FireWeatherMet
Well-known member
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James48843 Account Talk
- Thread starter James48843
- Start date
James48843
Well-known member
Moving to the safety of "G" and a little "F" fund, because I am concerned about next week- and what the markets will do as a result of the Hurricane.
I am thinking there is going to be a LOT of damage over the weekend, and a possible big DOWN day on Tuesday (Markets closed Monday for Columbus Day).
to "G" I go!
I am thinking there is going to be a LOT of damage over the weekend, and a possible big DOWN day on Tuesday (Markets closed Monday for Columbus Day).
to "G" I go!
weatherweenie
Well-known member
James48843
Well-known member
Thanks! I thought it was closed. Oh well- I have made my pre-noon move. So it is to be.
The TSP is close on Monday. Per tsp.gov: Some financial markets will be closed on Monday, October 10th in observance of the Columbus Day holiday. The Thrift Savings Plan will also be closed. Transactions that would have been processed Monday night (October 10th) will be processed Tuesday night (October 11th), at Tuesday's closing share prices.
nnuut
Moderator | TSP Legend
James48843
Well-known member
Moving back to the "G" fund.
So far this year, I am in 139th place. Not a bad place to be half-way into the first month.
And I have a positive 2+ % return.
If I can only do that 11 more months, I will have a nice year, eh?
Here is to making the best of things in 2017.
So far this year, I am in 139th place. Not a bad place to be half-way into the first month.
And I have a positive 2+ % return.
If I can only do that 11 more months, I will have a nice year, eh?
Here is to making the best of things in 2017.
James48843
Well-known member
Oh man... I'm sitting here in the "S" fund, and thinking- "Should we SELL IN MAY AND WALK AWAY"?
I am thinking this run up has moved sideways enough for a while- that it might be time to bail out for the "...SELL IN MAY" idea.
What do YOU think?
Is it time to preserve the balance?
I am thinking this run up has moved sideways enough for a while- that it might be time to bail out for the "...SELL IN MAY" idea.
What do YOU think?
Is it time to preserve the balance?
James,
This is what May has looked like over the last few years. I'm thinking maybe 50/50 "CS" for May.
View attachment May.xlsx
James48843
Well-known member
I was just looking at all three stock charts today- S&P 500; 4500 completion, and the EFA, and all three are telling me we've hit resistance, a top, and are now regrouping.
I am thinking the next several weeks will be significantly lower than where we are here.
I am sitting 95% on the sidelines in "G" right now- and plan to stay that way for a bit.
Have a great day.
I am thinking the next several weeks will be significantly lower than where we are here.
I am sitting 95% on the sidelines in "G" right now- and plan to stay that way for a bit.
Have a great day.
James48843
Well-known member
ok- we're lower than we were when I last sold.
So I'm thinking it's time to risk some more.
Back into the stocks for a quick rebound over the weekend. Wish me luck!
Moving to:
10% "C"
50 % "S"
40% "I" at Close of Business today.
So I'm thinking it's time to risk some more.
Back into the stocks for a quick rebound over the weekend. Wish me luck!
Moving to:
10% "C"
50 % "S"
40% "I" at Close of Business today.
James48843
Well-known member
Getting nervous. Something isn't quite right.
I can't put my finger on it, but I have decided that I am going to start moving away from stocks and towards capital preservation. (NNuut has taught me well).
Moving 30% of my holdings over into the L Income fund- as that is safer than where I am now, but still has upward potential if I am overcautious.
As of COB today, I will be sitting at : 30% L Income; 20% C fund, 40% S Fund; and 10% in the I Fund.
That protects a little bit. Every little bit helps.
I can't put my finger on it, but I have decided that I am going to start moving away from stocks and towards capital preservation. (NNuut has taught me well).
Moving 30% of my holdings over into the L Income fund- as that is safer than where I am now, but still has upward potential if I am overcautious.
As of COB today, I will be sitting at : 30% L Income; 20% C fund, 40% S Fund; and 10% in the I Fund.
That protects a little bit. Every little bit helps.
James48843
Well-known member
ok- I am STILL thinking this is a VERY lofty level, which has not had any kind of a pullback in quite some time!
So I am adjusting some more. Now going to :
50%= L-Income
15%= C Fund
25% = S Fund
10% = I Fund
That makes this portfolio about 38% "G" fund right now- with the slightly more "S" than "C" in the holdings- similar to a "L-2030" type allocation, except leaning more heavily on small caps than the actual L-2030 does. (More S than C, whereas L-2030 is much more "C" than "S").
I can't believe we're not having a correction of some kind by now. My gut tells me it is time for a small correction. !!
So I am adjusting some more. Now going to :
50%= L-Income
15%= C Fund
25% = S Fund
10% = I Fund
That makes this portfolio about 38% "G" fund right now- with the slightly more "S" than "C" in the holdings- similar to a "L-2030" type allocation, except leaning more heavily on small caps than the actual L-2030 does. (More S than C, whereas L-2030 is much more "C" than "S").
I can't believe we're not having a correction of some kind by now. My gut tells me it is time for a small correction. !!
Why not just invest in the L2040 or L2050. I think they are well diversified enough to show some pretty competitive gains, compared to the F, C and W funds.
James48843
Well-known member
Because the L2040 and L2050 are, in my opinion, too heavy in S&P500 and too light in smaller and midsize (S fund).
James48843
Well-known member
ok- Now I am REALLY starting to itch at the back of my neck, for a drop in the market in the near term.
Moving today to 50% "G fund" for safety, and 50% "L-Income", just because I can't bring myself to going ALL G at this point.
Hoping for a good day to move to sidelines, and then next couple of weeks seeing lower.
WE shall see. Good luck!
Moving today to 50% "G fund" for safety, and 50% "L-Income", just because I can't bring myself to going ALL G at this point.
Hoping for a good day to move to sidelines, and then next couple of weeks seeing lower.
WE shall see. Good luck!
James48843
Well-known member
Tom:
Put me down for a low of 2464 in the next three weeks on the S&P500. I’m seeing that as being the support level to expect- maybe 2454 , but I’m on a better than 50/50 feeling of 2464.
Just saying- it’s time for a breather.
Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
Put me down for a low of 2464 in the next three weeks on the S&P500. I’m seeing that as being the support level to expect- maybe 2454 , but I’m on a better than 50/50 feeling of 2464.
Just saying- it’s time for a breather.
Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
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