Ebbnflow's Day-to-Day Chart / APR'07

[ebbnflow]

For what it's worth:

............WED..THU..FRI
C-fund.....

S-fund.....

I-fund......

System uses the ebbtracker's I-fund with simple cross-checking rules:

a) Two or more stop signs = safe haven (G/F-fund).
b) Two or more dollar signs = stocks (I-fund).

Following the above rules, I'm on the I-fund for Wednesday/Apr. 18 (3 greens). The I-fund again for Thursday/Apr. 19 (2 greens). It's the G-fund for Friday/Apr. 20 (2 stops).

Thanks for reminding me, Lobo.

 

[Lobo]

Thank You! Thank You! Thank You!

Good Luck!

Lobo

 

[airlift]

I am holding in the I fund. Economic numbers were good for the market. Lower than expected core CPI. Industrial production also was lower, so this might raise expectations that with lower inflation the FED might have more reason to lower the rates down the line, in order to boost the economy. Good luck to all!

 

[FogSailing]

Thanks Ebb. I didn't get to see the tracker before I posted today, but I'm glad I'm in sync with the tracker's forecast.

FS

 

[airlift]

Today I went S 100%

 

[ebbnflow]

I have a revision for Friday due to new data. I'm staying put on the I-fund instead of going to the G-fund.

For what it's worth:

............FRI..MON..TUE
C-fund....

S-fund...

I-fund.....

System using the ebbtracker's I-fund with simple cross-checking rules:

a) Two or more stop signs = safe haven (G/F-fund).
b) Two or more dollar signs = stocks (I-fund).

Following the above rules, I'm on the I-fund for Friday/Apr. 20 (2 greens). The F-fund for next Monday/Apr. 23 (2 stops) with x-check in effect . It's the G-fund for Tuesday/Apr. 24 (2 stops).

 

[ebbnflow]

I forgot all about the g-penny. I'm taking the sure penny on the G-fund instead of going to the F-fund for Monday.

 

[FUTURESTRADER]

Ebb, 'sure' penny??..I woun't be surprised to see it pay today, but I agree, 'more likely' monday.

 

[airlift]

AGG appears to be dropping in price this morning. The juncture is as to whether we go for the penny Monday? or if this is a good buying opprtunity for the F fund (as a trade)?

 

[ebbnflow]

Ebb, 'sure' penny??..I woun't be surprised to see it pay today, but I agree, 'more likely' monday.

Okay, we can call it the not-so-sure penny!

 

[ebbnflow]

AGG appears to be dropping in price this morning. The juncture is as to whether we go for the penny Monday? or if this is a good buying opprtunity for the F fund (as a trade)?

I got a buy signal for the F-fund, but the not-so-sure penny is waiting on Monday.

 

[airlift]

Okay!

 

[ebbnflow]

I got a buy signal for the F-fund, but the not-so-sure penny is waiting on Monday.

Out of all the funds the F-fund did best (+.18%).

 

[ebbnflow]

For what it's worth:

............WED..THU..FRI
C-fund....

S-fund.....

I-fund......

System using the ebbtracker's I-fund with simple cross-checking rules:

a) Two or more stop signs = safe haven (G/F-fund).
b) Two or more dollar signs = stocks (I-fund).

Following the above rules, I'm on the I-fund for Wednesday/Apr. 25 (2 greens), Thursday/Apr. 26 (3 greens), and Friday/Apr. 27 ( 2 greens).

 

[NyteTracker]

At the Break:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=^aord+^n300+^n225+^hsi&d=t
BHP +0.67% Toyota -1.08% Mitsubishi Fin. 0.00% Mizuho -1.10%
Sumitomo -0.93% Takeda -1.01% Honda -2.18% Canon +0.46%

The EZ should be down for a great buy in tomorrow.

 

[Tempest]

No problem with me. I was in the "I" Fund today. It went lower. Just in time for me to get more shares as my FERS deduction from my pay period kicks in.

 

[ucanbreached]

Today's TSP talk short term outlook implies the (I fund) will not do good. Can you comment?

The dollar is nearing long-term lows but has come to rest on the intermediate-term support line. It's possible we could see a bounce here up towards 84. The I fund won't like that too much.

 

[tsptalk]

Welcome ucanbreached! I'd like to hear their feedback as well, but let me say that it's not so much that the I fund won't do well, but that it would do better if the dollar continued to fall. So if the EAFE was up 1% one day, it might only be up 0.70% if the dollar moved up. My analysis is based primarily on the dollar and not on the overseas markets themselves.

 

[ebbnflow]

Today's TSP talk short term outlook implies the (I fund) will not do good. Can you comment?

The dollar is nearing long-term lows but has come to rest on the intermediate-term support line. It's possible we could see a bounce here up towards 84. The I fund won't like that too much.

Like Tom said, the I-fund can still do well even with the dollar up, as long as the Asian and European markets are up as well. The system I use follows the ebbtracker's I-fund which tracks the dollar and I-fund's price. It compares today's market pattern from past historical patterns and makes calls depending on the trends and cycles it gets.

 

[ucanbreached]

Cool thanks Ebb/TSPT. I went with the I fund all the way. Is that what your chart predicted to do? Just wanted to find out if I follow correctly. Is there anytime that you diversify for the day?