JTH's Account Talk

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BichonFreeze said:
Shhhhhh you might scare the bears.
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Doesn't scare me, I just want to show the bulls that they can't ignore the bearish periods. If a money market fund had a return of 30% last year, would you buy it over a fund that had a return of 30% a year for the last 10 years?

Only taking into account bullish periods is not taking into account all market environments...
 
I understand your logic. Not scrutinizing the drivers behind our growth from 2000 to 2007 is one of the reasons I think America got into financial trouble in the first place. Maybe I could be wrong, but it seems that people are always more critical of what causes the market to decline than when it grows.
 
JTH said:
Last day of February...

View attachment 27356
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Let's not read too deep into this, this isn't data posted with a bullish perspective, it's just data, gleam from it what you want, but let's not insinuate I'm purposely hiding 10-year data by omitting it from the chart. This isn't a buy & hold vs. market timing debate, it's just the TSP fund's returns over various time-frames, nothing more.
 
JTH said:
Let's not read too deep into this, this isn't data posted with a bullish perspective, it's just data, gleam from it what you want, but let's not insinuate I'm purposely hiding 10-year data by omitting it from the chart. This isn't a buy & hold vs. market timing debate, it's just the TSP fund's returns over various time-frames, nothing more.
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Jason, I didn't mean to insinuate that it was a bullish table, I just think that by omitting those years it can make someone think that they should always be in the S-Fund... Let BT handle that conversation :)

Maybe I'm wrong and jumped the gun... oh, wait, that would make BT right... aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii
faint2.gif
 
Why is everybody always pickin on me? I'll remain bullish until I drop. Can't you smell that sweet odor of superlative bull manure wafting across the board today? This is a historic bull in the making and has the potential to make many a poor guy into a very rich one - all it takes is faith in our country. You just have to stand strong with the bull market no one believes in. Besides, breakouts are bullish, right. And we had many of those yesterday.
 
I pick on you because you can take it in good stride... if not, it wouldn't be fun to read your retorts...

Besides, you were saying the same darn thing in late 2007... right? ;)
 
JTH said:
I feel like I've been in this movie before, so which one of us suckers is going to burn our last IFT to jump back into the markets?
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Probably me, tired of losing money on this short position... just like 2013

No reason for the market to go up, yet it does

Once again, good news is good for the market and bad news is even better...
 
Birchtree said:
Why is everybody always pickin on me? I'll remain bullish until I drop. Can't you smell that sweet odor of superlative bull manure wafting across the board today? This is a historic bull in the making and has the potential to make many a poor guy into a very rich one - all it takes is faith in our country. You just have to stand strong with the bull market no one believes in. Besides, breakouts are bullish, right. And we had many of those yesterday.
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Those eight words are hard to swallow, Chief. Personally, I separate my investment decisions from my faith decisions. But I'm prolly the odd man out, right?
 
MrJohnRoss said:
Those eight words are hard to swallow, Chief. Personally, I separate my investment decisions from my faith decisions. But I'm prolly the odd man out, right?
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Nope, my investment decisions have nothing to do with faith... ESPECIALLY in our government... It has strayed too far away from its founding documents.
 
JTH said:
I feel like I've been in this movie before, so which one of us suckers is going to burn our last IFT to jump back into the markets?

View attachment 27362
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Don't drive angry! I'm tempted to jump in, if only to catch that 2%; seems like a buy high/capitulation move (I'm my own contrarian indicator), looks like the top of the longer term channel, but centered in the shorter term steep channel Tom has in his comments... That extra move can come in handy, still looks bullish... Thoughts?
 
The fear of 2008 remains an open sore for many - but that is the past. This market is discounting the future and is omipotent and may be seeing something wondeful that is not yet evident or visible to mortals. You simply have to ride the woolly beast and hope you don't fall off. I've been bullish since 1982 - what can I say. Even during the 2008 crisis I was buying stock and dollar cost averaging into my TSP tugboat - all the correct maneuvers.
 
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