JTH's Account Talk

[JTH]

I took a 25% dip into the C-Fund today

Why you may ask? Because in the short-tem, I believe we are almost bled dry. I have lost all expectations of breaking even this year, so for now, I'll just squeeze out a nickle here and a dime there.

Best to all my TSP friends!!!!

-18.21% YTD

Went back to the G-Fund today. I know it's only a 1 day play, but I'd rather scalp some quick gains and go back to the sidelines to wait things out. I still believe we have alot more pain to go through. :suspicious:

 

[JTH]

I'm glad things worked out today. It seems my 1 day play from Friday to today gained me a quick 1.65%

It's not much, but I'll gladly take it Now I'll quietly sit on the sidelines wating for next month's entry point. Best of luck to all!!!

 

[JTH]

Good morning everyone!

I've taken a 33% dip into the F-Fund today.

My expectations are this market will break through it's previous lows and the F-Fund will reap the benefits. Once this has taken place, I'll use my last IFT to switch over to stocks, then make a gracful exit off the highs into the G-Fund before year's end. Hopefully Tom's December Seasonality Chart will serve as a guide for my next entry point into stocks.

It's a simple stratigy and one I plan to use for the next few months.

Best of luck & timing to everyone!

Cheers... JTH

 

[KevinD]

Well at least you have a plan. Thats more than I've got.

Good Luck!

 

[JTH]

I'm thinking about getting into stocks today. I'd value any incite as to why I shouldn't.

 

[TerpTrader]

I'm thinking about getting into stocks today. I'd value any incite as to why I shouldn't.

Chart sais 'no'....gotta respect the charts, imo.
Needs to break and hold above longterm trendline from mid-September before a new short-term trend takes hold.
I'm waiting patiently (wringing hands) for a better buying opportunity, probably next Thurs or Fri, in anticipation of FED rate cut on Tues.

 

[JTH]

Chart sais 'no'....gotta respect the charts, imo.
Needs to break and hold above longterm trendline from mid-September before a new short-term trend takes hold.
I'm waiting patiently (wringing hands) for a better buying opportunity, probably next Thurs or Fri, in anticipation of FED rate cut on Tues.

Thanks, and I agree and think there will be a better entry point later next week. As you said "waiting patiently" :notrust:

 

[JTH]

I’m trying to develop a trading strategy where I either buy F or C, on their perspective dip, then switch to the other fund on its dip. Hence if I buy F on it’s dip, then I would theoretically switch to C on it’s dip when F has peaked. From there, I’d scale back to the safety of G.

It works in theory, but sometimes I’ve gotten robbed with the F fund. If I could find a better way to predict its outcome I might get better results.

I’m open to any suggestions on how I might tweak it, to make it better

Cheers… JTH

 

[JTH]

It’s days and times like these where I have the hardest time making a decision. It would seem that everyone is herding over to the Bull camp. Aside from getting above the 20 Day moving average on the S&P 500, we really haven’t seen anything concrete that supports a reversal of the downtrend.

In addition, I keep thinking that this Market is waiting for the Big 3 Bailout, waiting for the quick pop, and then the massive sell off. Maybe I’m wrong, but either ways, waiting to use my last IFT for an entry point into stocks, is getting old… :suspicious:

 

[JTH]

Good morning everyone! I'll be so glad when this year is over and I can start with a fresh clean slate, knowing I've learned so many great lessons this year that I can apply in 2009.

Before................. After
Dec 4.................. Dec 12
G 67%................................ G 30%
F 33%................................ F 25%
C 0%................................... C 10%
S 0%................................... S 15%
I 0%.................................... I 20%

I'm leaving safety and building my position in stocks. If the market continues to decline next week, then I'll scale back my position in the F-Fund. If the market finds a reason to climb, then I may scale back my position in CSI. If the dollar falls off a cliff, then I hope it will benefit the I-Fund. I hope to be back in the safety of the G-Fund before the end of the year.

It's too hard to time this market right now, so good luck to all.

 

[JTH]

New allocation

(Summary) Pulled out of F and scaled out of I.

The F-Fund has been good to me this month, but it's at the high end of its trading range so I'm pulling out. I'm also expecting the I-Fund to make a small profit today, so I'm scaling back 5% into G.

By EOB today I'll be 60% safety and 40% stocks. This is an acceptable amount of risk for me and I'm looking forward to seeing how the next two weeks play out.

 

[JTH]

It's been kind of a bla Monday morning in the markets, but I am pleased to see the S&P500 bounced off of 865 (864.89)

Hopefully that will be the low for the day and we can close flat or higher

 

[CapeChem]

I think you'll get you flat day......I am thinking a 3:00 buying streak will take us to even for the day.

 

[JTH]

I'm somewhat surprised we haven't talked about the F-Fund much.

It has surpassed its YTD high from September 9th of 12.3691 and closed Monday at 12.3755

The question is can it go much higher? If it peaks here and falls, will it maintain its traditional inverse relationship to stocks? Does this mean we are on the precipice of a rally in stocks?

Thank you Mr. F-Fund, we had a great year!

G 60%
C 10%
S 10%
I 10%

 

[JTH]

If you go directly to the video on Youtube and type in &FMT=18 at the end of the link in the address bar, it will dramatically increase the video's resolution.

Cheers...JTH

Inthemoneystocks.com



Freetradingvideos.com

 

[JTH]

How about that F-Fund!!!

Holy cow that thing is strapped to a rocket!

 

[jon]

Wouldn't be surprised if some Made Off w/ your money brokers, haven't been hyping short term gov't bonds to unsophisticated investors because of skyrocketing prices. Will anyone continue to buy bonds w/ interest rates of almost 0%? 50F to 100G today.

 

[JTH]

I’m trying to develop a trading strategy where I either buy F or C, on their perspective dip, then switch to the other fund on its dip. Hence if I buy F on it’s dip, then I would theoretically switch to C on it’s dip when F has peaked. From there, I’d scale back to the safety of G.

Well that's all I'll do for the remainder of 2008. Quick in, quick out, and hopefully gain more G-Fund shares in the process.

100% G

 

[JTH]

Mr. Long

Mr. Long you suck, it's time for you to leave, go away, and never rear your fugally head again.

You have wasted 8 investing years of my life with your scheming lack of integrity.

Thanks for leaving me the option of taking my money out after you changed the rules without my consent.

Thanks for lying to all of us and trying to convince us your "buy and hold" strategy works.

Thanks for blaming us I-funders for all of your problems and convincing the sheep we're the bad evil day traders.

Be a man, admit you made a mistake, and eliminate the IFT restrictions so I can get back all the money you helped the market to swallow.

Rant off...

 

[Gumby]

Re: Mr. Long

Mr. Long you suck, it's time for you to leave, go away, and never rear your fugally head again.

You have wasted 8 investing years of my life with your scheming lack of integrity.

Thanks for leaving me the option of taking my money out after you changed the rules without my consent.

Thanks for lying to all of us and trying to convince us your "buy and hold" strategy works.

Thanks for blaming us I-funders for all of your problems and convincing the sheep we're the bad evil day traders.

Be a man, admit you made a mistake, and eliminate the IFT restrictions so I can get back all the money you helped the market to swallow.

Rant off...

Come on...tell him what you really feel!