Intrepid_Timer's PUBLIC Account Talk

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tsptalk said:
Depsite the service being free through January 31, for some reason many of you have been asking me if you can subscribe to Intrepid_Timer's premium service early. Well, I went a head and got everything ready so have at it...

www.tsptalk.com/members

We aims to please.

I needed a few guinea pigs anyway to check for bugs. :D Let me know if you have any problems. Thanks!
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Great, I'm in. Count me as a guinea pig...I had my calender marked for 1/31/11 but am thankful for the opportunity to sigh up now... Thanks I-T and Tom. :) Looking forward to a prosperous 2011!
 
I'm half in, gained 0.35% today, and still dropped 30 places in the rankings:

More to the point, I have one IFT left, wanted to wait until the reaction to the Fed...and there you have it....bought into.

So ....is it soup yet (i.e., a sell in any of the equity funds?). A hold...or buy more? Of what? Is S-overbought? or will it go more? Inquiring minds, potential subscribers, and bad traders like me, all want to know.
 
Welcome aboard everyone!! I'm expecting great things in the next few years and don't believe you'll be disappointed in my systems annual returns. If things continue as they have, wouldn't it be nice to double your money in 2 to 3 years? Not saying we'll do it, but wouldn't it be nice? :p

But seriously, if backtested data is any indication, and of course past returns ARE NOT indicative of future returns, I see good things ahead......:)

Of course, my last year's returns on the tracker weren't too shabby either. ;)
 
normz04 said:
I'll be following you IT.. will give it a try for a month, then for the year if all goes well.

Make us rich! :-D
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Thanks! Hopefully I pass the test next month. As you can see on the returns I posted in my Jan 25th commentary, my system will have a "bad" month once in awhile, so hopefully you'll look at the bigger picture before passing too much judgement. On the flip side, anyone can have one good month, it's the consistency that one needs to look for when committing to an investment strategy. ;)
 
amoeba said:
I'm half in, gained 0.35% today, and still dropped 30 places in the rankings:

More to the point, I have one IFT left, wanted to wait until the reaction to the Fed...and there you have it....bought into.

So ....is it soup yet (i.e., a sell in any of the equity funds?). A hold...or buy more? Of what? Is S-overbought? or will it go more? Inquiring minds, potential subscribers, and bad traders like me, all want to know.
Click to expand...

My indicators are still on a buy signal at this point, but it's close. It's WAY too early to get a true signal though. Things can change quickly overnight.............:nuts:
 
No-Hackle said:
I-T, thanks for helping us newbies out, I missed your last sell signal and got stuck in the F fund for one extra day so I'm lagging behind a bit. Anyway, the question I have is do you have advice for any of us who also carry a Roth IRA? I'm currently with Vanguard (who has funds very similar to TSP), but with Vanguard, you can't buy into a fund for two months once you've sold your shares. Therefore, your system unfortunately does not work for Vanguard roth IRAs. I'm just trying to find a good system for my Roth, I guess there is the dreaded *gulp* buy-and-hold strategy.

Thanks again I_T.
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This is actually similar to some friends work 401ks that I helped them with several years ago. Very difficult for them to do anything except buy and hold. Which I'm sure is what their fund managers wanted them to do.

I'm not really familiar with Vanguard all that much. Is this only for their funds or for all they funds they offer? I know they offer some Profunds family of funds so I would think you wouldn't have wait two months after you sell these to buy them, but I don't know for sure. I'm sure their fees are more expensive, so I don't know if it would be viable option to use these or not.

Personally, I'd do an IRA transfer as quickly as possible to self directed IRA with online broker like Sharebuilder, Scottrade, Americatrade, Fidelity or any of a number of others.

One other option that not a lot people talk about is to sell when the daily price of the S&P500 falls below it's 250 day moving average and buy when it goes back above it. This would have kept you in the market most years but you would have been out of the market during most of the drop in 2000-2002 and 2008. Just make sure you wait 2 months before you make your next buy or sell or you could get a little whip-sawed on occasion.
 
I'm in!:) Been following your thread for seveal months and was a day late on the I fund trade both getting in and out and loved the gain.:) I'm sitting just a few behind BT today at #30 with a 3.31% gain for Jan. :D I'm using the trend method with 50/50 G and S. Ready to pull the plug on the S to lock in the gain, but don't want to miss any too.:suspicious:
 
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Intrepid_Timer said:
I'm not really familiar with Vanguard all that much. Is this only for their funds or for all they funds they offer? I know they offer some Profunds family of funds so I would think you wouldn't have wait two months after you sell these to buy them, but I don't know for sure. I'm sure their fees are more expensive, so I don't know if it would be viable option to use these or not.
QUOTE]

With Vanguard, they have so many good funds to choose from that the 60-day rule isn't much of an issue. You simply choose a different stock fund (and one of the ones that has no fees) when you want back in the market. So in effect there are no limits to trading in and out with Vanguard, and you could use all of IT's buy/sell signals to your full advantage and do better than in the TSP. I've been doing that for many years with my daughters college funds, and consistently doing better than my TSP account. You also don't have the silly TSP noon deadline, you can make your move any time right up to just before the closing bell. I will never understand why TSP won't allow that. With the monthly limit on moves, what's the logic of eliminating that small advantage of being able to make the decision late in the trading day?
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Last edited:
I just wanted to say thanks as well; I've been following the thread for awhile and love it. Looking forward to the premium service too! I want to start an account outside the TSP soon and am torn over who to open with. I will have a low balance at first, so fees will really eat into profits. That's why I'm thinking of mutual funds with no buy in or transfer fees. I didn't realize Vanguard had a hold on their funds once sold. I like what I hear about USAA... could you work ITs system using their mutual funds and stay away from fees or buying holds? I can't quite tell from their website. The other broker I've been looking into is Scottrade. I don't see any fees or holds from their websites if you use NTF funds like Rydex, ProFunds and Direxionfunds. Any advice on these two brokerage services for an account starting with not a whole lot of money? I imagine that as the account grows it would be more advantageous to move to ETFs, but for now it seems like mutual funds are the way to go. Thanks!

JTH said:
I don't have this issue with USAA and they carry their own Mutual Funds too.
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No-Hackle said:
I'm currently with Vanguard (who has funds very similar to TSP), but with Vanguard, you can't buy into a fund for two months once you've sold your shares. Therefore, your system unfortunately does not work for Vanguard roth IRAs. I'm just trying to find a good system for my Roth, I guess there is the dreaded *gulp* buy-and-hold strategy.

Thanks again I_T.
Click to expand...
 
Tsunami said:
I will never understand why TSP won't allow that. With the monthly limit on moves, what's the logic of eliminating that small advantage of being able to make the decision late in the trading day?
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Why?

It took me less than a week working for the Fed. Gov to figure out that governmental bodies havent got a clue what they are doing, how to do what they are doing efficently or how to do anything so it advantages themselves or the public that government is supposed to serve.

Government is a cluster-four letter word at BEST.
 
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