czapor1967's Account Talk

[Cactus]

So, does anybody else (with an iPhone) use the stocks app on their phone? I'm really confused because the app says (on my phone) that the I fund closed at +0.43% and on here it says that it closed at -0.08%... am I missing something or not understanding how the I fund works? please, any help here would be great! :suspicious:

Chris

You want to look in the I Fund section of the forum for explanations on FV like this one: http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/i-fund/3111-what-fv-how-does-work.html

 

[czapor1967]

January seems not to be the S funds best month, but how is it when a new president is sworn in? normally I go to F in January, but my gut is saying stay where you are...
anybody have any thoughts on this? :scratchchin:

Thanks,
Chris

 

[evilanne]

January seems not to be the S funds best month, but how is it when a new president is sworn in? normally I go to F in January, but my gut is saying stay where you are...
anybody have any thoughts on this? :scratchchin:

Thanks,
Chris

I can let you know in February One study shows "all of the major stock market declines occurred during the first or second years of the four-year U.S. presidential cycle." The Four-Year U.S. Presidential Cycle and the Stock Market | Graziadio Business Review | Graziadio School of Business and Management | Pepperdine University Other studies show that. economy does better with a Democratic President :dunno:

 

[Tsunami]

How has the S fund performed during January when a new President is inaugurated?

I now have a full 30 years of monthly data going back to January 1987, so I can answer that. Here's the January returns for the last four Presidents:

1989 – George H.W. Bush: F +1.27%, C +7.14%,S+5.48%, +1.76%
1993 – Clinton: F +1.88%, C +0.86%, S +2.18%,I -0.12%
2001 – George W. Bush: F +1.65%, C +3.55%, S+5.44%, I -0.05%
2009 – Barrack Obama: F -0.86%, C -8.41%, S -8.19%, I -11.93%

That’s not a lot of data to go by, and the ugly climax to the 2007-09 bear market skews the results. Hard to draw any conclusions other than it’s a bad month for the I fund.

 

[evilanne]

You can go back further for the C fund. Monthly pricing back to the 1800's S&P 500 Historical Prices by Month

 

[czapor1967]

excellent replies, Thank You!!!


Chris