JTH's Account Talk

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It just looks like claymation to me :confused::laugh: But what do I know? I just started using charts after 2 years of trying to figure it out:nuts:
 
Sensei said:
It's different from the ones Tom posts in that his show the percentage of times the close is up (green) or down (red), with the black line showing the average return. Yours shows not the percentage of times the close is up or down, but rather the average return when the close is up (green bar) and the average return when the close is down (red bar), with the yellow line representing the combined average of the two. Right?
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You are exactly correct, I haven't found a way (yet) to incorporate the win/lose ratios.
 
jpcavin said:
It just looks like claymation to me :confused::laugh: But what do I know? I just started using charts after 2 years of trying to figure it out:nuts:
Click to expand...

Now that you mention is, you are right that it does look like claymation, I'll tell you what, it was damm hard to get it under the 100kb file size restriction. The pretty colors take up a lot of space :)
 
If you're n the sidelines for too long on this one, you'll be ass out by the end of the year. It's like that effing energizer bunny rabbit. It just keeps going and going and going.

I will be forced to move 25-35% into the s fund either today or Monday. Maybe Tuesday at the latest.
 
I'm getting hammered in the F-Fund, I could not have picked a worse entry if I tried. This is the worst IFT I've done in 2 years, I suck. :mad:
 
rktect1 said:
If you're n the sidelines for too long on this one, you'll be ass out by the end of the year. It's like that effing energizer bunny rabbit. It just keeps going and going and going.

I will be forced to move 25-35% into the s fund either today or Monday. Maybe Tuesday at the latest.
Click to expand...

I agree it sucks to be sidelined
 
JTH said:
I'm getting hammered in the F-Fund, I could not have picked a worse entry if I tried. This is the worst IFT I've done in 2 years, I suck. :mad:
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Wow worst in 2 years. I make mistakes every month on my tsp account lol Let me have youre track record.
 
JTH said:
I'm getting hammered in the F-Fund, I could not have picked a worse entry if I tried. This is the worst IFT I've done in 2 years, I suck. :mad:
Click to expand...

Better to be in the F-fund while the market goes up than in the S-fund while the market is going down...
 
JTH said:
I am 2nd to last on the MTD tracker, I will avenge myself!!!
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Well if you sign on today, can you check this out. Even though I'm feeling bearish, I'm seeing an isometric triangle , a bull flag with my ladder and support at my rising 5 day. There is a 40/60 chance we might be coiling to break above the purple channel. If the yellow bottom isn't broken, I may enter. Just wanted your thoughts. I know a F flag is bullish until it breaks but I don't think it will.:confused: Things seem to be going opposite to what I was expecting.
 
JTH said:
I honestly believe we are within 1-2 days of a top or a pause. In situations like this, the market doesn't always pull back, sometimes it just floats sideways, gathering momentum while giving the indicators time to catch up, thereby taking us out of an overbought condition. Some folks might think I'm crazy for not being in this market, I'm not crazy, just wrong.

So if you are in, I'd stay in, the only reason I'm out is because I'm looking to get back in, but I am willing to wait for a better opportunity, one I might no get. :(
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I'm right there with you. Patience is tougher than it looks.
 
Bquat said:
Well if you sign on today, can you check this out. Even though I'm feeling bearish, I'm seeing an isometric triangle , a bull flag with my ladder and support at my rising 5 day. There is a 40/60 chance we might be coiling to break above the purple channel. If the yellow bottom isn't broken, I may enter. Just wanted your thoughts. I know a F flag is bullish until it breaks but I don't think it will.:confused: Things seem to be going opposite to what I was expecting.
Click to expand...


Hi... I love these charts and notice a close relation between S&P and DOW but wonder why there is so much concentration on the S&P 500. Is this because it is just an overall good market indicator? I ask because there are so many invested in S fund and do not see very many charts on the DOW Total completion stock market index fund. hope I am using the right index. I just entered market last thursday and must admit I am crossing my fingers because it seems insane to jump in at this point, but noticed the Bollinger bands are expanding outward and prices are above 20 and 50 sma and RSI looks good for the DOW Total completion index so will see. Watching daily.
 
Bquat said:
Well if you sign on today, can you check this out. Even though I'm feeling bearish, I'm seeing an isometric triangle , a bull flag with my ladder and support at my rising 5 day. There is a 40/60 chance we might be coiling to break above the purple channel. If the yellow bottom isn't broken, I may enter. Just wanted your thoughts. I know a F flag is bullish until it breaks but I don't think it will.:confused: Things seem to be going opposite to what I was expecting.
Click to expand...

Bquat, under the conditions TSP places upon us, when I look at the S&P 500 within the 6-month channel, I cannot bring myself to buy-in at these levels. Thank you for asking, most folks don't want to hear my opinion when it doesn't agree with their position. I'm at peace with this rally and the money I've made off of it. One thing I do know, when the downside does ensue, most folks wont be able to get out of the way fast enough.

View attachment 23759
 
DreamboatAnnie said:
Hi... I love these charts and notice a close relation between S&P and DOW but wonder why there is so much concentration on the S&P 500. Is this because it is just an overall good market indicator? I ask because there are so many invested in S fund and do not see very many charts on the DOW Total completion stock market index fund. hope I am using the right index. I just entered market last thursday and must admit I am crossing my fingers because it seems insane to jump in at this point, but noticed the Bollinger bands are expanding outward and prices are above 20 and 50 sma and RSI looks good for the DOW Total completion index so will see. Watching daily.
Click to expand...
I use the S fund because it should be the top 500 stocks and shows the overall market move more closely. Still have problems figuring that out.
 
JTH said:
Bquat, under the conditions TSP places upon us, when I look at the S&P 500 within the 6-month channel, I cannot bring myself to buy-in at these levels. Thank you for asking, most folks don't want to hear my opinion when it doesn't agree with their position. I'm at peace with this rally and the money I've made off of it. One thing I do know, when the downside does ensue, most folks wont be able to get out of the way fast enough.

View attachment 23759
Click to expand...

I agree. this is a scary market. i've been waiting to get in this market for some time and just could not find a good entry point... Well that is not exactly true...there were several opportunities and i just missed them due to hesitating too long... But had planned entry in May. But in the end a small,not so tight expansion in bollingers indicated a chance to get in although market already so high that there is little room to come out ahead if we get a big hit. So i must watch every day. There is bound to be a correction but thinking to stay in just until those bands or even the lower band closes even just a bit. Thereafter will likely wait for another constriction to form. Actually I really like the bands ...love the mathematics, but have seen use of as many as six and eight bands....To better identify entry and exit. Just can't seem to find a program that i can use from ipad where you can over lay multiple bands using several std deviations. Oh we'll.... Gotta get that quick! I want to be in but I want to be out! Dang it!
 
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