G Fund Return Process

[jgpalmerdds]

imported post

Show Me Wrote:

"I can too. But I think most are here to learn about TSP and the markets. I just hate reading all of the posts that are ........ What are they? The thing that erk's me is I DO read all of the posts looking for information to educate myself a little. And yes I too am afraid of posting at time for fear of.........being in the minority, wrong, misspellings, in left field, weird, unpopular, ........... SO WHAT!!!!"


Spaf-

I was justjoking with the misspellings idea that Show-me was emphasizing. That's all. He's right on target withhis analysis/observations, though I did want to get across the fact that this board is once again turning towards ridiculein some regards.

Joel

 

[grandma]

imported post

tsptalk wrote:

I deleted a bunch of the posts so nobody else's time gets wasted.

Hi! I am not sure what you deleted, Tom, cuz there is a bunch of stuff showing upon my screen. I got back late last night from 2-week AL, and am having a dickens of a time playing `catch-up'!

Tho, some of it is funny - and I like the picture of the monkey-cat!! (I guess that is what that is.) May 25 seems to have been a Very Busy Day for some!!



May I suggest that we have no more debates on G fund's scheduling? If someone does come up with a schedule, he needs to test it for the next 3 months before sharing, okay??

I missed you guys - !!

 

[Guest]

imported post

Welcome back Grandma.

That was my attack monkey lizard.

He keeps the peace around here.

He is shooting to be the next Fed Chair.

 

[The_Technician]

imported post

I have been taking another look at the G fund and the prediction process....due to its staggered behavior (it doesn't follow a constant interest rate) it makes the prediction very difficult....best attempts by charting against its approx.linear regression which right now is a 4th degree polynomial or against a straight line determine that the rate increase dateis just a guess....

Right at the moment I would be willing toGUESS that the next rate increase after this one today will be anywhere from the 13th to 16th.:?

After all info that has been gathered, there is no way though to accurately predict the next rate increase.:shock:


:dude:

 

[Guest]

imported post

The Technician wrote:

I have been taking another look at the G fund and the prediction process....due to its staggered behavior (it doesn't follow a constant interest rate) it makes the prediction very difficult....best attempts by charting against its approx.linear regression which right now is a 4th degree polynomial or against a straight line determine that the rate increase dateis just a guess....

Right at the moment I would be willing toGUESS that the next rate increase after this one today will be anywhere from the 13th to 16th.:?

After all info that has been gathered, there is no way though to accurately predict the next rate increase.:shock:


:dude:

Does the position of Mars and Venus play into this in any way?

I was thinking of sacrifing a chicken and taking up Black Magic to figure this out.

All ready got my Voo Doo doll picked out.

Needles on order.

 

[The_Technician]

imported post

I'd show ya'll the plot to show the irregularitiesbut I can't get the dang thing to copy & paste from Excelonto the message editor.....:shock:

:dude:

 

[Guest]

imported post

That is ok.

I am very frustrated with G fund.

Must have an I fund feature where it screws you if you try to time it.

That is called the "lock box" of TSP money. Where does it go?

 

[mlk_man]

imported post

DMA wrote:

Does the position of Mars and Venus play into this in any way?

I was thinking of sacrifing a chicken and taking up Black Magic to figure this out.

All ready got my Voo Doo doll picked out.

Needles on order.

THAT IS A PERSONAL ATTACK!!!! YOU PROVIDE NO MEANINGFUL INPUT TO THIS BOARD AND SHOULD BE BANNED!!! YOU ARE A DISGRACE TO EVERY AMATEUR INVESTOR ON THIS PLANET!!!

Sound familiar?

You two-faced little.............................

Luv ya, have a nice day!

 

[The_Technician]

imported post

Here is the G fund plotted since Aug last year....notice how the staggered Share price is dipping against the linear base line...(yellow)....

They seen to adjust the G fund to hold that rate of increase to the slope of the base line (which can change at any time) ....

The best you can do is guesstimate the next change by looking at the past tendencies of the fund......I figured the 8th or 9th on this change.....see the left vertical arrow.....I'm kinda figuring the next will be 4-5 days later.....

It is a guess, but a better guess is better than none......:^

:dude:

 

[Guest]

imported post

Funny cycle. 8 days then 4 or 5?

Does that equal out to their claim of 4.5 annual return?

 

[The_Technician]

imported post

Well I'm noticing that the fund is low of the base line.....and it will need a quick rate increase for them to stay in line with it......

I noticed that it did happen alot at the end of the year.....I suppose they were trying to get the annual rate correct before yearend....:^

:dude:

 

[Guest]

imported post

They sure have made it so you can not time it, that is for sure.

I am going 50% S and 50 C today to play the Triple Witching Monday and bail back to G in front of PPI and CPI.

One day see if the averages play out.

I believe this could be the last chance until October to make any dough.

Within three months I expect the DOW to be at 9700.

Did a lot of chart work last night. That is my what my work told me.

Do not bash me. I just read charts not listen to "experts".

 

[mlk_man]

imported post

 

[Guest]

imported post

I vote conspiracy.........

 

[Birchtree]

imported post

DMA,

Don't you mean for the Dow to be at 11,700 by October? 9700 must be a typo.

 

[Guest]

imported post

Nope 9700 to 9750.

Neutral is 4.8.

Fed has a long way to go.

 

[John]

imported post

Since the G Fund only pays a penny every week or so, I don't think we are getting the benefit of compounding. There are no additional shares accumulated with the payment of interest. I am not currently contributing to the G Fund, but have funds in it, so it is easy to see the amount of earnings. The earnings (a penny a week) are the same now as they have always been. Even though my G Fund account balance is higher now, the amount of interest I earn remains the same. It is like an annuity payment, never changing. You would think the earnings would go up with the value of the account. It doesn't. The penny is applied to the number of shares held, which is only increased through additonal contributions.

 

[Guest]

imported post

Hello John.

We had a eight day one recently.

I am "hoping" with the yields spiking G fund will pay out faster now.

We have all tried to figure out the process and it has turned into a mess.

Oh as you can tell by reading thisthread .

There is no way to know.

A couple folks have called the TSP office. That was not fruitful.

I know that does not help but brings you up to date.

 

[mlk_man]

imported post

John wrote:

Since the G Fund only pays a penny every week or so, I don't think we are getting the benefit of compounding. There are no additional shares accumulated with the payment of interest. I am not currently contributing to the G Fund, but have funds in it, so it is easy to see the amount of earnings. The earnings (a penny a week) are the same now as they have always been. Even though my G Fund account balance is higher now, the amount of interest I earn remains the same. It is like an annuity payment, never changing. You would think the earnings would go up with the value of the account. It doesn't. The penny is applied to the number of shares held, which is only increased through additonal contributions.

Hey John,

[post edited]

When the G fund paysits penny, it's a penny a share, not a percentage of your money. If you have 1000 shares, you'll get $10 added to your account.

Good luck,

M_M

 

[Guest]

imported post

Theme from Untouchables here ******