Interfund Transfer 4/4/ for 4/5/05

[mlk_man]

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tennisguy wrote:

Thanks guys. Still at the beginning of the learning curve, but I am reading allot of charts and news. Still a very big amateur though.

I figurethis is the time I can makemistakes (and hopefully learn from my mistakes)because 1 percent representsless then 20 dollars. I am going to give it a year. See if I can do better then a buy and hold person.

Even if I am a little bit lower then a buy and hold method I have learnedallot since I started my TSP account. The benefits outweigh the negatives. I know what’s going on in different countries, what’s happing to our dollar and economy news. At the very least I am more educated then the average Joe about what is going on. Before I just knew the top headline of the newspaper and thats it. Just my .02 cents.

It can get addictive TG, just think of it as a hobbie with long term benefits.....:^

Good luck to you,

M_M

 

[tsptalk]

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The deeper I get into being on the wrong side, the closer I will be to eventually being on the right side.

This is looking a lot like July/August of last year. I just hope it doesn't turn into the spring of 1994. Ifit does, then the S&P 500 could hit 1124. Ouch! I don't know how that will play out but I have to stick with my indicators because they are emotionless, and I'm not.

That first sentence was a joke but there is some truth to it. Imissed a great opportunity to be out of the market while it is going down, but being a seller now is the mistake the herd, Joe Sixpack, emotional money, dumb money, whatever you want to call it, aregoing to make.

I always like to see is when the stock market makes the top story in your local news. Whether it is flying high or dropping like a rock,it is another sign of a reversal being very close at hand. I haven't checked yet but has it been on your local news yet? It was on the Drudge Report this afternoon as the top story, butit's the local news that is really the indicator.

 

[coolhand]

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What kind of indicator wouldwe havewhen traders start to jump out of windows?

 

[Guest]

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tsptalk wrote:

being a seller now is the mistake the herd, Joe Sixpack, emotional money, dumb money, whatever you want to call it, aregoing to make.

TOM, I VERY MUCH RESEMBLE YOUR NAME CALLING !

 

[Guest]

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tsptalk wrote:

This is looking a lot like July/August of last year. I just hope it doesn't turn into the spring of 1994. Ifit does, then the S&P 500 could hit 1124. Ouch! I don't know how that will play out but I have to stick with my indicators because they are emotionless, and I'm not.

Tom, the S&P500 ended today at 1142, dropping 38.6 points just this week. If we have another week like this week, we'll be at 1100 by next weekend. I think it'll drop A LOT lower than 1124. :shock:

 

[Guest]

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coolhand wrote:

What kind of indicator wouldwe havewhen traders start to jump out of windows?

When the newspaper headlines are "HILLARY WINS IN FLORIDA AND OHIO"

Wait, no that's the investors. I don't know about the traders.

 

[tsptalk]

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coolhand wrote:

What kind of indicator wouldwe havewhen traders start to jump out of windows?

Bet the farm. Also, sell your insurance company stocks and buy the glass company stocks.

 

[tsptalk]

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greg wrote:

tsptalk wrote:

being a seller now is the mistake the herd, Joe Sixpack, emotional money, dumb money, whatever you want to call it, aregoing to make.

TOM, I VERY MUCH RESEMBLE YOUR NAME CALLING !

Being out of the market this whole timeis one thing (a very good thing obviously). Selling now is another - Unless you can get back in on a dime, which we really can't in our TSP accounts.

 

[macdtrader]

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[align=left]Now is the time to protect your capital. Since July of 2004 we have had seven interest rate hikes.In May of 1999the Federal Reserve Bank began raising interest rates andeventually raised interest ratessix times. The stock market went up through most of that period, but started to collapse in March 2000 just after the sixth increase.[/align]

[align=left]Goodluck to everyone.[/align]

 

[tsptalk]

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Interest rates in 1999 were about doublewhat they are now, and that was before the rate hikes.

 

[billy]

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:sI am very worried I want to sell. I made some money the last two weeks and now I've lost my gains and invested money. I'm trying to believe that the market will turn and go back up. very emotional AGHHHH

 

[Rod]

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Hang in the Billy... your "pain" along with the rest of our's is a good indicator that the clouds are clearing.

God Bless:^

 

[puertorico]

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whao I took it in the chin all week :?

or I stay or leave ? :?

I think now no have no choice
i have to stay

When I think I know the game !
They changes the rules !

whatever

 

[tsptalk]

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billy wrote:

:sI am very worried I want to sell. I made some money the last two weeks and now I've lost my gains and invested money. I'm trying to believe that the market will turn and go back up. very emotional AGHHHH

Welcome billy -
Things are always the worst at the bottom. Don't hang in stocks if it hurts too much. We don't want you losing sleep. Just realize what Rod said is true and you will likely be getting out at, or close to the bottom. You'd be OK if we don't get a "V" type bottom, but if we do you could miss a good bounce which compounds your pain.

 

[Guest]

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billy wrote:

:sI am very worried I want to sell. I made some money the last two weeks and now I've lost my gains and invested money. I'm trying to believe that the market will turn and go back up. very emotional AGHHHH

At the very least, it must feel good to get some supportive words for your fears and advicefromthe board.

 

[pyriel]

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billy wrote:

:sI am very worried I want to sell. I made some money the last two weeks and now I've lost my gains and invested money. I'm trying to believe that the market will turn and go back up. very emotional AGHHHH

Billy you are not alone... Last week had been the easiest week for me to track since 95% of us committed ourselves too early and are now fully exposed to stox. Not alot of movement at all and the damage iwa staggering. As for me, I am now 5% down since the beginning of the year. 4.5% of it came down within 1 1/2 week. I'm glad i'm a tracker because I feel a little bit more comfortable knowing that I am not alone.:^

 

[puertorico]

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Thinking to put all in i-fund tomorrow

:?just one day all in I fund."still thinking about it "

 

[smine]

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PR: I'm 65% in I now and wondering whether to bail or not......Rod is heavy in to I fund also. What's your take on this?

 

[CSI]

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The I fund is down less from its high than the C&S fund since makingtheir new highs this yr - 5.4% compaired to theC - 6.5% andS - 7.7%. Where the I fund goes will depend on what comesout of theFed's Beige Book report on Wed. afternoon. If the feds indicate that they may be hesitant on raising rates again in May, the I fund should make some gains. I like playing the I fund as it has really given me the most returns in the past. If I put any in the I this week it will be tomorrow after I have time to consider what I think might transpire in the market place before the deadline tomorrow.

 

[puertorico]

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tomorrow will be 50-i 20-s 30-c
I hope & feeling that tuesday the dollar will slowdown
and i-fund will be greennnnnnnn just a feeling !

good luck smine a rod .... where is medlad ?great
fan of the i-fund ...