Interfund Transfer 2/17 for 2/18/05

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vectorman wrote:
nnuut wrote:
80% G. 10% I TO BE changed, haven't made up my mind which way to go, but UP days tend to be followed by DOWN days (profit taking) so probably go 100% "G" chicken that I am!!:*
Unless you are an expert or have a high risk tolerance I suggest you don't try timing the market daily or weekly especially with your TSP account. Most of the members here make very few moves. Excluding Namor. Time, missed opportunties, and ignoring the long term market trend are your biggest enemy. Rolo and Sarahowould be worth following because of their consistent gains and very few moves. Even Rob is doing better this year than last year with fewer moves. Getting out before the market bottoms out is great, but missing out on rallies in the climb is worse. To get back in you now have to buy shares at a higher price. Fewer shares for the price means fewer gains if your going to stay in the market awhile. Hard to see into the future, but easy to see that the I fund is stilltrending up long term no matter how many people fear it. For those who are in and out of the market constantly, if your not very good at it, then stop it, not only are you gamblingwill your future retirement, but for some, your familys' future assets.If you want to practice then get a scotttrade account. Just my opinion and experience. Good luck and invest wisely.:^


Hey Spaf another one that doesn't know COWBOY.
 
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nnuut wrote:
80% G. 10% I TO BE changed, haven't made up my mind which way to go, but UP days tend to be followed by DOWN days (profit taking) so probably go 100% "G" chicken that I am!!:*
Unless you are an expert or have a high risk tolerance I suggest you don't try timing the market daily or weekly especially with your TSP account. Most of the members here make very few moves. Excluding Namor. Time, missed opportunties, and ignoring the long term market trend are your biggest enemy. Rolo and Sarahowould be worth following because of their consistent gains and very few moves. Even Rob is doing better this year than last year with fewer moves. Getting out before the market bottoms out is great, but missing out on rallies in the climb is worse. To get back in you now have to buy shares at a higher price. Fewer shares for the price means fewer gains if your going to stay in the market awhile. Hard to see into the future, but easy to see that the I fund is stilltrending up long term no matter how many people fear it. For those who are in and out of the market constantly, if your not very good at it, then stop it, not only are you gamblingwill your future retirement, but for some, your familys' future assets.If you want to practice then get a scotttrade account. Just my opinion and experience. Good luck and invest wisely.:^
 
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80% G. 10% I TO BE changed, haven't made up my mind which way to go, but UP days tend to be followed by DOWN days (profit taking) so probably go 100% "G" chicken that I am!!:*
 
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mark wrote:
How long should I maintain everything in the G?
Mark if you feel that you are missing out on gains I suggest that you could keep a small portion in stocks during times of uncertainty. There's always risk, but if you look at the trends of the markets it may help. For example the S&P, Dow, and small caps had been bumping up against a resistancelevel; but the I fund had already broken through and is all off and running. Even if the I fund goes down alittle it has been consistently correcting back to an up trend. Look at the chart for the last two years, link at bottom. Now that may change, but don't let fear hold you back. What can you afford to put at risk and be able to sleep at night. Don't get caught up in the ' I should have or if I onlydone that 'feeling. That feeling will destroy you emotionally and also affect those around you. Even when Technobucks was playing it safe,I noticed he always kept alittle in stocks ie...7 C, 7S, 7I. If there is a rally at least you got a piece of it and won't feel so bad or if the market falls then you can tell yourself at least I protected the lion share of my assets. Either way I bet you'll feel better.:^

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/intchart/frames/frames.asp?symb=EFA
 
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That is the Question Mike. If I take the leap into stocks the bottom will fallout. If I don't it will set record highs. Just do the opposite of what I do and youmake out.:!Lurking!
 
