DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

Sort by newest Sort by date
EXITED---100G ... I scream uncle! :sucks: Would like to just stop investing at this point. I lost 8% at start of the year, worked to gain it back only to lose it again during past two weeks. Yes.... I kept thinking it would turn around and did NOT follow my strategy. Got over confident with the good entry exits that I did in Oct and Nov.

Oh well.... It is Christmas Eve and I am glad to be spending it with family and friends! :nuts: So it now time to look ahead, like water off the back of a duck... and I am ready for the work ahead to try to get it all back in 2019 plus some.

Best Wishes to You all !!!!!!!! :smile:
 
I wish I had bailed after the first couple of days of this drop...but I am accepting of the pain as I am still positive for the year. Hoping sales figures (setting records I think/hope) will be a post Christmas catalyst for some upward movement.
Merry Christmas all!!!
 
Hello, Hope you all had a very Merry Christmas. I have enjoyed not thinking about the market too much. I am wishing you all good health, happiness and a prosperous New Year!

Best wishes to you all!!!!! :smile: :dance:


HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!

1b1cb95fcd6cc9cc8658045cd86a2f68--downtown-san-antonio-tourist-map.jpg
 
Hi !! Yep lookin forward to 2019 and hoping we get out of this downturn. I have been really marveling at the thought that it is 2019 !! It just seems a short time ago, I was partying it up on New Years heading into 2000. Time is flying! Gosh 2019 … just somehow never thought I'd see it. I know I'm still fairly young but I still think of the good ole days as a Teenager growing up in the 70s and college in early 80s and clubbing and dancing all night out with friends. 2019 was WAY out there. And now here we are...still enjoying the party!! Life is a wonder, even if there are ups and downs. Just trying to keep it real and I'm enjoying what I have!!! I hope we keep dancing, singing, and laughing into the next year and the one after that....or as long as God gives us! 2019... I AM HERE! Let's Raise that glass and try to keep partying on!!!!

Dear Friends...Best wishes to You All on Life!!! :smile:
 
Hummm… the volatility continues. I'm Not going to bite! ...although S fund is starting to improve from this morning...now down only .41% :smile:

15 minute, 5-day Intraday -S fund

S Fund 5 day intraday .png
 
Last edited:
I am tempted to enter as well, but decided to sit out this wave. Hope I do not regret it but...just feel like the leg up started after Christmas and think it could be getting a little long---but that is just me. I also think it could go up another percent or two. But we are getting close to resistance... I think?????.... eeekkkkk...:eek:

Best wishes to you and to everyone!!!!!!!!! :smile:
Mcqlives said:
So...are you biting today? Feels like the guillotine is getting hoisted again but I am tempted to try to beat its drop for a percent or 2.
Click to expand...
 
Should have entered in late December but did not have an IFT. Obviously I exited prematurely on 12/24.

I really dislike being in market when we are in a Death Cross situation (50 EMA below 200EMA). But that said, I like that the Stochastic and MACD have both crossed positive... good. But the cross overs are a bit old for this quick and volatile market, So that makes me weary of an entry at this point. I do not want to chase it, but I have done that in the past...sometimes it works out and other times it does not.

I am also looking at the Daily charts over a 1 year period, plus looking at 4-year Weekly and Monthly charts. I watched the Ciovacco video that Nnutt posts on that thread and it was very good, informative but also made me think a lot harder about entry/exits during a downturn like this. But the Right Side of The Chart (RSOTC) video was much more positive. I think both videos were very interesting for different reasons. Ciovacco is hard to watch as it is long and he talks slow BUT his comparisons of current market to 1987, 2011, 2008 is interesting because what occurred in early 2008 caught my attention. Shows large drops, recovery that looks like the end of the downturn but then leads right into the massive crash later in year.


Here are a couple of the short term charts I am looking at:

S Fund 3 mos 1-7-2019.png

C Fund 3 mos 1-7-2019.png
 
Last edited:
DreamboatAnnie said:
I am tempted to enter as well, but decided to sit out this wave. Hope I do not regret it but...just feel like the leg up started after Christmas and think it could be getting a little long---but that is just me. I also think it could go up another percent or two. But we are getting close to resistance... I think?????.... eeekkkkk...:eek:

Best wishes to you and to everyone!!!!!!!!! :smile:
Click to expand...



