clester's Account Talk

[clester]

I've been burned by the I fund lately, but its attempting a breakout again. So, I'm going 25% I , 25% G and keeping 50% C. I'm a little concerned about Friday and next tuesday, Seasonality wise.

 

[clester]

View attachment 1622


C fund still outperforming on a monthly basis. Looks like the sideways move has put us in the lower half of the channel. If we're down this morning I may add to C fund. I fund is going to bite me again.

 

[clester]

Going in 100% C. C fund is performing best and we're now at the bottom of the channel and close to 20 DMA. (Buy the dip?????) Will watch for break of 20 DMA to lighten up.

 

[clester]

Looks like everyone is bailing out today. Whats up? Could be a big sell off this afternoon. Good day to buy IMHO

 

[clester]

So far holding 1510 level. There is some support from back in early may at this level. If we bounce from here the trend of bouncing off the bottom of the trend line (or 20 DMA) will be intact. if not watch out. IMO we will bounce, if not today then tomorrow. TSPtalkers bailed today though. That worries me a little. All that mone will come out this afternoon and probably push us down.

 

[SkiUtah]

I'm follow the trends, and posted earlier that there is a potential greenspin trend, he talks negative, the market tanks. Last time it was that 4% drop....I got out for the weekend.

 

[weatherweenie]

So far holding 1510 level. There is some support from back in early may at this level. If we bounce from here the trend of bouncing off the bottom of the trend line (or 20 DMA) will be intact. if not watch out. IMO we will bounce, if not today then tomorrow. TSPtalkers bailed today though. That worries me a little. All that mone will come out this afternoon and probably push us down.

Down to 1,508.66.

Had 50% in G on Wed., put that 50% in C/I for today.
Bailed for Friday.

 

[clester]

View attachment 1623

We have held the 20 DMA. Will it hold tomorrow? We're at a critical stage. If we break the trend, who know whats next.

 

[clester]

Boy, I was surprised this morning when I first looked at the market. I intentionally didn't check anything until this morning. I was expecting another leg down.( My emotions) . Luckily , I followed the trend and bought the down day. I see several TSPtalkers going to I fund today. I had that same idea, but it bitten me lately. Seems like the I has done pretty well over our holiday breaks. Anyone have stats on that?

 

[clester]

I hope we have a short covering rally this afternoon. Fridays have been good lately I think because shorts get out for the weekend.

 

[clester]

-fv has gotten me twice lately in the I fund. My timing really sucks. Glad I only had 25% in it. I should have stayed with my game plan and used the best performing fund. (C fund)

View attachment 1625

 

[clester]

C fund still holding the 20 dma and is still in an up trend. Also as this chart shows the C fund is still outperforming over the last 2 months. I'm staying in until the trend changes or 20 dma is broken. The pattern of the channel tops and bottoms is also intact.
View attachment 1637

 

[clester]

C fund is still performing well and 20 dma is in an uptrend. I like to play the trend channel and as we approach the upper part of the channel take 50% out. We are approaching that point, but I don't think we're quite there. Fridays and Mondays have been good the last few weeks. I'm contemplating taking 50% out today, but technically I should stay all in for awhile. Maybe until Monday.??

 

[clester]

Getting a little nervous and we're above halfway in the c fund channel. So, I'm taking 50% out to G. 50% G and 50% C

 

[clester]

View attachment 1641

It looks like S FUND has taken the lead int the short term (1 Month), but they're all pretty close now. C fund appears to be a little over halfway up the channel. We could go as high as 1560 before a pullback. Although, we have been up for 5 days straight. I will probably increase my exposure on any pullback.

 

[nnuut]

I see things at the top of their channels. What do you do then? Invest more? Yes! with insider information, Got any?:worried:

 

[clester]

I see things at the top of their channels. What do you do then? Invest more? Yes! with insider information, Got any?:worried:

I appears to me we are in the upper half of the channel, thats why I took 50% out Friday.

 

[RunningFool]

Best insider advice I have ever gotten: Markets go up, markets go down, Sell when they're high, Buy when they're down. You will ALLWAYS make money. That will be $.50, please.:laugh: I just realized there is no cent symbol on my keyboard. Probably one of those ALT-CTRL,Shift esc key combination thingys.

 

[RunningFool]

Somewhere in Arkansas, near where one river crosses another river. That's all I'm saying.

 

[clester]

Looks like it's time to buy. 20 dma is about 1520 which has been solid support. 1527 (The old high might also give some support). Time to buy the dip. I'll go back in 100%. I've been eyeing the S fund. It's outperformed the last few days, but I'll stick with C fund for now.