DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

[DreamboatAnnie]

if you ever want to see that glorious sailboat in the moonlight pic, you will...how's that for hardball

Alas! My dear Rcknfrewld... Too bad it must end for us before you could bare your hard pressed portfolio while basking in the moonlight of that glorious sailboat. I thought you would keep this our little secret. :embarrest:

 

[rcknfrewld]

Someone here, and i forgot who(m)...caught my eye with a market theorem that I couldn't quite shake off, it was that intriguing...he, yeah the words sounded masculine, postulated that the market performs better on days when the average temperature was an even number...this hit me like a ton of feathers...well, I immediately back tested it for a couple of days(that's as far as I got), and low and behold, he was right...if only i knew someone well versed in back testing...

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Someone here, and i forgot who(m)...caught my eye with a market theorem that I couldn't quite shake off, it was that intriguing...he, yeah the words sounded masculine, postulated that the market performs better on days when the average temperature was an even number...this hit me like a ton of feathers...well, I immediately back tested it for a couple of days(that's as far as I got), and low and behold, he was right...if only i knew someone well versed in back testing...

Ooooohhh. I almost didn't recognize you with all those feathers!! Oh yes it's that wild goose that keeps pulling my leg!

 

[rcknfrewld]

who was it that first introduced me to the Dew theorem...the name escapes me...oh well, it's not pertinent who(m) told me this...for the most crucial part was...(dramatic pause)...what(heavy duty emphasis placed on the word 'what') this fellow revealed to me...he(he sent me a pm pic) conducted what can only be described as rigorous research...up at the crack of dawn for nearly 2 years...measuring, calculating, hypothesizing, often with his arms raised in a V...the dead data lay in pools of tears(happy ones) below(nod to Tom)...bruised and battered he emerged...the knowledge that was dropped that very same day to me(ok, enough already)...he measured the amount of dew accumulation, more importantly what time he observed the dew's first appearance, and documented what time it eventually all evaporated...what's the significance you say, well I will tell you...the days where the cumulative total of "times(of course army time)" was a year where the earths temperature rose from the previous said year, the market performed insignificantly minutely better...he must have been a disciple of the guy who(m) patented the "Average Temperature If Even Stock Market Performs Better Than Odd)...I can't be the only one who sees the correlation...seems to be worth double checking his back testing data before we put some skin in the game...DBA...this has your name written all over it

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

who was it that first introduced me to the Dew theorem...the name escapes me...oh well, it's not pertinent who(m) told me this...for the most crucial part was...(dramatic pause)...what(heavy duty emphasis placed on the word 'what') this fellow revealed to me...he(he sent me a pm pic) conducted what can only be described as rigorous research...up at the crack of dawn for nearly 2 years...measuring, calculating, hypothesizing, often with his arms raised in a V...the dead data lay in pools of tears(happy ones) below(nod to Tom)...bruised and battered he emerged...the knowledge that was dropped that very same day to me(ok, enough already)...he measured the amount of dew accumulation, more importantly what time he observed the dew's first appearance, and documented what time it eventually all evaporated...what's the significance you say, well I will tell you...the days where the cumulative total of "times(of course army time)" was a year where the earths temperature rose from the previous said year, the market performed insignificantly minutely better...he must have been a disciple of the guy he patented the "Average Temperature If Even Stock Market Performs Better Than Odd)...I can't be the only one who sees the correlation...seems to be worth double checking his back testing data before we put some skin in the game...DBA...this has your name written all over it

"This fellow"... Awe Rckfrwld.. I know it was you; you broke my heart. You broke my heart!

BTW...could it be that by some sad fate, you missed my post 101?

 

[rcknfrewld]

on second thought...he texted with a bit (from what I retained from my origins of native tongue class) of a Yugoslavian affect, mixed in with a hint, I detected, of Yiddish...now, the importance of this most certainly will be overlooked by the untrained eye, but the significance of this can most likely be overstated...where was I...yes, as I was stating (I can't type anymore I'm laughing too hard...)

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

on second thought...he texted with a bit (from what I retained from my origins of native tongue class) of a Yugoslavian affect, mixed in with a hint, I detected, of Yiddish...now, the importance of this most certainly will be overlooked by the untrained eye, but the significance of this can most likely be overstated...where was I...yes, as I was stating (I can't type anymore I'm laughing too hard...)

now I' m thinking he could be talking with a horses bit in his mouth.

Rcknfrwld good night... Your hilarious ..I'm Howling at the moon too!!

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Wow what an awesome day it was yesterday... Congrats to those with gonads to stick it out. All indicators still continue to look good and show equities likely are moving up. With Fed out of the way there is nothing to drop this massive uptrend ... Except Congress coming back into session... Some of that will likely cause some short term downs ..possible re-entry??

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Commentary on the QE decrease that did not happen

The Taper That Wasn't | Peter Schiff | Safehaven.com

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Very informative article on taper and future

Fed Shocker: No Taper | Chris Martenson | Safehaven.com

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Ahoy maties... Somehow I was not so surprised that the Fed did nothing yesterday, but did shake my head because it appears to be so irresponsible. Then again kicking myself because I am thinking I need to be more illogical to see more clearly what is ahead. Eventually the market will correct because of extreme U. S. debt and its effects....but when that happens is a big question????

