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Or you can now use TapaTalk again!JTH's Account Talk
- Thread starter JTH
- Start date
JTH
Well-known member
Thanks for your great graphs JTH!! This, and your 22% inverse F Fund relationship to equities statistic is very interesting.... Thanks for all us currently in the F Fund !! Hoping to squeeze out a few percentage points if the Markets turn down this week...
No problem Dutchy, this market is going to get tricky with the unknown oil factor creeping in. Stocks and bonds can both go up at the same time, sometimes they work independent of each other, and other times inverse. A good thing to do is identify when these relationships change.
FAB1
Well-known member
Intrepid_Timer
Well-known member
F fund trading too tricksey.
.84 in 3 months of trade - well its something
It's really not bad at all. That was for 19 days of being in the F fund. I would of made about .20 sitting in the G fund right?
JTH
Well-known member
It's really not bad at all. That was for 19 days of being in the F fund. I would of made about .20 sitting in the G fund right?
That's respectable, some folks try to time the F-Fund over a few days, and end up getting burned or breaking even. I haven't been great with 3-4 day positons in the F-Fund, mostly doing a little better than the G-Fund, but not enough as to warant accepting the extra risk.
This year by avoiding the F-Fund I'm able to focus on stocks. This is mostly due to the IFT limits.
FAB1
Well-known member
It's really not bad at all. That was for 19 days of being in the F fund. I would of made about .20 sitting in the G fund right?
\\ Dang.Where did I come up with 3 months of trade?\\
\\ its up .59 for 3 months of trade - G fund .75, beating the F \\
I know i know whos sitting in the f fund all year?
JTH
Well-known member
I'll be honest with you, I'm not feeling these markets. AGG is falling apart beyond my expectations, failing to retrace 50% of the prior low/high. Stocks are keeping me uncertain, if I had 3 IFTs I'd already be in. Here is the reality, I don't know what to do with certainty, so I won't do anything.
Intrepid_Timer
Well-known member
\\ Dang.Where did I come up with 3 months of trade?\\
\\ its up .59 for 3 months of trade - G fund .75, beating the F \\
I know i know whos sitting in the f fund all year?
Posted my F fund trades for the past 12 months in my commentary this morning. For that period I made 3.49% in 77 trading days which equates to about 0.045% per day. The G fund makes about 0.01% per day so I think my F fund strategy is a keeper.
Sorry to hi-jack your thread JTH............
FAB1
Well-known member
Posted my F fund trades for the past 12 months in my commentary this morning. For that period I made 3.49% in 77 trading days which equates to about 0.045% per day. The G fund makes about 0.01% per day so I think my F fund strategy is a keeper.
Sorry to hi-jack your thread JTH............
No youre not, shame!
JTH
Well-known member
JTH
Well-known member
\\ Dang.Where did I come up with 3 months of trade?\\
\\ its up .59 for 3 months of trade - G fund .75, beating the F \\
I know i know whos sitting in the f fund all year?
PosTed this chart on 1 April, here's the update.
Dont ruin my breakfast, JTH
Tran is taking on additional damage early in this morning's session. I will say, Tran gives the appearance of "flagging"
Birchtree
Well-known member
Check out the transports here.
"At this time, there is little evidence of any major Dow theory development."
http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/tim-wood/dow-theory-update-4-6-2011
JTH
Well-known member
poolman
Top Return 2008
The problem with this report or article Birchtree is that for me it is to longterm of an outlook. I want to avoid large dips in the market.
Of Course this has been a Bull market since the 2008 debacle. You are a Perma Bull which is fine if that is how you want to play it.
I personally can do better by avoiding big dips. The way this article reads If we go below S&P 666 then we can say the Bull Ride is over. There goes over half of your retirement savings.
I'm just pointing this out for people that follow you. They will also get muddy and Burned when the S&P drops 100 points. They will be very upset and you will respond this type of thing can and does happen. You have to be in to win.
Oh Well, Good Luck Birchtree !
JTH
Well-known member
I couldn't agree with you more. In the MARCON system, the first tool I address and use is Reference. This year I've been posting 6 month charts only, to provide the reader with a consistent frame of reference. From my perspective, the 6-month time frame is a good middle ground to work with.Similar threads
