F Fund where will it go ?

OK right now the F Fund looks good. Any advice for next week on the F Fund. It was up 7 cents today I thought it would be 9 but any thoughts would be appreciated. :)
 
Has the F gone up too fast? Is it too late to get in next week?

Read 350z posts about the F Fund. After I read them and others you have to conclude it's a good play and it's not too late. I would rather chip away 5 cents here and there then get hammered because one Ambac rumor report caused a fake market and a 200 point swing last week. That changed the market in a bad way.

It gave people hope for a turnaround but it was only a matter of time Wednesday when the market saw it was overpriced on a rumor. Yesterday down 100+ and then today 300+. If you can't trust the market and all the news is bad day after day the Bonds and the F Fund will be OK. But again see 350Z's posts, charts etc. every bit of information is vital today.
 
Z makes a real strong case for the TNX/MACD. I just ran the figures and being in the F fund 10/15 -> 12/5 and 12/25 -> 1/30 and otherwise being in the G fund would have returned 6.25% since 10/15. I don't know about the the rest of you but I moved out of the F Fund at the begining of the year to take advantage of strong seasonality and received a real spanking (-3.5%), finally getting out 1/10. Been sitting on the sidelines since then trying to figure out this crazy market. Unless some news comes out Monday morning to make me change my mind I'll take the G penny Monday and move to the F fund.
 
Does anyone think there may be a dead cat bounce on Monday???


I would say No to a Dead Cat Bounce on Monday.

UNLESS CNBC has some breaking Good news. This can happen at any time and has over the last couple of weeks.

IMHO, I think the Market is and has been on Stilt's coming from the FOMC and Congress. I.E. Stimulus Package.

Anything can happen. We could a get a surprise Rate Cut at any time.

A Major Bank could Fold. Look at the Dollar, It's Pathetic... Oil at all time High's.

Hell I need another fill on the 550 Gallon Oil Tank Soon. I'll bet it will cost me $1350.00 :worried::(

Making a Play on the Market's right now is down right Gambling.

Do I do it ? Yes.... But in very little Amount's...
 
Re: F Fund - Bernanke tomorrow 9:00 AM EST

Fed Speakers: Fed Chairman Bernanke speaks at community bankers' conference in FL (9:00 AM ET) every time he opens his mouth the market takes a beating if not that day then the next 2 days.


Tuesday, March 4:
  • Earnings: Clearwire (CLWR), Jackson Hewitt (JTX), Staples (SPLS), Tech Data (TECD), Chico's FAS (CHS), Heelys (HLYS)
  • Economic Data: February Auto and Truck Sales
  • Events: Encore Acquisition Company Analyst Meeting; Jarden Corp. Analyst Meeting; Arris Analyst Meeting, and; RTI Biologics Analyst Dinner
  • Conferences: Bear Stearns Retail & Consumer Conference; Citigroup Global Property Conference; Citigroup Industrial Manufacturing Conference; Credit Suisse Opportunities Conference; Merrill Lynch Geneva Global Auto Conference; Morgan Stanley Tech Conference; Raymond James Institutional Investor Conference; Susquehanna Investment Options in Healthcare Conference
  • Fed Speakers: Fed Chairman Bernanke speaks at community bankers' conference in FL (9:00 AM ET); Fed Governor Mishkin speaks to economists in VA (12:15 PM ET); Dallas Fed President Fisher speaks in London regarding inflation and growth (14:00 PM ET)
 
Problem is, 20 years ago, if the Fed Chairman spoke, it got an article on page 3 of the Wall St Journal. Today it's live on CNBC and every day trader goes on some panicky hippity hop dance, institutional traders get nervous, they all start selling, but not for any valid reason. It just creates a lot of volatility... it's not investing.
 
Problem is, 20 years ago, if the Fed Chairman spoke, it got an article on page 3 of the Wall St Journal. Today it's live on CNBC and every day trader goes on some panicky hippity hop dance, institutional traders get nervous, they all start selling, but not for any valid reason. It just creates a lot of volatility... it's not investing.
My personal opinion is they want a quick, wash and wear answer from Berneke. They do not want to hear things like, the mortgage companies need to do this and that. But when Paulson or Bush say the economy is fine, the market tanks too. They want the truth...and they don't.:notrust:
 
Looks like the $TNX has filled the gap. It could be a good time to buy in. Anyone have an opinion?
 
Does anyone have an estimate? It appears we bounced off the bottom of the trend line (using AGG) and are heading back up.
Vectorman, give me some charts!
 
That chart doesn't mean a thing until after close!!! Look at the TNX and TYX!!:D


So, fill this newbie in. What should the TYX look like in comparison to the TNX? I moved earlier this week only to get cold feet after the Japs started pulling their money out...gotta get better at understanding our F Fund!
 
TNX = -.71
TYX = -.26
- means + in the AGG, figure it out!! UP!:D
Well, looks like my calculations were off? Don't know why, but to me when the 10 Year note and the 30 Year note are down the AGG should be up? Sorry about that. Must be the averaging thing or something, does anyone know?:embarrest:
 
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