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Tom,

I have a question. I was wondering what the difference is really between making interfund transfers and contribution allocations. I looked at your FAQ posted on this site, and it touched upon the subject, but I am trying to get a better understanding of the difference between the two. Up to yesterday, I have been making interfund transfers andinitially it seemed to go through with no problem, but subsequently making those interfund transfers seemed to change the total contributions to my account, but would not reflect properly in the distribution percentages in the different funds. I then tried changing my contribution allocations, and the next day, immediately I received the e-mail confirmation saying that the change was made properly. I understand that you suggested if you do one you should do interfund transfers, and if it does not seem to change, then do contribution allocations. But usually to notice if it did not change, you have to wait till the next day, and then by the time you see there was no difference and make a contribution allocation change, the effect probably won't be seen until the following day, so you lose out on one day of where you wanted your percentages on the different funds to be. What would you suggest, always do both? Can you just do contribution allocations and will that be sufficient or do you have to do interfund transfers as well. Thanks for your help.

Maxwell
 
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For once, I was right about the economic data. I'll gladly take ~1% gain on my account for a couple days' worth of investment. :D

I'm trying to decide if Monday will be a profit-taking day or not. Hmmmm...
 
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tsptalk wrote:
mark wrote:
How long should I maintain everything in the G?
I will remain in the G fund until we see more of a dip. In todays' market comments I talk about what happens when we see jobs reports surprises. Today's number (262,000) was a pretty good number. A bit high but maybe not too high. But thisrally might be sold off later today as the bulls nor bears seem to want to take a stand.
I don't want to sound like a stubborn perma-bear but my indicators still suggest more choppiness meaning strength shouldbe sold, and weakness bought.

It looks like the market is cheering this morning. If I was invested already I may use today or Monday as a day to step aside.
 
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Every time I see Tom post I can't get that sound effect out of my head. The one when he would do something with his bionic parts.

Killer show.

Funny how that will be possible in the near future. Not the strength part but the limbs that look real and have better dexterity.
 
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mark wrote:
How long should I maintain everything in the G?
I will remain in the G fund until we see more of a dip. In todays' market comments I talk about what happens when we see jobs reports surprises. Today's number (262,000) was a pretty good number. A bit high but maybe not too high. But thisrally might be sold off later today as the bulls nor bears seem to want to take a stand.
 
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mark wrote:
I applaude you for creating this web page. I'm not a financial savy person, but your page do provide me the foundation. I've probaably missed numerous opportunities to create more wealth within my account. I now have the ability to get more involved. Be Blessed:^
Excellent! Thank you Mark and welcome!
 
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Rod wrote:
Hey Tom, now that I think about it, you kinda remind me of someone...

Do you nowfeel like $6,000,000???:D
It's difficult to know when someone is writing in sarcasm. ;) I can't tell if that's a compliment or a knock. :D
 
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That is a very good question Mark. Nobody knows, but things are risky right now. You have to do what you think is right. I look at what the others are allocating,YAHOO Finance, currency rates, etc. The market is CRAZY and you never REALLY know what it's gonna do. Some members are really savy and still make bad desisions. I don't post my allocations because someone MIGHT allocate based on what I do and that would be a mistake. Be careful out there! :*I think we are in for a big tumble in the down direction. :U
 
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I applaude you for creating this web page. I'm not a financial savy person, but your page do provide me the foundation. I've probaably missed numerous opportunities to create more wealth within my account. I now have the ability to get more involved. Be Blessed:^
 
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Hey Tom, now that I think about it, you kinda remind me of someone...

1.jpg




Tom.jpg



Tom1.jpg


sixmillion.gif


Do you nowfeel like $6,000,000???:D
 
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Spaf wrote:
Tom......What U thinking about Monday? Up:}? Down:{? U got more charts than we do!

Do we eat steaks?

Do we eat whipsaw?

My vote is steaks. If I eat annuder whipsaw, I'll puke!

This trading range is like eating C-rations!

Rgds, be careful (maybe)! :u Spaf
I say, "STEAK"!!! Heck... LOBSTER!!!:!

It's kinda hard to ignore that seasonality data for the last trading day of Feb.:dude:

Then again, yesterday could have been that day...:*

God Bless:^
 
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Tom......What U thinking about Monday? Up:}? Down:{? U got more charts than we do!

Do we eat steaks?

Do we eat whipsaw?

My vote is steaks. If I eat annuder whipsaw, I'll puke!

This trading range is like eating C-rations!

Rgds, be careful (maybe)! :u Spaf
 
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