FREE NFL POOL 2011 (it's easy)

[tsptalk]

Hi all -

I am starting a "Last Man Standing" NFL pool (the software I am using actually calls it a Survivor pool - same thing).

It's very easy - Here's how it works

You pick one team to win each week (no pointspreads). If they lose, you are eliminated. A win or tie and you move on. The only catch is, you can't use the same team more than once during the year.

You must get your pick in by the weekly deadline - before the first game each Sunday. Early games must be picked before they start. All picks will be hidden until the game has begun (for early games) or the until the first game on Sunday.

If you fail to make a pick, you get the team that is the largest favorite for the week (that you have not used already).

Please try to incorporate your TSP Talk message board username in your Team Name in the pool so we know who you are... But non-TSP Talk members are welcome too.

Good luck to everyone. If you have any questions, please contact me via Private Message (PM) or contact us via email (support AT tsptalk DOT com) or use the "contact us" link in the menu on the left on www.tsptalk.com.

— Tom Crowley
tsptalk
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Instructions for joining the pool entitled 'TSP Talk NFL Pool'
***********************************************************
If you are interested in joining the pool, pleasefollow these steps:

1. Go to http://www.runyourpool.com/join.cfm

2. Enter the following information:
a. In the PoolID box, enter the number 13188
b. In the PoolPassword box, enter 'tspnfl' (That's TSPNFL without the single quotes)

3. Fill out the form information, including a personalusername and password. (Rest assured, this information will NOT be sold orutilized for spam email under ANY circumstances.) Please try to incorporate your TSP Talk message board username in your Team Name in the pool so we know who you are... But non-TSP Talk members can join too.

4. Make your picks, with the ability to change them right up until the weekly deadline.

It's that easy. If you have any questions, let me know or e-mail runyourpool.com directly at support@runyourpool.com.

DEADLINE to SIGN UP: September 11, 2011 at 10:00 AM ET

 

[tsptalk]

DEADLINE to SIGN UP: September 11, 2011 at 10:00 AM ET

1st Place (Last Man / Woman Standing) = $100.00 and a TSP Talk Travel Mug

2nd Place = TSP Talk Travel Mug

3rd Place = TSP Talk Travel Mug


Be careful! One 1 loss and you're out!

 

[burrocrat]

ok, i'm in.

if i can't win a coffee cup judicously exercising my IFT's, then maybe i can win one blindly betting on football.

or was it the other way around?

anyway, i signed up and it's free.

 

[jpcavin]

ok, i'm in.

if i can't win a coffee cup judicously exercising my IFT's, then maybe i can win one blindly betting on football.

or was it the other way around?

anyway, i signed up and it's free.

Oh. I see. You don't think I can win another one!:toung:

 

[burrocrat]

just spreading the risk.

i really want one of those bad, but it's not the same if you just buy it.

i tried to earn one by being funny, but that hasn't worked out so good either.

 

[PessOptimist]

Burro, if you want one that bad, maybe we can take up a collection here. What do they cost? Tom could just give you one because he's a good guy, but then everyone would demand one. Link us to the store.

 

[burrocrat]

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?3278-The-Monthly-Prizes

that is where you can see merchandise, but i still can't find the 'tsp store - check out now' button.

don't matter right now anyway because i can't afford it and ain't gonna win one soon either.

maybe there's an app for that, or whatever apple calls their shopping gizmo thingy.

 

[burrocrat]

i can't really decide, it's either that cup or the hat, because nnuut don't wear them.

 

[Murphys_Law]

Get my mug ready. I'm in.

 

[burrocrat]

so i had this dream last night and i think it goes like this, all i gotta do is call heads or tails right about sixteen times in a row.

how much easier could it be? i wonder what the odds are on that? if any of you actually attended statistics class regulary in college please enlighten me.

maybe the new labor agreement changed the numbers around a bit, but the theory is the same.

either you're right, or you're gone. easy peasy.

