Guppies Account Talk

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Looks like the dollar trade may have run out of steam. I actually thought it would pause at 98 on the way down and was surprised when it drifted as low as 97.22 yesterday. My contributions go in tonight so I will not move anything today, but Friday I may need to continue capital preservation.
 
The dollar trade is apparently back on. At least this morning. I like it, but I do not trust it.

guppie said:
Looks like the dollar trade may have run out of steam. I actually thought it would pause at 98 on the way down and was surprised when it drifted as low as 97.22 yesterday. My contributions go in tonight so I will not move anything today, but Friday I may need to continue capital preservation.
Click to expand...
 
I have been holding C fund for a long time. I was talked into it being the most stable. Granted there has been a consistent climb, I'm also not earning as much as I could. Now that I found this forum, i hear a lot more opinions and have learned so more resources. I'm going all I fund while the dollar continues to fall. I hope to catch it on the way back up, given I will only have 1 more IFT.
 
The dollar falling is what's driving the I fund higher. If I had an IFT left this month I would be transitioning to the C fund. Since I don't I am taking money to the G fund on up days. Not advice, just want to be sure you understand the inverse relationship between the dollar and the I fund.

mikekellyonline said:
I have been holding C fund for a long time. I was talked into it being the most stable. Granted there has been a consistent climb, I'm also not earning as much as I could. Now that I found this forum, i hear a lot more opinions and have learned so more resources. I'm going all I fund while the dollar continues to fall. I hope to catch it on the way back up, given I will only have 1 more IFT.
Click to expand...
 
Continuing my capital preservation mode. G=78% I=20% S=1% C=1%

moving 10% to G on the down day was an obvious error, but the market wasn't cratering when I made the call. Moving 30% the day before was well timed and allowed me to maintain my 2% a month goal
 
yes, just rounding up last nights contributions. I bailed today just left 1% in S,C,& I. Not sure why, just got a bad feeling that the dollar will rebound next week and beat down the I fund. If I had IFT's left I would have moved to C/S

Whipsaw said:
Are you employing the <1% technique? I've not tried that yet...
Click to expand...
 
I hope you don't make any decision based on my thoughts, I change my mind 10 times a day. I struggled with the sell decision and actually attempted to cancel at the last minuet, but was 10 seconds too late. So I will either be the idiot that sold too soon or looking pretty smart next week (possibly both) but either way it's just dumb luck. Have a great weekend.

Whipsaw said:
I had your comments in mind when I made my entry today. Thanks!
Click to expand...
 
The I fund has a half percent move in the bank premarket as there was no equalization of value at the market close on Friday. Great for all that are still in, kinda sucks for me as I cashed at the close Friday.
 
We shall see what today holds. I'm on the ship today I'm gonna wait until lunch to check and change up at the last hour if I need to. For now, the dollar is still slipping after open hour.
 
Markets have stalled albeit up, Looking for catalyst?

I have a TVIX buy programed around 23, not looking very likely today
 
Looks like I left the I fund 1 day too soon (Friday instead of Monday), but otherwise it was a decent call so far. The dollar has reversed it's decline for the time being. Still think the c fund is a good bet.
I am still waiting for the TVIX buy to trigger and with the china downgrade it will probably not get as low as I would like. However, Thursday I will have funds in the clear and may make a play even if it does not hit my buy price.

rounding up, 2% C, S,& I. 96 % G



guppie said:
I bailed today just left 1% in S,C,& I. Not sure why, just got a bad feeling that the dollar will rebound next week and beat down the I fund. If I had IFT's left I would have moved to C/S
Click to expand...
 
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