DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

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DreamboatAnnie said:
I realize the tariff will increase our prices for Chinese-made goods, but that is the whole point. Stop buying Chinese!! We need to support OUR team -- the good ole USA!
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DB, The question is why are all these products being made in China or just overseas in general? The problem with supporting OUR team is that it isn't made here anymore and if it is it is too expensive and who's fault is that? It's a much bigger problem then increasing the tariff's on product shipped from China.
 
Yep... But it is NEVER good to support a communist country. Not ever! May as well just hand them the gun and let them walk you peacefully into the woods without a fight!

You get what you pay for! In my family, I pay my son and nephews premium prices when they do things for me. You pay more to help your family instead of strangers. Loyalty to your family is very important. The USA is my family!

Also, our family being self-sufficient is important. We should not rely on the rest of the World for anything. Doing so is dangerous to our survival.

Also ..Tariffs are a tool or weapon if you are strong enough to wield it, and sometimes you must use your leverage to get where you need to get....just like you must take advantage of being the chip bully at the poker table! . :smile:
 
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When I first watched this video, it blew me away! How Big is the Universe???? Gosh... we are so tiny !!!! Just seems unbelievable..... is this true?? hummmm……

 
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well light can bend/change direction. so they really don't know how far other stars are away from the earth. they are just guessing about all it. but it does bring in the grant/research money.
 
LOL....yes I bet it does!! :smile:

Hey....maybe I should be a gubmint-funded research scientist when I grow up!!! :rolleyes:
I am a good writer... could probably write up a good proposal. I could try recycling some old studies.

When I was a child, I would sit out on the concrete side walk in the hot Texas sun during Summer and study the ants. Back then we had no phones, ipads, constant cartoons on TV to keep us preoccupied and apparently all my "smart" friends were inside shielding themselves from the brutal sun.

Sometimes I would encircle a wandering ant by swirling a little line of water around him. I came prepared with my big glass of water. I would draw the circle large and observe how the ant would test each part of it looking for a way out. Of course after a few minutes the water would evaporate so I would need to draw it again or just do it every now and then to keep the water line solid. He would calmly test each site.

But then I would start to draw the circle smaller and smaller and the ant would start to get frantic as it moved faster testing for an exit. This is not Chinese water torcher but I guess you could consider it DBA ant-torcher. In any case, I could make my research aim at finding out why he was freaking out, or whether his brain was big enough to realize his options were shrinking and thereby causing fear, or maybe his brain was too small to realize the water was not deep enough to drown him, or maybe he just was so small that the little water line too high---above his field of sight so he could not see the solid land beyond it!

Then again, I think maybe I have spent too much of my time wondering about small things!!!! lol.... huh....maybe that is what is wrong with me!!!! I think I may have solved all my lifelong issues! I'm glad we had this talk!!!! :D
 
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Valkyrie, I am back to the main topic. Yes...agree light can bend and thus change direction so you answer is most logical.... we just don't know how big the universe is. I do like the video and all those pretty pictures! :05:
Valkyrie said:
well light can bend/change direction. so they really don't know how far other stars are away from the earth. they are just guessing about all it. but it does bring in the grant/research money.
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Interesting article....China's Nuclear Option: Selling U.S. Treasury Bonds. … But reportedly not a likely option as it would hurt China more.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/13/chinas-self-destructive-nuclear-option-in-trade-war-selling-us-treasury-bonds.html

Per the article, this would cause yields to increase and China's portfolio value to drop and then China would not have advantage of US high yields at low risk.

But if this causes their portfolio to drop in value, seems they are saying US bond values would drop. Humm…..is this correct? Would that effect G fund value. I've never seen anything affect it.
 
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Thanks UQ, I was not too concerned about interest rates going negative, as that was the fear several years ago when the economy was doing poorly. I am now wondering more about what happens if bond yields increase on US Treasuries due to China dumping its' U.S. bonds and not continuing to buy U.S. bonds. It could cause US Treasury interest/yield rates to increase to draw in buyers and was thinking this could cause some inflation. But how would this impact the G Fund??? For example, when bond yields go up the F fund value drops. Just wondering...
userque said:
What Would Happen to the TSP if Interest Rates Turned Negative?
https://www.fedsmith.com/2016/02/18/what-would-happen-to-the-tsp-if-interest-rates-turned-negative/
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I saw the best explanation yet yesterday regarding what's driving U.S. stocks and bonds higher this year. It's very simple, as described by Martin Armstrong, the low and in some cases negative rates in Europe are driving increasing numbers of European investors to buy U.S. stocks and bonds in order to find yield. The question is just when this money flow will come to end. I can't see U.S. rates dropping to zero, but who knows. The fact that the Fed is preparing for that eventuality is telling.

