go before they signal an upbeat open for the cash market. The Fed adding $5.0 bln in temporary reserves to the banking system via 14-day repos is offering some relief. Investors are also embracing reports that deep-pocketed banks and pension funds in Canada are convening to restart the asset-backed commercial paper market in an effort to improve the liquidity problem.
 
Nice.

I think we have hit the point for a nice turnaround.

I predict today will go green by the end of the day.
 
I predict today will go green by the end of the day.

wouldn't go that far but next week looks nice
 
I predict that I'll turn green by the end of the day after riding this roller coaster of a market.
 
Didn't someone a couple of weeks ago say lookout 1370 on the S&P? May have been Griffin with one of his charts. We maybe there by the end of the day.

BTW, NASDAQ is below it's 200 DMA.
 
Briefing.com
2:00 pm : The indices are still sporting broad-based losses, but continue to trade at improved levels. The renewed wave of buying interest remains most prevalent in Financials, which is now up more than 1.5% while every other sector (9 of 10) remains in negative territory posting average declines of 1.5%.
An hour ago, the Dow was down as much as 342 points about an hour ago but has since halved that decline, most recently climbing amid speculation of a possible emergency Fed meeting. JP Morgan Chase (JPM 43.80 +0.80) is the best performing Dow component (+1.9%) among the seven blue chips attracting buyers. DJ30 -168.89 NASDAQ -33.28 SP500 -13.83 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 2151/894/2.06 bln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 2672/690/1.75 bln
 
Briefing.com

We believe, however, that cutting rates now would be foolish from a policy standpoint since a Fed easing isn't going to do anything to help improve the mortgage-backed securities pricing issue. We are also telling readers that an emergency rate cut could destroy the FOMC's credibility as it would be a tacit admission that policy makers didn't understand the situation.
That skepticism is likely why the indices, which recently hit fresh afternoon highs, are pulling back a bit and failing to garner much conviction on the part of buyers
 
If you think stocks are getting hit hard, look at commodities! Today; Gold down 3%, Silver down 9%!!!
 
Briefing.com
08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +0.7. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -7.5. Early indications are now pointing to a mixed start for stocks; but this opening signal is subject to change throughout the morning since sentiment was much weaker just 30 minutes ago. The S&P 500 futures have inched above fair value, as yesterday's valiant effort on the part of the bulls to erase sizable intraday losses and close the major indices above their "corrective" lows appears to be gaining some traction.
Nonetheless, Nasdaq 100 futures are still well below fair value after another sell-off in Asian markets where more unwinding in the yen carry trade raised global liquidity concerns. Japan's Nikkei 225 plunged 5.4%, the biggest single-day percentage loss since 2001.
 
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