 

[tom1tom1]

I'm ready for some football so I'm all in!

 

[tsptalk]

so i had this dream last night and i think it goes like this, all i gotta do is call heads or tails right about sixteen times in a row.

how much easier could it be? i wonder what the odds are on that? if any of you actually attended statistics class regulary in college please enlighten me.

maybe the new labor agreement changed the numbers around a bit, but the theory is the same.

either you're right, or you're gone. easy peasy.

From my poker playing days: You multiply probabilities so the odds of getting a coin flip correct 16 times in a row is:

.50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 = .0000153

1 / .0000153 = 65,359. So you would do that 1 in 65,359 times. Subtract 1 to get odds of:

65,358 to 1.

You should sell that system.

By the way, I won a poker tournament in Nevada last weekend. Just say'in.

 

[burrocrat]

congrats on the win! what game? i hope they didn't take taxes out, you should have plenty of charitable deductions for all the work you do around here.

65k ~ 1 ? shoot, i didn't think it was going to be that hard. looks like i got my work cut out for me then, maybe i can cut them odds some with a little due dilegence.

naahh, just kidding, that would take all the fun out of it. i'm going to go with my usual emotion and luck strategery, but i expect different results this time.

 

[tsptalk]

congrats on the win! what game?

Thanks - Hold'em

 

[grandma]

By the way, I won a poker tournament in Nevada last weekend. Just say'in.

Whoa! Flashy! - ...wearing it for `luck' at the next tournament? -don't get cocky, though, watching it flash back at you!
And my Congratulations to you, Tom!

p.s. - is that `hold'em' related to the tspboard theory on what we are supposed to be doing with our stocks?

 

[nnuut]

From my poker playing days: You multiply probabilities so the odds of getting a coin flip correct 16 times in a row is:

.50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 x .50 = .0000153

1 / .0000153 = 65,359. So you would do that 1 in 65,359 times. Subtract 1 to get odds of:

65,358 to 1.

You should sell that system.

By the way, I won a poker tournament in Nevada last weekend. Just say'in.

You're the MAN, I can't win crap in LV!

 

[burrocrat]

ok, before i make my week 1 pick, someone please help me understand the research? i never was any good at sports, or betting.

patriots at -7.5 means dolphins lose by more than 7 points? do the always list the visitor first and does a negative number mean the home team will win by at least that much?

or

really dude, you think the raiders can stop the broncos from kicking their but by less than that much?

seriously, i'm gonna need a little help here.

 

[Happy_Trails]

ok, before i make my week 1 pick, someone please help me understand the research? i never was any good at sports, or betting.

patriots at -7.5 means dolphins lose by more than 7 points? do the always list the visitor first and does a negative number mean the home team will win by at least that much?

or

really dude, you think the raiders can stop the broncos from kicking their but by less than that much?

seriously, i'm gonna need a little help here.

View attachment 15259

Yes, if the Dolphins are within 7.5 points, they win. So, Patriots 20 Dolphins 13 would be a win for the Dolphins. Add 7.5 to 13 = 20.5 and they cover the spread.

 

[wvango]

Just remember that for the TSP NFL Pool we are picking straight out winners (no pointspreads). You just use the spread to assit you in picking your one out right winner per week.

 

[tsptalk]

ok, before i make my week 1 pick, someone please help me understand the research? i never was any good at sports, or betting.

patriots at -7.5 means dolphins lose by more than 7 points? do the always list the visitor first and does a negative number mean the home team will win by at least that much?

or

really dude, you think the raiders can stop the broncos from kicking their but by less than that much?

seriously, i'm gonna need a little help here.

View attachment 15259

To reiterate what has been said - Yes the -7.5 means the Patriots are favored to win the game in your example, but as wvando said, the pointspread is not a factor in this pool. Just pick the winner of the game. The spread is only a guide in this case, as to who is favored to win.

And it looks like the way it displayed in your example, that the the home team is on the right. The team after the "At".