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CH,
Good read. Not even the experts can agree what is happening and where the market may go. So where does that leave us amatures??? I guess following my gut is just as good as all the charts that the experts are using. :nuts:
By Dakin Campbell
March 8 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. regulators are encouraging public pension funds that control more than $2 trillion to inject capital directly into the banking system by buying failed lenders, said people briefed on the matter.
The FDIC shuttered 140 lenders last year and expects the tally may be higher in 2010. Regulators have avoided signing up private-equity firms as rescuers on concern that they might take too much risk. Pension funds, whose 100 largest members manage $2.4 trillion, could provide capital to acquire deposits and outstanding loans from collapsed banks, according to the people.
FDIC guarantees may soften the risk of investing public pension money in distressed banks, according to one of the people. When the FDIC sells a failed bank, it typically shares a portion of the loan losses.
“Financially sophisticated people do not assume that banks have recognized all of their real estate losses,” Kramer said, adding that it can still be a bad deal if a buyer overpays for a deposit franchise or if loans perform worse than expected. “We are in the early innings for commercial real estate.”
I'll be in San Diego for a few days beginning the 14th. Any locals interested in getting together for beer? If so, PM me.
I'm going to forgo posting the SS for now, internet access for me is difficult at the moment, but we're still on a buy. This is the week before OPEX so look for selling pressure, but don't expect it to last when it first shows up. Volatility may present a problem for anyone trying to buy a dip right now. We're overbbought, but I'm going to be very patient at this price level. My first priority is to keep what I got. Making gains is secondary at the moment.
Thanks for going through all the SS effort, CH... it is appreciated by all of us!
Also regarding current price level, I remember a quote, "The higher the price you pay, the lower your return will be."