JTH's Account Talk

9 Oct 2013

Bought AMD @ 3.59

Bought ENPH @ 7.56

Bought TGS @ 2.21

Bought TNA @ 57.65

Not bad for a day's work, all positions closed

Sold AMD @ 3.78/3.79 for a gain of 2.84%

Stopped out of ENPH @ 7.86 for a 1.95% gain

Sold TGS @ 2.29 for a .9% gain

Sold TNA @ 61.36 for a 4.35% gain
 
Bought L2050 100% yesterday and exited today to G-Fund with no more moves. As I just said in my account talk, depending on tonight's pricing should book at least 2% from two day trades this month. Now, all I can do is sit and watch (and draw interest) in G Fund until November 1st.

That's true, but I've just exited the markets, I'll regroup and live to fight another day :)
 
Baring any drastic changes in market conditions, I'll be looking to stay invested going into November. This week has a seasonally positive bias, but if I were a short-term trader I'd be looking for an exit on Thursday. Next week is seasonally bearish, but the last week of October transitioning into November + the following week tends to be strong. The best guide I have to offer is to watch the weekly charts, last week's bottoming tail is the anchor, if this week closes below last week's 1687.15 open then I'd advice extreme caution.

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AMD reports after the close today, based on the price action I've decided to wait on the sidelines. I do expect it to hit $4.50 but I'd like to see a post-report selloff before I resume the postion. Thus far YTD I'm up 3.04% in this stock.

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IMHO stocks are currently overvalued, while we aren't fully overbought or upside-embedded, we are at a point where buyers should be reluctant to overpay for stocks and sellers should be looking to exit with profits. If anything it would be nice to see some consolidation before the next leg up.

Note: Now that the S&P 500 has made a new high, I've moved the Fibonacci range over to the latest upwave.
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