Until then let's continue to sail on to higher seas!!!
Where's the gangway?? Maybe it will be drawn next week when Congress begins the games!

 

[jkenjohnson]

Wow what an awesome day it was yesterday... Congrats to those with gonads to stick it out. All indicators still continue to look good and show equities likely are moving up. With Fed out of the way there is nothing to drop this massive uptrend ... Except Congress coming back into session... Some of that will likely cause some short term downs ..possible re-entry??

Continuing resolution expires at the end of this month. Last time that happened I think the market tanked until it was resolved.

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Continuing resolution expires at the end of this month. Last time that happened I think the market tanked until it was resolved.

Thanks Jkenjohnson!!! That is good to know. So next week will be interesting. I still have an IFT...for September but not sure if I will jump back in. If CR issues cause temporary down turn it will be a good time to jump back in. Starting to think I should take more risk and start investing with up to 60 % of my piggy.

Iam trying to decide if I should go strictly with market indicators to time entry and exits, or if should give any credence to seasonality and politics and the Fed. Looks like ignoring that noise might be the best thing....as the bull is going to continue to rage upwards!!

We have issues on the budget ending on 9-30 and then the debt ceiling hits round mid-October so I think all that uncertainty plus with the politicians jockeying and talking heads parroting the bs , this will keep the markets volatile, but also believe some investors may start to think about why the Fed did not reduce QE. Had read a bit on that today, and some folks are indicating that if market starts to believe economy is heading south, the market could suffer major down turn... So yeah that is a possibility...But again who knows when that will happen. So starting to think I should not let politics affect my investment strategy and just get away from that altogether.... Hard for me to do that... But I'm trying...

 

[jkenjohnson]

Thanks Jkenjohnson!!! That is good to know. So next week will be interesting. I still have an IFT...for September but not sure if I will jump back in. If CR issues cause temporary down turn it will be a good time to jump back in. Starting to think I should take more risk and start investing with up to 60 % of my piggy.

Iam trying to decide if I should go strictly with market indicators to time entry and exits, or if should give any credence to seasonality and politics and the Fed. Looks like ignoring that noise might be the best thing....as the bull is going to continue to rage upwards!!
We have issues on the budget ending on 9-30 and then the debt ceiling hits round mid-October so I think all that uncertainty plus with the politicians jockeying and talking heads parroting the bs , this will keep the markets volatile, but also believe some investors may start to think about why the Fed did not reduce QE. Had read a bit on that today, and some folks are indicating that if market starts to believe economy is heading south, the market could suffer major down turn... So yeah that is a possibility...But again who knows when that will happen. So starting to think I should not let politics affect my investment strategy and just get away from that altogether.... Hard for me to do that... But I'm trying...

I'm still in but sentiment is pretty high. If I was out, I would not buy in today. Wait and see what happens next week. My two cents worth.

 

[sstasel]

So starting to think I should not let politics affect my investment strategy and just get away from that altogether.... Hard for me to do that... But I'm trying...

I know just how you feel! I wrangle with it all the time. I've been fortunate this year in that I have been a "buy n' holder" and it's really paid off. Though with 2 moves left this month I am so tempted to move to the sidelines just before all the "shenanigans" really heat up in Washington. Going forward, I need to do some more research on how stocks have traditionally played out in October. Everyone will be reporting 3rd quarter earnings starting somewhere around the middle of the month and I would like to have some plan in place before all this starts getting reported.

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Between now and middle of October will be very volatile. I think I will stay out for a week or so to see whether there is a drop to enable a better ( lowe cost) re- entry point. While I say I will try to dismiss politics, I am still going to stay mindful of economic conditions and those pesky manmade bubbles. Yes Rcknfrewld.. You can read between the lines.

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

David Stockman on Fed QE and Yellin... Make sure to click on video clip
Yellen Has No Clue How to Run Fed: Stockman


Click on the Keith Fitz-Gerald video Clip... Interesting..
Is David Stockman's Stock Market Crash Prediction on Target? - Money Morning

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Nice video links about Stockman. He's quite interesting, and I've listened to him for many years, as he's been more aploitical and keeps it financial.

However, in his criticism of Yellen, he seems to show his own lack of awareness of our markets. Stockman said something like:
"Yellen has no clue...she thinks that 12 people (Central Bankers) are running a 16 Trillion Dollar Economy"
Uhhm...memo to David Stockman, who has been out of this federal monetary policy game for a long time (since the Reagan years)...The current economy IS being controlled and manipulated by 12 Central Bankers...has been since early 2009.

Yes.... I must agree. We will stay afloat and do good as long as the market agrees to eat it up ...but at some point enough fear will build, based on reality,and when that reality is realized, a majority of the herd will start to back out and this market will crash hard. No telling when.

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Yup...better make sure to get a place on Noah's ark for that.
Until then, I'll stay mostly on the land (the market), and continue to "hunt and gather supplies" (make $$) for that upcoming long voyage.

FMW...Not a bad idea. I'm fully committed to remaining uncommitted... Just don't yet know which way to go. i know the big drop is coming, don't know when...maybe in the coming in weeks?? or years??, want to avoid it, trying to find the best method to foretell and avoid it, and seriously considering going back to buy and hold strategy..

 

[Birchtree]

When you get blind sided just turn the other cheek. Pain comes with the game.