JTH's Account Talk

[DreamboatAnnie]

I love this chart!!!! If I could give you reputation points I would... It says I can't but will come back to it later!!! This is a great chart! Now I know you were going to Europe and all. So you leave this week. I wanted to wish you a safe trip and hope you have a great time visiting and having little adventures!

However, how long will it be before you post again?

Never done messin with stuff, here's the revised version.

Did my best to get as much info in there as possible, while keeping the fonts big (for the older folks) and staying within the size limitations for posting in the forum. If anyone is color blind, and having issues, please let me know.

This one is for November

View attachment 35810

 

[JTH]

I love this chart!!!! If I could give you reputation points I would... It says I can't but will come back to it later!!! This is a great chart! Now I know you were going to Europe and all. So you leave this week. I wanted to wish you a safe trip and hope you have a great time visiting and having little adventures!

However, how long will it be before you post again?

Thank you everyone!

Just crossed the pond and checked into the hotel, have some in-processing to do ect, I should be posting as usual, only now, I'll have more time to post prior to the IFT, since I'm ahead of the markets!

 

[airlift]

Thank you everyone!

Just crossed the pond and checked into the hotel, have some in-processing to do ect, I should be posting as usual, only now, I'll have more time to post prior to the IFT, since I'm ahead of the markets!

JTH, good luck in all you do going forward!

 

[JTH]

Moving ESD (Evolving Statistical Data) into the F-Fund CoB Thursday.

The system has not performed well this year, I expect to make some modifications to it, going into 2016.

 

[Mcqlives]

Thank you everyone!

Just crossed the pond and checked into the hotel, have some in-processing to do ect, I should be posting as usual, only now, I'll have more time to post prior to the IFT, since I'm ahead of the markets!

I should have warned you before but I didn't realize you were staying in hotels and I'm not sure if you have traveled in Europe before....depending on where you are in Europe...always, ALWAYS, push down on the handle on the toilet even if you see an arrow pointing up.If you do push up be prepared to get squirted. I took a lady friend with me to Brussels years ago and she got a surprise from the dual use toilet/bidet. Not a good start to what was supposed to be a romantic week!

 

[JTH]

I should have warned you before but I didn't realize you were staying in hotels and I'm not sure if you have traveled in Europe before....depending on where you are in Europe...always, ALWAYS, push down on the handle on the toilet even if you see an arrow pointing up.If you do push up be prepared to get squirted. I took a lady friend with me to Brussels years ago and she got a surprise from the dual use toilet/bidet. Not a good start to what was supposed to be a romantic week!

Too funny (and thanks for the warning) I've not encountered that yet, but with the jet-lag I'm going through, I feel dumb enough to push any button I see.

Let's see if patterns repeat, off the B-Wave bottom, we've advanced 12.5% with no more than a 5-box 1.25% retrace. I've shifted ahead 7 hours, so It's going to take me some time to get tuned back into the markets.

 

[JTH]

For those of you who read my account talk thread, you know I moved to Europe this week. Along with the spotty internet connection from the hotel, the time zone change has wreaked havoc on my mental ability to analyze the markets from this side of the pond. For some reason (jet lag) it is very strange to watch the markets from home (after getting off work) but I am optimistic that once I’ve settled into a routine, I’ll be an even better version of myself (as a trader) than I was before.


Trading the Stats: Week 45

 

[guppie]

For those of you who read my account talk thread, you know I moved to Europe this week. Along with the spotty internet connection from the hotel, the time zone change has wreaked havoc on my mental ability to analyze the markets from this side of the pond. For some reason (jet lag) it is very strange to watch the markets from home (after getting off work) but I am optimistic that once I’ve settled into a routine, I’ll be an even better version of myself (as a trader) than I was before.


Trading the Stats:Week 45

Welcome to Europe. It's a little different at first, but you get used to placing your bets at the end of your work day pretty quickly. The good news is it becomes fire and forget pretty soon as you remember to check the next day after the markets are closed. BTW where did you land

 

[FogSailing]

Wow. Super Blog JTH. Amazing how the AGG loss lined up with historical data...Definitely NOT the place to be in the beginning of November...Thanks so much for the information.