I am with you. I am tempted but I think I am going to have to sit this one out today. Like you I hope I don't regret it but than again I would regret it even worse if I tried to chase it only to see it drop should bad news on trade with China come out after the meeting or if the Fed notes from Dec meeting come out Wednesday and say something more hawkish than the the dovish remarks he gave Friday. I'm usually impatient so my hope is I can last until things steady since I missed the initial mark.
 
Awesome point Quabit! We do seem to think alike! I was watching Wallstreet week (from Friday evening recording) and noticed on their schedule for upcoming week that the prior month's Fed minutes do come out on Wednesday! Last night as I was looking at charts, I briefly thought about what effect they might have if everyone now reads them again even though the Fed spoke last Friday and took a more dovish tone. I think the minutes could re-spook the market

But I understand why Market is spooked when it comes to the Fed raising rates. It is insane and they went overboard! They say they are data driven, but I have not seen where they specify what specific data they used to support their December decision to raise rates and indicate they would continue that. Maybe I missed it, so definitely want to read minutes. I also heard someone say that their "data" and fear of inflation is unfounded because what drives our economy has changed and so continuing to use the same metrics/nethodology they have used for years really do not effect this market like they did in the past---thus the overshoot. Can't remember who mentioned this now... getting too old and senile! lol...:rolleyes: I am also impatient. Just seeing the gains makes me want to jump in.... emotions … gotta keep em in check!

Best wishes to you and everyone!!!!!!! :)

quabit said:
I am with you. I am tempted but I think I am going to have to sit this one out today. Like you I hope I don't regret it but than again I would regret it even worse if I tried to chase it only to see it drop should bad news on trade with China come out after the meeting or if the Fed notes from Dec meeting come out Wednesday and say something more hawkish than the the dovish remarks he gave Friday. I'm usually impatient so my hope is I can last until things steady since I missed the initial mark.
Click to expand...
 
Last edited:
Now wondering how the talk about Immigration tonight will go. China still in a holding pattern. December Fed minutes get released tomorrow. Market is looking sweet for very short term.

Best wishes to everyone !!!!!!! :) :dance:
 
DreamboatAnnie said:
Awesome point Quabit! We do seem to think alike! I was watching Wallstreet week (from Friday evening recording) and noticed on their schedule for upcoming week that the prior month's Fed minutes do come out on Wednesday! Last night as I was looking at charts, I briefly thought about what effect they might have if everyone now reads them again even though the Fed spoke last Friday and took a more dovish tone. I think the minutes could re-spook the market

But I understand why Market is spooked when it comes to the Fed raising rates. It is insane and they went overboard! They say they are data driven, but I have not seen where they specify what specific data they used to support their December decision to raise rates and indicate they would continue that. Maybe I missed it, so definitely want to read minutes. I also heard someone say that their "data" and fear of inflation is unfounded because what drives our economy has changed and so continuing to use the same metrics/nethodology they have used for years really do not effect this market like they did in the past---thus the overshoot. Can't remember who mentioned this now... getting too old and senile! lol...:rolleyes: I am also impatient. Just seeing the gains makes me want to jump in.... emotions Â… gotta keep em in check!

Best wishes to you and everyone!!!!!!! :)
Click to expand...

Well DB, I'm still sitting on the side but I will tell you it is hard looking back to the 7th when we posted this and think that the S&P has went up about 80 points since that day. It would be nice to finally see a few down days and bad news be bad news because this is getting old. This is starting to feel like the go go market again where nothing can stop it. I tell myself I have not lost anything but it sometimes feels that way when the market goes straight up without you. I need to keep my emotions in check as you noted.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

TommyIV
  • Article Article
TSP Talk AutoTracker Insights: TSP Investors Lock in Gains
Replies
1
Views
408
tsptalk
tsptalk
P
Negative Adjustment Earnings
Replies
3
Views
269
nasa1974
nasa1974
V
Valleymd blog (the international question)
Replies
2
Views
211
tsptalk
tsptalk
TommyIV
  • Article Article
G-Fund Allocations on the Rise in TSP Talk AutoTracker
Replies
0
Views
270
TommyIV
TommyIV
tsptalk
January 2025 AutoTracker Winners!
Replies
1
Views
355
rangerray
rangerray
Back
Top