GGal's Account Talk

[GGal]

I have to admit that I got really chicken today and took a hit. Went from 20G, 25 C, 25 S, and 30 I to 30 G, 20 C, 20 S, and 30 I, which will be effective COB Monday.

Of course I can always change my mind Monday morning.

This is really nerve-wracking. And to think, until recently I was blissfully unaware! Just had faith it would all come out in the wash!

It was either eat the small loss now, or wait and see what's coming - and I just don't have a good feeling about the short-term future of our economy, the dollar, or the stock funds.

Probably I should move even more to G. I'm really watching all you guys, that's for sure!

Gawga Peaches Are Sweeter

Jan

 

[GGal]

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:? All the charts you guys use are out of my league, but I would like to discuss the current state of affairs and predictors:

1. Ailing U.S. Dollar

2. Trade Deficit

3. Inflation rearing it's ugly head - increased cost of energy, steel, building materials

4. Oil Prices Up and Uncertain

5. Homebuilding down in many areas of the country

6. Interest Rates appear to be on an upward trend

While most reports indicate that overall consumer spending and confidence is holding it's own, i.e., the economy is still holding it's own, I don't think anyone could say with a straight face that we are completely out of the woods and going gangbusters.

Bush (yes, I voted for him) was sure that a war in Iraq would help the economy and get him re-elected - but has it gone on too long and cost too much?

And how many billions of dollars were lost in last season's hurricanes?

And how many billions of dollars are we contributing to the relief efforts toward December's disaster?

Have we bitten off more than we can chew?

I hope it doesn't all come tumbling down - but as long as the economy is holding it's own, maybe I'll continue to keep a good portion of my investment in the stock funds.

My husband is a small business man, and his primary customers are other small businesses. Of course, his sales took a beating in 2001, 2002. A slow recovery started in 2003, with more in 2004. So far, 2005 is going well also. Of course, he is not dealing directly with the individual consumers, like a dentist, restaurant, or florist does, so he is not the first to know when things start to go wrong. But for right now, his sales are still slowly picking up.Although, in January andFebruary, he did have some collection problems.

Think I'll keep a close eye on what's going on with him. And, when I go to the dentist soon, I'll ask them how things are going with them.

GeorgiaGal

Gawga Peaches Are Sweeter!

 

[coolhand]

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coolhand wrote:

GeorgiaGal wrote:

:? All the charts you guys use are out of my league, but I would like to discuss the current state of affairs and predictors:

1. Ailing U.S. Dollar

2. Trade Deficit

3. Inflation rearing it's ugly head - increased cost of energy, steel, building materials

4. Oil Prices Up and Uncertain

5. Homebuilding down in many areas of the country

6. Interest Rates appear to be on an upward trend

While most reports indicate that overall consumer spending and confidence is holding it's own, i.e., the economy is still holding it's own, I don't think anyone could say with a straight face that we are completely out of the woods and going gangbusters.

Bush (yes, I voted for him) was sure that a war in Iraq would help the economy and get him re-elected - but has it gone on too long and cost too much?

And how many billions of dollars were lost in last season's hurricanes?

And how many billions of dollars are we contributing to the relief efforts toward December's disaster?

Have we bitten off more than we can chew?

I hope it doesn't all come tumbling down - but as long as the economy is holding it's own, maybe I'll continue to keep a good portion of my investment in the stock funds.

GeorgiaGal

Gawga Peaches Are Sweeter!

Hello GeorgiaGal. The charts take some time. I'm not completely comfortable with them myself although I've learned a lot about them since I starting watching this web site a few months ago.

As far as the current state of affairs and predictors they get their fair share of discussion here.

Keep in mind that none of us are experts or market gurus. We're just trying to learn from each other. Welcome to the forum.

