James48843 Account Talk

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I am very happy with what I am seeing this morning. I was concerned after Hurricane Sandy that the markets were going to react badly to the 50 billion or so damage on the east coast. But it appears that even though we took a punch, the markets are very resillient today.

So, unless something changes drastically before noon today, I will probably move OUT of the safety of where I have had 50 % in G and 30% in F, and move everything today BACK into stocks. Not sure yet of the allocation- but it will include some "I" fund, that's for sure. Not sure whether to go with 'S" or "C" for moving back in. Going to watch it today until just before noon, and then chart what looks best going forward for me.


I'm diving in today. Wish me luck.

swan_dive.jpg
 
Well, I am HOPING that today will be the day for a breakthrough.


Four times now I have approached the 400K mark (less than 900 dollars to go till I hit it)

and all four time I have missed it by THAT MUCH.
missed_it_by_that_much.jpg



Then it's fallen down 10K again over the next few days.

But I have this feeling that TODAY is going to be very, very good to me.

I am sitting today at 399.1K, just looking at that 400K wall I keep hitting.....


and I'm fully invested at 80% "I", 20% "S"......

so.............

Come on baby.....Daddy needs a new pair of shoes (puff!)

dice-.jpg
 
$400K is quite a feat! With your YTD return of 18%, that means you've made close to $70K this year. Way to go!
 
400K woohoo....now the serious money needs to be made.....Let's get you to that half-a-million next year! Shoot for 20% returns + buyins and you are rockin......Grats James!
 
Something does not feel "right" to me today. I can't put my finger on it, but the hair on my neck is starting to itch.


So I am moving the majority of my funds to safety today.

Moving FROM 80% "I" and 20% "S" .....TO: 85% "G", 5% each of "F", "C" and "I".


Effective COB today.


Something's just not right.
 
My "spidey sense" is sending louder and louder signals, saying we're about to have a dive. That is contrary to normal end-of-year activity. We USUALLY get a "Santa Rally" as we head into mid-December.



But for some reason, my gut is telling me LOUDLY today that we're about to hit exactly the opposite.

I do not know why. NOTHING in any of the numbers indicates to me why we would not continue to rise.

But my gut is just screaming "SELL and go to safety" at me yesterday and today.


So I did.

Personally, I moved 85% of my holdings into "G" yesterday.


I can't put my finger on anything.

There is NO REASON for me to think the market is going lower.

But you know---- sometimes common sense does not prevail.


I am just saying.....


Have a great day.

Good luck.
 
James48843 said:
My "spidey sense" is sending louder and louder signals, saying we're about to have a dive. That is contrary to normal end-of-year activity. We USUALLY get a "Santa Rally" as we head into mid-December.



But for some reason, my gut is telling me LOUDLY today that we're about to hit exactly the opposite.

I do not know why. NOTHING in any of the numbers indicates to me why we would not continue to rise.

But my gut is just screaming "SELL and go to safety" at me yesterday and today.


So I did.

Personally, I moved 85% of my holdings into "G" yesterday.


I can't put my finger on anything.

There is NO REASON for me to think the market is going lower.

But you know---- sometimes common sense does not prevail.


I am just saying.....


Have a great day.

Good luck.
Click to expand...
As you can see, my spidey had no sense this year.:cheesy:
 
James

I 100% agree and will probably get out Monday if we're green at 12 EST. However, I'm doing it on the fact that next weeks seasonality is the worst for December in the last decade. I believe more people wanted to buy this jobs report today but didn't want to buy in on a Friday, so they will buy in Monday (dow triple, and Sp double type day), Tuesday Wednesday Thursday big fiscal cliff sale off days; especially Tuesday with people taking Mondays gains. Following week we get Santa rally as veteran traders swoop in on low price knowing congress will kick the can. End of the following big Santa rally as congress does in-fact kick the can.

Just my thought process.
 
ILoveTDs said:
James

I 100% agree and will probably get out Monday if we're green at 12 EST. However, I'm doing it on the fact that next weeks seasonality is the worst for December in the last decade. I believe more people wanted to buy this jobs report today but didn't want to buy in on a Friday, so they will buy in Monday (dow triple, and Sp double type day), Tuesday Wednesday Thursday big fiscal cliff sale off days; especially Tuesday with people taking Mondays gains. Following week we get Santa rally as veteran traders swoop in on low price knowing congress will kick the can. End of the following big Santa rally as congress does in-fact kick the can.

Just my thought process.
Click to expand...

sounds like you got that all figgered out except for the possible tsunami/isreal turns egypt to glass nukeler meltdown/fiscal abyss (we're way past the cliff already since last year dumbasses)/black swan stuff. good luck with that.

and if you make money and i don't then your gains will be taxed to pay for my supper anyhow. it's the new, new deal.

this market is crazy and i'm out until the situation changes.
 
ILoveTDs said:
James

I 100% agree and will probably get out Monday if we're green at 12 EST. However, I'm doing it on the fact that next weeks seasonality is the worst for December in the last decade. I believe more people wanted to buy this jobs report today but didn't want to buy in on a Friday, so they will buy in Monday (dow triple, and Sp double type day), Tuesday Wednesday Thursday big fiscal cliff sale off days; especially Tuesday with people taking Mondays gains. Following week we get Santa rally as veteran traders swoop in on low price knowing congress will kick the can. End of the following big Santa rally as congress does in-fact kick the can.

Just my thought process.
Click to expand...

Last week was down just like I thought. I still beleive next week we get Santa rally as veteran traders swoop in on low price knowing congress will kick the can. However, the big Santa rally is the following week (Christmas) when congress kicks the can.
 
[h=5]HMMMM... Not good.

Five inches of snow on the way. The flurries just started. FIRST significant snowfall of the year.



So I look outside- Uh oh. Flat tire on the snow plow truck.

Got out the air compressor, but when I flipped on the switch....the air compressor made a VERY NASTY noise and would not start.

It appears a mouse had made it's home inside the guts of the air compressor, and, when electricity was applied to said air compressor....well, let's just say it was not a pretty sound.

air compressor---- dead.


mouse..... more dead. More like chopped, stirred, and minced. Ouch.

tire on snow plow truck- still flat, and big snow on the way.

Love those unexpected projects on Christmas holiday.[/h]
F_ _ _ !.
 
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