Gilligan's Account Talk

50% S, 50% I cob 6-30-06. I thought the market was going to drop and I missed one of the best days of this year for stocks. I hoping that the rally will continue next week.
 
The third Monday in July has closed lower for the C and S than the previous Friday closing prices then rebounded on Tuesday in last three years. The war in Israel has brought stocks lower last week, throwing a curve ball in this seasonal trend. I’m going back into stocks and hoping that the trend continues.
 
After studying the last 3 Julys of the of the TSP returns I decided to sell my S shares today and buy them back on a down day in the near future. The I fund will have a major FV today and its too tricky for me to trade it. 50% G; 50% I; cob 7-19-06.
 
The F & C fund have closed lower on the 4th Monday in July for the last 3 years. The S & I were lower 2/3rds of the time. Israel might step up the war over the weekend. Barclays still owes the I fund 20 cents which they should pay today. Monday maybe a good day to buy stocks. Going 100% G, cob 7-21-06.
 
Mondays rally surprised me. I’m not sure which way the market is going. Just spreading it out. 25% each G/F/S/I cob 7-26-06
 
I moved 50% into stocks yesterday. I am going 100% in stocks today. After the FOMC meeting the markets will either go one way or another. If they go down then I will have bought at a lower price and hope for a bounce. If they go up, I think the rally will last for two or three days. 50% S, 50% I cob 8-8-06
 
The I fund should up over $20 today; I don’t want to be too greedy so I’ll take some profit today. This might put my account back in the black. 100% G, cob 8-16-06
 
The markets are overbought. During the last 3 Septembers, around the middle of the month, Fridays share prices were higher than Mondays. I will be looking for a lower price next week to get back into stocks. The dollar made a new 30 day high, if it continues to move up it will be bad for the I-fund. I wanted to sell the I fund today, but I am hoping for a lower dollar Monday and a bounce in the International markets. 50% G, 50% I, cob 9-15-06
 
I will be away from the computer the rest of the morning, I have a meeting then right after that I have a CFC fundraiser, so I’m putting in my order early, if I get a chance I might change it before the deadline. Right now the dollar is falling and the internationals are up. 100%G, cob 9-21-06
 
I am doing 25% I fund.
Sponsor,
I hope that you didn’t follow me into the I fund. My mere 2% gain for the year shows that I have not timed the market just right. Like today, if it weren’t for the FV we would have picked up the I fund shares for $19.81, now Barclays will take back 15 cents from the gains tomorrow. I guess I can’t complain too much, I sold the I Thursday for $20.03 and bought it back for 8 cents less today.
 
You were one of the factors, but it was my decision. Also persuasive were a chart posted this AM by FundSurfer, as well as end-of-quarter window dressing. In any event, you could not control a FV decision and I am not ready to be your detractor, because you have a clear mind and knowlege of the I fund. Moreover, I only invested 25%, As you can see, I am satisfied with my decision, but I also know that you have a pretty good track record yourself. Even tough I won't necessarily follow your footeteps, I will appreciate that you keep posting your moves, because I can do my own analysis by looking at what factors you and others with more experience are looking at and what you are doing here. Are you pulling out tomorrow? Thanks again! --

Sponsor,
I hope that you didn’t follow me into the I fund. My mere 2% gain for the year shows that I have not timed the market just right. Like today, if it weren’t for the FV we would have picked up the I fund shares for $19.81, now Barclays will take back 15 cents from the gains tomorrow. I guess I can’t complain too much, I sold the I Thursday for $20.03 and bought it back for 8 cents less today.
 
Back
Top