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take $50k loan OUT of TSP (hear that, Barclay?) and sell more S&P options credit spreads. Up 25% in past 5 months, minimal management time, +6.5% this month, +2.5% worst month.
Or take out a $50K TSP loan and short the crap out of Barclays and the financials.
The survey system does tell us we can outperform the market (+22.86% so far in 2007) with some well timed trades, but without making excessive transfers (16 total in 2007).I would most likely follow Sentiment Survey with some variations...
Wouldn't do that. Financials will be up huge in 2008. My best guess is close to 30%! I'll save this post and revisit it in Decmeber 08.![]()
The survey system does tell us we can outperform the market (+22.86% so far in 2007) with some well times trades, but without making excessive transfers (16 total in 2007).
In 2006 it was up 28%, coincidentally also making only 16 transfers.
If you do use it, I'd suggest keeping it low. I have a feeling the more we push it, the more it could change. Either with people trying to manipulate the results by voting many times, or not answering correctly to try to mess with us, etc. That's why, while I do talk about the new signals, I don't pound the table on this system. It is based on us being wrong (the dumb money) and that might not be taken well.
That said, don't count us out yet. In an email from Greg Long (TSP director) he told me, "You know where I stand, but we are willing to listen to opposing views and different approaches. "
It's a start.
The super fund fell through for a reason.
But was the superfund really a bust? It gave investors hope and caused people take a step back to think which may have prevented a mass market selloff. At the time it was nothing more than a knee jerk reaction but helped that it was endorsed by Paulson. When first mentioned it was to be worth $100 Billion. Even if it were to happen today, it would only need a fraction of that.
thank god i was never in a foxhole with you birchtree,you remind me of someone at work all they every worry about is themself never looking at the whole picture just their picture. thanks for the help with our problem with the thrift board!!!!!I'm sure I will do just fine with a 2 count IFT/month. The more money working the greater the potential. And there is only really one way to get more money and that is do your time in grade. TSP is a fiduciary account. I've earned my leverage and now I will make it work to my advantage. Gosh, the superlative bull manure smells good in here. Snort.
Aha! I knew that wasn't santa's helpers. They lied to me. :laugh:Just wait till TSP sees a huge number of IFT's on Friday mornings then the men in black will come and visit Tom.![]()