James48843 Account Talk

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James!! You were spot on!!

Sorry, I know it's frustrating when you call something and I hear you, you think it'll run away before it hits your target. I had a target on the S fund at 1040 over a year ago which it never hit, and it took off from around 1180 up into the 1400's before this downturn.

Note to "Future James" - listen to "Past James".




James48843 said:
Note to Nutt: that Andy Borowitz piece- that was humor.

Note to the future: right now I am seeing wecare about 2/3rds the way through this loss blip. I am seeing perhaps down to 2547- to 2521 in the S&P as the bottom. We are going to hit that area and bottom out in the next 3 to 5 days. I think we’ll have one false bottom, maybe at 2570, before sliding down a wee bit more- but then I’m going to go full in at 2550 or so. That’s my prediction.

(Can I get my own psychic line?)

We shall see-


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Note to self- I’m seeing amazingly positive stuff. The dip has successfully passed, and we are looking like a quick resumption of upward movement is in the cards.

I’m in right now with a 33/34/33 mix, and will be watching the trend over the next two weeks. If I still have the one trade left near the end of the month, it will likely be used to shift into whichever fund looks like it is accelerating upward at that time.

“I “ is still underperforming a bit- let’s see what the rest of the month holds.

“All clear” for the dip, settled comfortably back into stocks and upward we go.

Gain this cycle against the “c”=. I’m ahead a little over 3% ahead of “C” fund for the year to date. That wasn’t as much as I hope on that swing, but he’ll, it was the first ripple in ages- it was quite rewarding to hit it as well as I did. Now cross fingers and take a breath.



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Power drive confirmed- I see higher ahead. I’m studying now to confirm that I want to shift to “c” for everything in my next move. That is where my head is at at the moment. Will re-evaluate tomorrow before noon.


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Sliding my holdings- the second move of the month- to the following:

60% "C " Fund.
20 % "S" Fund
20% " I " fund.

Why:

It looks like "C" fund is holding up better than the other funds, so I am thinking, based on the charts, that "C" is going to continue to out perform "S" and "I" for the short term. I am thinking now in terms of at least 2 weeks to perhaps a month moving forward, that we will continue to see solid performance, That shakeout two weeks ago was badly needed, and did exactly what I was hoping- throwing a little fear out there so that people understand it's not ALWAYS going to head north.

Now that we have that over with, I think we will have at least a couple of weeks of less volatility.

Good luck.
 
Wow. This chart is scaring me today. I am seeing the 50 moving average just was a stopping resistance point, and that frightened me.

Am seriously considering moving to G for safety today. Will know in the next hour or two.


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Note: I’m jumping back in because I think I can catch a swing here and make 2-3% yet in March- Still thinking we will continue with a correction for a little while.

The average correction lasts about 41 trading days, and we are only halfway through.

Here is a good article:

“. Since World War II, according to data from Goldman Sachs, there have been 36 S&P 500 corrections. Of those, 24 didn’t presage the start of a recession. Furthermore, of the 24 corrections that didn’t coincide with a recession, 20 of them didn’t lead to a bear market. In the corrections that didn’t turn into bear markets, the median decline for the benchmark U.S. index was a drop of 13%.”-

Source: https://www.marketwatch.com/Story/u...nvestors-2018-03-16?&siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo


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For what it is worth- I’m seeing the next downside resistance point isn’t until like 2352-2375 range. If it doesn’t stop now, the next stopping point isn’t until there, AND that one isn’t real solid either.


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This is interesting to be. Some serious pushback around 2550. That’s good, if it continues to hold. The next question will be if this denotes a floor, or only a temporary break in the decline.

I’m going to stay cautious and in G for a while longer.


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