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gatrhumpy

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OK, so a co-worker turned me onto this site. I have been lurking for a couple of hours now, and it seems a lot of people are very knowledgeable when it comes to TSP stuff.

About the ebbtracker. I have been looking at it, and I'm very confused at what some of the numbers mean. For example, it seems the author is somewhat contradictory. He says that for tomorrow (Friday, August 31st), that the I fund is bad (hence the stop), but that you should still keep 100% of your money in the I fund? I'm confused. What about the rest of the numbers? Why are some numbers positive (yield a positive return) while the color is red?
 
gatrhumpy said:
OK, so a co-worker turned me onto this site. I have been lurking for a couple of hours now, and it seems a lot of people are very knowledgeable when it comes to TSP stuff.

About the ebbtracker. I have been looking at it, and I'm very confused at what some of the numbers mean. For example, it seems the author is somewhat contradictory. He says that for tomorrow (Friday, August 31st), that the I fund is bad (hence the stop), but that you should still keep 100% of your money in the I fund? I'm confused. What about the rest of the numbers? Why are some numbers positive (yield a positive return) while the color is red?
Click to expand...

Welcome gatrhumpy...
Read the whole ebbtracker page and you will find the answers to your questions. (Also look for this notes about contrarian moves.)
http://www.tsptalk.com/ebbchart.html
 
:D OK, it's going to take some time to absorb all the info on TSPTalk. It will start making sense after you've had time to browse through everything. As far as how the Ebbtracker works, you'd have to ask Ebb about that. For me, it's not that important. The track records speaks for itself. I suggest that you go to Ebb's talk thread and post your questions about his system. Here's the link:
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?t=2949
 
budnipper1 said:
:D OK, it's going to take some time to absorb all the info on TSPTalk. It will start making sense after you've had time to browse through everything. As far as how the Ebbtracker works, you'd have to ask Ebb about that. For me, it's not that important. The track records speaks for itself. I suggest that you go to Ebb's talk thread and post your questions about his system. Here's the link:
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?t=2949
Click to expand...

Thanks.
 
gatrhumpy said:
Meh. I'm still somewhat confused.

Does anyone use Excel to track their investments and use numbers to calculate stuff (percentage return, etc.)?
Click to expand...

The 2007 TSP Returns Calculator is here. It's an Excel spreadsheet to track your TSP trades and returns.

Also, I invite you to try TSPLookup. :)
 
Welcome gatrhumpy! We were acquainted via PM, but I want to officially welcome you. :)

The ebbcahrt is based on backtesting results. Certain patterns of $ and stop signs, proved more profitable than others. The numbers are the returns of past allocations and historical chart pattern (red or green) results.
 
The "ebbtracker" is a family secret recipe! Kind of like "Bush baked beans". However, if you know "Duke" he might give you a hint!.....:D......Only Ebb knows how it works. All we know is that it mows the green stuff!

gatrhumpy said:
Thanks. Do you know of a thread that explains all the numbers and stuff about the ebbtracker? I'm interested in the details about how it works.
Click to expand...
 
Spaf said:
The "ebbtracker" is a family secret recipe! Kind of like "Bush baked beans". However, if you know "Duke" he might give you a hint!.....:D......Only Ebb knows how it works. All we know is that it mows the green stuff!
Click to expand...

I guess that's all I needed to hear!
 
Welcome Gatrhumpy (wow, I[ll have to learn how to spell that)

As to your question regarding why Ebb would signal to get out, but actually leave his money in, well, that is a good question.

Ebb started posting his system signals earlier this year. It's based on some good data timeperiods. But he also has had a few misses here and there. So he started revising one or two of the patterns- (was out, now is in on a contrarian move) based on the percentaes of times he has been right vs. wrong.

So I guess you could say he is fine tuning it.

And he's been right more often that he has been wrong. So he's gained a pretty good following.

he jsut recently started doing a few "contrantian moves", and most of the time those have been successful too.

Just watch for a while, and you'll get the picture.

Good luck!
 
Any monies you make using this site are earned monies. Earn while you learn. And I hate to be use contrite cliche's, but if you snooze you can loose.:nuts: Also you're going to hear (see) it a million times...You have to be in to win.:D
 
I put 10% of my money in the S fund and 90% in the I fund over the weekend, and I made about $317 over the weekend. I put it back into 100% of the G fund for today (Tuesday).
 
gatrhumpy,

I'll gladly lend you a pair of my stickey pants if you think they would help you. Otherwise, welcome to the cash bar.
 
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