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guppie

TSP Strategist
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I have been wandering around in the site for a few years so I thought I should start my own thread. I plan to use it as a diary of my market trades and thoughts, but all are welcome to add comments.

I exited my TVIX trade this AM @ 28.57. I did not get top price, But I made a 1.69 per share on the 3 day trade
 
About Time Guppie but better than never. I've enjoyed many of your posts.
 
NNuut I didn't know if anyone ever read my comments, but I always felt like I was hijacking other peoples posts and it was hard to go back and see what I was thinking because my comments were so spread out.

I have a good feeling about today for the I fund, the dollar stalled yesterday and could easily go lower. I also have a buy set for tvix if it drops to around 26
 
guppie said:
NNuut I didn't know if anyone ever read my comments, but I always felt like I was hijacking other peoples posts and it was hard to go back and see what I was thinking because my comments were so spread out.

I have a good feeling about today for the I fund, the dollar stalled yesterday and could easily go lower. I also have a buy set for tvix if it drops to around 26
Click to expand...
The best of luck with your trades Gup!
 
The dollar did drop throughout the day so my I fund play is working so far. The TVIX buy did not trigger today as the US markets were pretty subdued. I really was expecting a general push higher after the late day comeback yesterday.

I have a good feeling about today for the I fund, the dollar stalled yesterday and could easily go lower. I also have a buy set for tvix if it drops to around 26[/QUOTE]
 
Sounds good Gup, always glad to see what others may be thinking... May be time to move into the I fund, will the strength continue or is it too tied to the value of the dollar?
 
In my opinion: the dollar has a little ways to fall. Most of the I fund gains going forward are dependent on a declining dollar. That said, I am not sure I would buy here. I messed up by exiting the market while I was on vacation and missed out on a 3% move so I bought back in during the little pullback last week. If I could get back in (If I had more IFT's) I would probably be looking for an exit about now, But since I will be out for the month I will try not to cut and run just yet

Whipsaw said:
Sounds good Gup, always glad to see what others may be thinking... May be time to move into the I fund, will the strength continue or is it too tied to the value of the dollar?
Click to expand...
 
I hope your right on the I fund....I'm all in. IMO the two IFT rule puts us at a disadvantage. You hit the nail in the head with an early exit point and then miss out on the rest of the month. They need to change that rule.
 
The 2 IFT rule make it allot harder because it forces you to wait to long to buy and wait too long to sell. At least in my case ;)

Robo5555 said:
I hope your right on the I fund....I'm all in. IMO the two IFT rule puts us at a disadvantage. You hit the nail in the head with an early exit point and then miss out on the rest of the month. They need to change that rule.
Click to expand...
 
Taking 20% to the G fund. (80% I) Looks like we could go Higher, but I am very near my 2% per month goal
 
Taking another 30% off today (50G 50I) Market is complacent and I'm above 10% so exceeding my 2% a month goal

guppie said:
Taking 20% to the G fund. (80% I) Looks like we could go Higher, but I am very near my 2% per month goal
Click to expand...
 
The dollar has run as low as I thought it would, but seems to be accelerating to the downside. Not sure if I made the right call going 50% G
 
60G 40I gravitating toward capital preservation. Had I known the I fund was going to return almost a full percent yesterday I would have moved more money out. I think the dollar move is reaching the lower limits short term, but I also thought there would be a significant pause at 98 (currently 97.5)
 
At the end of the day, I left 5 bucks a share on the table with tvix. (made 3.66) Lets see how the xiv trade goes. in at 67.2 after hours last night

guppie said:
too soon again. Not complaining about 3.66 a share, just wish I could read the market better
Click to expand...
 
Seems to be allot of fear circulating this AM. However, I'm thinking we will have a better day than yesterday
 
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