Bquat's Account Talk

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FAAM said:
MaSTA; at 70G & 30S, was that more buy INTO the market for you, or was it to move some back to G? Just curious. I'm 80%G 10%F 5%C & 5%S, 8% for the year. I'm feeling the need to be very cautious with up-downs over last few months, yet hoping for good December & not wanting to miss out, I felt urged to move 20% or so from G to S this morning - yet with the markets looking up more today, I couldn't pull the trigger -- fearing buying high in my IFT, & thinking more odds for a pullback soon. Yet with the Euro news that'll happen daily all week & its impacts to USA markets, seems like a crap-shoot. Feel like I'm playing Russian Routlet (sp?) not being able to know or guess that news. Also, don't want to burn IFTs early. Hmm, what to do? See what happens tomorrow; if nothing else, sit conservatively with just a toe in the market & maybe buy into a low if it happens in next few days or couple of weeks.
Click to expand...

I am currently 100% S, so I would of been moving most to the G fund. I will also see how tomorrow pans out. I read something on CNBC about something happening on Wednesday with Europe. They are trying to reach an agreement to help the debt crisis or something. I don't really follow it, but who knows how Wednesday will turn out with that...
 
Cactus said:
Yeah, it seamed real slow today. I guess we were all trying to get on at the same time. How do you know if you are too late or not? My transaction simply gave the standard "transactions before noon are usually process by the end of the day" bit. I guess I made it??? I guess I have to check tomorrow and if didn't go through I can cancel before noon tomorrow.
Click to expand...

Yeah it was going extremely slow for me since I'm on my work computer. I'm a recruiter so we have to use VPN to get on the military network and when you are on VPN things move like a snail. I should of logged off VPN quick to make the transaction, but oh well...I guess we will see what happens tomorrow. :worried:
 
MaStA said:
I am currently 100% S, so I would of been moving most to the G fund. I will also see how tomorrow pans out. I read something on CNBC about something happening on Wednesday with Europe. They are trying to reach an agreement to help the debt crisis or something. I don't really follow it, but who knows how Wednesday will turn out with that...
Click to expand...
you may be ok. The high base is continuing to hold and may retest. It more of a coin toss here. I'm 70%G because of Capitol Preservation and I didn't want to retest 1235 at 100%. Some people are getting out today and a few are buying. This is a long term resistance line.
http://www.tsptalk.com/tracker/tsp_user_record_all.php

Longterm:
 
I let you go back to work, yes? Retired I am. Christmas decorations put up I go.:D
 
Bquat said:
you may be ok. The high base is continuing to hold and may retest. It more of a coin toss here. I'm 70%G because of Capitol Preservation and I didn't want to retest 1235 at 100%. Some people are getting out today and a few are buying. This is a long term resistance line.
http://www.tsptalk.com/tracker/tsp_user_record_all.php

Longterm:
Click to expand...

I wish I understood this stuff lol... I did some reading about charting and messed around on freestockcharts.com, but I'm still lost. I'm glad there is a community like this one to see what you all are saying. :)
 
The resistance held but we could be trying to creat a channel here anyway. Tomorrow will tell if the bottom line holds today. Might have to find little bull and see if we can get him to come back?:confused:
 
Went from S&P 500 PM to S&P 500. Don't really know the difference. Took off resistance and support lines so you can see better. