DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

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Hi, well I ended up a $400 hundred dollars positive coming out of Vegas so that was good. Got better at Blackjack. Played at a table with some pros so watched them closely and got some tips and much more confident about my calls. Had a great time!!

So now to the other big gamble! Still only liking the C fund. Still want to give it another day or so. Looks like market wants to keep going up.
On the weekly SPX, the 10 week EMA has not yet crossed above the 50 (getting close), but the 20 has. Would like to see 10 cross 50 before entry. Humm...Hope to enter this week for short buy in. Will see....gosh maybe a buy today??

Weekly C fund
S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

Daily C fund
S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com
Best wishes to everyone on your investments!!!!!!! :smile:
 
DreamboatAnnie said:
Hi, well I ended up a $400 hundred dollars positive coming out of Vegas so that was good. Got better at Blackjack. Played at a table with some pros so watched them closely and got some tips and much more confident about my calls. Had a great time!!

So now to the other big gamble! Still only liking the C fund. Still want to give it another day or so. Looks like market wants to keep going up.
On the weekly SPX, the 10 week EMA has not yet crossed above the 50 (getting close), but the 20 has. Would like to see 10 cross 50 before entry. Humm...Hope to enter this week for short buy in. Will see....

Weekly C fund
S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

Daily C fund
S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com
Best wishes to everyone on your investments!!!!!!! :smile:
Click to expand...

How many miles do you have on that hotrod now?
 
I must admit I was a bit disappointed when I heard you were attending a Madonna concert :eek:

I haven't considered her musically relevant in well over a decade, she was great at pushing the edge of what is acceptable, but now she has to push out the edge just to get noticed. Her "old hat" tricks don't work when you have Lady Gaga doing essentially the same thing (only she sings better and IMO is a better copy of Madonna).

When I saw her 2012 super bowl performance, it was sad...sort of like watching the 80s die...

 
Lol...I started at 35....now at about 1,100!! I'm cruising honey!! :D. Really love it! The stereo is what I love best!! I feel like i'm 18 everytime I get in it! The other day, I forgot badge at home and as I turned around. I said to self, "That's okay, now I get to cruise for another 30 minutes while listening to tunes in the (Blue) Midnight Rocker!!! :banana: sometimes I pull into the driveway after work and jam out For a few more minutes!! Yeahhh.a bit crazy!
 
Gosh... still wanting to buy in. I may just go ahead and spread it C-S-I ... minutes to decide. Maybe 60% ...uggh...Still like C best but S looks like it has more room to grow. Best wishes to everyone.
 
DreamboatAnnie said:
Yep.. got in. Maybe not the right day but need to get in at some point.
Went 30C/25S/15-I / stayed 30 G.
Click to expand...


Welcome to the waters...I went in EOB Monday just in time for a loss...now I'm happy I rolled the dice on the small caps catching up to the large and went 100% S. Hopefully today wasn't it for the S fund...
 
Hi mcqlives! You did great then!

I got in high and I'm expecting a little weakness for a few days and then a push higher.

I wanted to get in market two weeks ago as I could see what looked like a good upswing occurring in C fund with BBs tight and price going upward (in 10 day EMA channel up) but Still had healthy fear from August drop and wanted to hold out to see improvement in the weekly indicators. Wanted to exercise some prudence.

Improvement to me meant at least the 20 week EMA to cross above the 50, and preferably the 10 week EMA crossing above 50 as well. Also, to see the S fund going in that same direction and reaching those same milestones.

The daily prices on SPX have been in the 10 day EMA channel for couple weeks now, which is great. Gosh ..just could not stand to stay out longer; although with the upswing will now come some down action and more up and sideways meandering on price. Hopefully it meanders up enough for me to get a modest gain and get out.

I used to like the short term plays on a price ride up from tight BBs in 10 day EMA channel and then to be out during that sideways meander and re-consolidation. But this typically got me out too early...so trying to stay a bit longer if MACD is positive....will see...
 
I've been enjoying JPCavin's thread citing the Market Almanac as of late. I liked her posts #1153-1156, but especially the calendar in 1154. Looks like after 1st week in November it begins to drop (short term) per market Almanac that JPC is citing.

Also have been reading articles at Safehaven.com. Thing is it always seems one person predicts gloom and doom while another indicate major gains ahead. But Gregory Clay's market summary is striking a chord with me lately.

Safehaven.com | Preservation of Capital

In any case, I am watchfully optimistic ...for a day or two!!

Best wishes to everyone on your investments!!!!!!! :smile:
 
Mcqlives said:
Welcome to the waters...I went in EOB Monday just in time for a loss...now I'm happy I rolled the dice on the small caps catching up to the large and went 100% S. Hopefully today wasn't it for the S fund...
Click to expand...
i was getting a little worried after Friday's action, but quite pleased today. You made out Great today in S Fund!! :D. I'm in S fund Only 25%. Also still at 30% C and 15% I fund.
 
Now here is another article by Chris Ciovacco...its an interesting read.....but also notice the date! It is one day before the market took its tumble on Aug 19-21, 24, 25. Chris is typically balanced..but I did not see a foretelling but did warn caution in his last couple paragraphs.

I've decided I want to read back on as many articles I can just to see who had good foresight on that tumble....because thats just the kind of girl I am!! Ok...so I figure those are the guys I want to follow.

Bear Markets And Economic Contractions: 2001/2008 vs. 2015 | Chris Ciovacco | Safehaven.com
 
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Okay... so I am considering pushing all in. Right now I am C30/G30/S25/I15... but will see. I like the S fund best. This morning it is pricey but see it at top of BB in an expanding bow from tight constriction... there maybe some down action for a few days but this upward channel is young. (As opposed to the C fund which has been in upward channel for 20 days or so and BBs widely spread). I fund is going into a tight BB constriction but it just looks weak... MACD going negative.

So...I am considering a shift out of I fund (now at 15%) into S, or maybe pushing that plus the remaining G30% in to S. Maybe leave the C alone for now. So if I did the later full in option, I would be set up as 30C / 70S.

Best Wishes to Everyone on Your Investments!!!!!!!! :smile:
 
Yep. I pulled the trigger to reallocate to 30C/70S (added 30% so now 100%) - See prices are falling right now across the board. But I am okay with that for now. I am sailing into the Wind!!!! :rolleyes:

So far this year doing okay... now at around 5.14% for year.

Would like it to be better but I am still learning a lot and still trying to figure out how to dodge the short-term falling knife. I missed part of it in August but unfortunately jumped in before the drop was complete.. that was a mini flash crash... 5 day drop. Looking to see the tells... and of course I can see it was the cross overs that predicted it, and could see it.... but made mistake by not staying out until positive/more reliable indicator (i.e. 10 crossing back above the 20 or 50 was present).. ugghhh... jumped the gun! Then missed the October massive jump up....too much fear... not enough contrarian in me I guess.... But hey... can't keep looking back... need to look forward after studying where the mistake was made.....stay positive..."its a Jungle out there"!!! :smile:
 
I may need to deploy sticky pants...mainly because any lessening of exposure or exit leaves me with no ability to reenter until December. c fund down now...not going to lock in a small loss..

Isn't last week of November and couple weeks into December typically weak before the Santa rally starts??? Is today an early drop, or just over reaction to possibility of rate hike in December?? I think it would be insane for Fed to increase rate when we are just starting to show some good news/recovery ...but thats just me. I tend to think they will not raise rates in December.

Think next week maybe rocky or down, but going to stay in for now..
 
Well what a day! I stayed in and plan to stay in S fund. i wanted to exit C fund last week due to indicators...still do, but at this point, I don't want to lock in a loss. So sticky pants will stay deployed. I am not surprised C fund dropped BUT I am surprised that S fund fell that much. Humm....

I thought we might have some downside this week...mainly from people taking some profits off the table. Also, talking heads say Wall Street is pricing in a Fed rate increase in December because of better than expected jobs report last week. Maybe it is a bit of both. In either case, I am hopeful this is a short-lived drop. I still do not believe the Fed will increase rates...but I don't have a crystal ball and a lot can happen between now and December.

Considering the downer on Wallstreet, I must say I've felt pretty happy today! A little crispy cool weather this morning. Starting to feel like Fall down here!

Best Wishes to everyone on your Investments!!!!!! :smile:
 
Considered exit today...again. I think its important to note it still looks like we are in a downtrend...even withOctobe run up. That high did not exceed the high hit in mid-June for S Fund. So....caution warranted. I am stayingin for today. Both S and C crossing negative on MACD on daily charts. Looking for an up day to exit...dont want to exit....hoping I do not kick myself later.

Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XX:DWCPF Advanced Chart - (DJW) XX:DWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com


Same thing with C Fund.

S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

Best Wishes to everyone on your Investments!!!!!!! :smile:
 
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