I'm glad it's happening though since today there was a rate cut at Navy Federal CU and my wife and I just locked in a low 3.625% 30-year VA loan (she's the Navy vet, not me) with zero points and zero fees for our retirement house. As a result of the low rates we were able to afford a dreamy place where ESPN's Dick Vitale is in our neighborhood LOL. I'm not worthy, but we're enjoying it. :cool: Now my wife is focused on things like picking out the perfect shade of purple to paint her woman-cave. :laugh:
 
I don't see either side backing down. Our economy is currently strong. I'm betting the thinking is "Leave that worry for another day." So I see both parties holding tough positions until something causes movement.

FS
 
Just wanted to share some weekly charts. Stochastic dropped below 80 plus MACDs crossing below their signal lines and 3EMA crossed below 5EMA, seem to indicate more downside to come, but who really knows. Seems to be close to support near the 20 SMA (Bollinger mid-point). Plus DOW mini futures up right now by 98 points, so maybe it carries through on Monday for a nice bounce. Fed minutes come out Wednesday.

Notice that when 3EMA crosses below 5EMA, things go South! This chart goes back 1.5 years and its fairly clear to see. doesn't mean it will happen this time but I am keeping my eyes on it. So for now, I remain on the lilly pad a bit longer.

Best Wishes to you all on your Investments!!!!!!! :smile:

image.png

image.png
 
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Reposting the Permalinks for some daily charts I use.

DreamboatAnnie said:
Updating my chart Permalinks for 3 Month and 8 Month.


3 MONTH DAILY Charts

DWCPF
$DWCPF | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

SPX
$SPX | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

EFA
EFA | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

AGG
AGG | SharpChart | StockCharts.com


8 MONTH DAILY Charts

DWCPF
$DWCPF | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

SPX
http://schrts.co/cIwvKNQd

EFA
http://schrts.co/uZtKdAyI

AGG
http://schrts.co/afMTNZyC


Best Wishes to you on your Investments!!!!!!!! :smile:
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Your welcome WS! Believe it or not, last night I was contemplating entry after looking at daily candle charts because MACDs were crossed above their signal lines and F fund was starting to move down. But my hesitance was that Stochastics still have not crossed upward and 3 EMA still below 5EMa slightly. Futures were also a bit up last night.

Today, looking at candles currently forming and noting the down slope of the mid-point (dotted line) of Bollinger bands, I decided to wait for more confirmation of a bottom. i think a bottom will not be in for awhile, but was looking fir a quick in and out before the Holiday effect. Oh..well.... :(. I will stay on lilly pad a bit longer... Ribit! Ribit! :rolleyes:

Best Wishes to you All !!!!!!! :smile:

Here are some daily charts that helped in this decision. I also noticed that in May, after the last dip, the short rally did not even reach the mid-point of Bollinger band. I expected it to at least hit that point, and it didn't happen so market is showing weakness. Notice how March rally touched mid-point, backed off and then came back to rally above the mid-point thru April. Hummm...


image.png
 
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I want to get in, but I can't find the door! :laugh: ........ Uggh! ;damnit I was hoping for an opportunity today or tomorrow.... I am thinking today, but will see ..... I think its still just a bit premature. But I could take a chance. I would only go in for a few days... for a quick possible pop up to the mid-point on Bollinger bands and/or only until the MACDs start to cross down (assuming they ever go upward to get the party started). Then contemplating that I would only to stay in as long as 3EMA is above 5 EMA (again assuming it crosses up during the move up during short rally to the mid-point. But, I would probably do better to exit when the MACDs starts crossing back down instead of waiting for the 3/5EMA cross down.

For June overall, I still think it continues downward during June---- with possible up turns at start and towards the end if China news doesn't crop up... which it will! In the end, its all a crap shoot!

Best Wishes to you All !!!!!!!! :smile:
 
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