FS

 

[JTH]

For those of you who read my account talk thread, you know I moved to Europe this week. Along with the spotty internet connection from the hotel, the time zone change has wreaked havoc on my mental ability to analyze the markets from this side of the pond. For some reason (jet lag) it is very strange to watch the markets from home (after getting off work) but I am optimistic that once I’ve settled into a routine, I’ll be an even better version of myself (as a trader) than I was before.


Trading the Stats:Week 45

Wow. Super Blog JTH. Amazing how the AGG loss lined up with historical data...Definitely NOT the place to be in the beginning of November...Thanks so much for the information.

FS

Thanks, this blog took a bit longer than usual, I miss my 3 monitors, this 11" screen laptop make me feel like I'm camping

Thus far this month, I like how the stats are playing out.

 

[JTH]

Looks like the markets are giving us a nice down day and there doesn't appear to be any dip buyers in site

SPX has a High Pole Warning, indicating we've retraced half of the previous downwave. I'm fine with that, it's been some time since we've retraced half a wave (but no further, thank you)

 

[OBXTrader]

Does that 50% retrace represent a sell signal? We definitely got one at 1pm EST.

I will look for a conservative reentry point since I am sitting 100% cash. As mentioned in my 23OCT post below, I did move all my trading accounts out of the market, the majority on 2 November which was close to my (JTH ESD-like) 6 November seasonal target. That day was too much to fast for me to stay longer and that closed out all my accounts. It was tough to push the sell button when the market is going up. Tops are hard to call.

You and I hit the submit at the same time on the auto-tracker. I went to G Fund. More so because as this market goes up, I am moving more winnings off the table. Will do the same in other accounts as market dictates, but most likely until on or about November 6th when I will go 100% cash again.

I like to pull first from the accounts that have "stable value" funds, because I am earning better interest than my brokerage account as I sit patiently and wait for the next opportunity.

This time I only have to wait 5 trading days to get back in should I choose.

 

[JTH]

Does that 50% retrace represent a sell signal? We definitely got one at 1pm EST.

Actually in an uptrend, such a signal would represent a buying opportunity, so long as it doesn't break below the previously established swing low.

The Transports (and others) are showing an extreme level of volatility, this looks to be a very rare candlestick, where both the the high & low cover nearly the entire range of the bollinger bands.

 

[Mcqlives]

HAPPY VETERANS DAY TO ALL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(JTH - I am using your thread to post this because it is already 11/11 there!)

 

[JTH]

This has turned out to be a rough week.

The Transports flipped back over to a sell, alongside the NASADAQ 100.

This is the first sell signal on 2 indexes, since we had the huge run-up, off the B-Wave. I wasn't able to get home in time to place an IFT for ALPAFS, I'll need to consider if one should be placed tomorrow.

 

[JTH]

This has turned out to be a rough week.

The Transports flipped back over to a sell, alongside the NASADAQ 100.

This is the first sell signal on 2 indexes, since we had the huge run-up, off the B-Wave. I wasn't able to get home in time to place an IFT for ALPAFS, I'll need to consider if one should be placed tomorrow.

Triggering a Triple Bottom Breakdown, Wilshire 4500 rolled over into a sell, not much to do at this point (if the extent of damaged is finished)

 

[JTH]

Yes, it was a rough week, and statistically speaking it's not over just yet.

Trading the Stats:*Week 46

 

[JTH]

Yes, it was a rough week, and statistically speaking it's not over just yet.

Trading the Stats:*Week 46

Transports taking a beating, extending below already compressed Bolinger bands...

 

[jkenjohnson]

It seems like the S fund always drops the fastest and rebounds the slowest of most of the major indices.

 

[Whipsaw]

It seems like the S fund always drops the fastest and rebounds the slowest of most of the major indices.

S fund should go both ways fast, so to speak...