 

[nnuut]

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Georgiagal, It's a mistery to me? :%but the sate of the market right now doesn't look really good. :end:I know, based on last year (and previous yearly trends) that we are probably due a big drop, but you never know? I'm a Georgia guy that is trying to figure this stuff out, and the wayI figure (in georgiaian) is that it's is almost impossible to predict the market, day to day. :UThere are some things that reoccur and you can move your allocations based on these trends, but they don't always react in the same way. If it was easy we would all be millionaires.BUTif you follow this stuff Day To Day you should do better than the standard returns, ie. S&P or "C" Fund. that is what I am trying to do. A better example is that (If a frog farts in Columbia it can change the WEATHER). Hang in there and play it safe, currently I'm 100% I Fund, but that may change Monday at the COB (close of business). :!

 

[Guest]

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Hi georgiagal and welcome, I could of sworn from you're previous post that Spaf was your husband..........<;o)

Just that current state of affairs line..............

 

[GGal]

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Well, let me go read some more of Spaf's posts......he might be my long lost brother!~

Anxiously waiting to see what everyone does Monday morning!



Gawga Peaches Are Sweeter!

GeorgiaGal

 

[GGal]

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:dude: At 11:18 am EST, moved from 30 G, 20 C, 20 S, 30 I to

0 G, 20 C, 20 S, 60 I

Hold on!!!!

Gawga Peaches Are Sweeter

GeorgiaGal

 

[GGal]

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:dude: Yipee-I-O-de-a-Galloping-All-the-Way!

Ahem....now that I have 60 in I, what am I supposed to do next (other than pray)?

Gawga Peaches Are Sweeter!

GeorgiaGal

 

[GGal]

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Whahhhhhhhhh - couldn't get in at all this morning. Maybe for the best, don't know what I would have done.

Taking a "wait and see" break.

Gawga Peaches Are Sweeter!



GeorgiaGal

 

[coolhand]

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As unfavorable as the market looked today, and even the EAFE (I Fund) was down .62%, the fund still picked up a nickle today.

 

[GGal]

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:shock:

 

[GGal]

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Well, I wish I understood that!

The I fund was down, but gained a nickle?

Please explain further. Pretty Please, with sugar on top? ('member that?)

GeorgiaGal

 

[coolhand]

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GeorgiaGal wrote:

Pretty Please, with sugar on top? ('member that?)

GeorgiaGal

...and a cherry.

read through this and see if it helps http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/forum14/93.html

 

[GGal]

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Thanks, Luke!

 

[GGal]

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:shock: Not feeling real comfy with any markets, but particulary U.S. - I still has potential maybe?

Unless I change my mind after reading NYTimes business section in the morning, will change by deadline Thursday:

From: 20C 20S 60I

To: 50G 10C 40I

And will change contributions to 25 G -25 C -25 S- 25 I

 

[GGal]

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Sorry, change of heart. Make that an interfund transfer to accomplish:

25 G - 25 C - 50I



Georgia Peaches Are Sweeter! :h:h:h

GeorgiaGal

 

[GGal]

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:?Sheepish Grin!

Just made interfund transfer this morning at 930am EST.



From 20 c, 20 S, 60 I

To 25 G, 20 C, 20 S, 35 I



GeorgiaGal

 

[GGal]

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:! Hey, when ya'll do the next return tracking, will you please include me?

Jan 1 : 50 C, 45 S, 5 I

COB 2/23 - 20 G, 35, C, 35 S, 10 I

COB 3/11 - 20 G, 25 C, 25 S, 30 I

COB 3/14 - 20 C, 20 S, 60 I

COB 3/17 - 25 G, 20 C, 20 S, 35 I



Is this enough information? I don't know how to do the return calculation.



Thanks

GeorgiaGal

 

[GGal]

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:dude:Hanging in there with:

25 G

20 C

20 S

35 I



Gawga Peaches Are Sweeter!

 

[GGal]

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:shock: (Deer Caught in Headlights)



Hanging in there (too scared to move) with:

25 G

20 C

20 S

35 I



Gawga Peaches Are Sweeter!