JTH's Account Talk

[JTH]

Trading the Stats: Historical Performance of March

 

[JTH]

JANUARY: It's Report Card Time

Given the volatility, finishing out the month with -1.57% was no surprise, I calculated I should stay invested the majority of the month (which I did) and that calculation did not yield the desired results, but it did yield the desired outcome in the fact I am outperforming the C-Fund by 1.43% and the S-Fund by .28%

FEBRUARY: It's Report Card Time, 2.71% YTD, 4.37% MTD

Plan was executed precisely, but the markets exceeded expectations, therefore I lost the edge I had from January. I'm currently outperforming G/F/C and need to catch up to the S-Fund. Still, it was a great month, where even blindfolded dart-throwing monkeys made money. I'm down 2.29% from my 2.50% monthly goal, which means I need to make 4.79% in March to meet my 30% yearly goal.

 

[MrJohnRoss]

FEBRUARY: It's Report Card Time, 2.71% YTD, 4.37% MTD

Plan was executed precisely, but the markets exceeded expectations, therefore I lost the edge I had from January. I'm currently outperforming G/F/C and need to catch up to the S-Fund. Still, it was a great month, where even blindfolded dart-throwing monkeys made money. I'm down 2.29% from my 2.50% monthly goal, which means I need to make 4.79% in March to meet my 30% yearly goal.

Looks like we're neck and neck buddy. I'm right behind you at 2.70% YTD, and 4.38% MTD. Riding a different horse than you, tho. I'm not at all satisfied with my performance this year, but the reasoning behind my moves have been sound. It's a marathon, and a lot can (and will) happen between now and the end of the year.

Good luck!

 

[Whipsaw]

3.49% YTD and 5.93% MTD for a dart throwing monkey!

 

[JTH]

Looks like we're neck and neck buddy. I'm right behind you at 2.70% YTD, and 4.38% MTD. Riding a different horse than you, tho. I'm not at all satisfied with my performance this year, but the reasoning behind my moves have been sound. It's a marathon, and a lot can (and will) happen between now and the end of the year.

Good luck!

Competition has been getting better over the past few years, this post-2009 forum is much smarter, they don't scare out so easy on the tops. We need a deep cut to shake out the buy & holders...

 

[law87]

3.49% YTD and 5.93% MTD for a dart throwing monkey!

might be a stupid question but how did you calculate YTD and MTD?

 

[Whipsaw]

might be a stupid question but how did you calculate YTD and MTD?

Just pulled it off the AutoTracker.

 

[law87]

Just pulled it off the AutoTracker.

Sadly I never do that.

 

[JTH]

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SPX: 2nd ever, Monthly close under the dashed-green line

 

[MrJohnRoss]

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SPX: 2nd ever, Monthly close under the dashed-green line

Aging bull, losing a little momentum.

 

[JTH]

Per Diem: 2 Mar 2015

 

[JTH]

19-Feb

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Caught a bite of DIG at the open, it was a limit order I put in last week. In at 54.77, plan to work around this position within a longer-term timeframe.

"Feed the BT"

2nd Limit triggered @ 51.73

 

[JTH]

Per Diem: 3 Mar 2015

No real surprise here, AGG triggered a Double Bottom Breakdown with a 109.87 or -.55% price objective

 

[JTH]

Per Diem: 4 Mar 2015

Comparing the S&P 500, Wilshire 4500, Transports, and NASDAQ 100 side-by-side, the Transports are the only index to not have broken above their 2014 highs. Knowing why this divergence is taking place, helps ease the pain, but it doesn't negate the facts "one of these is not like the other"

Transports are within 1 box of triggering a Double Bottom Breakdown

 

[JTH]

IFT EoB today, 100G

 

[JTH]

Per Diem: 5 Mar 2015

Transports trigger a Double Bottom Breakdown

 

[JTH]

Per Diem: Chasing Tail

In case you're wondering, for 1st Quarter 2015, we are up 2.05% which is just over the 20-year average returns of 1.75%

 

[FireWeatherMet]

Congrats Jason,

But aren't you up even more??? Autotracker seems to think you're up +2.67%?

You tracking FY quarters maybe?

 

[JTH]

Congrats Jason,

But aren't you up even more??? Autotracker seems to think you're up +2.67%?

You tracking FY quarters maybe?

If it bleeds I kill it, if it moves I track it, if it's standing still, then that's me

Now if I took the time to explain everything I said, nothing would get done around here, the chart is right, as for myself...

 

[airlift]

Per Diem: Chasing Tail

In case you're wondering, for 1st Quarter 2015, we are up 2.05% which is just over the 20-year average returns of 1.75%

View attachment 32739

JTH, having breached 2085, and assuming SPX keeps going down, do you think that buying down in increments is a good entry strategy for the next upside?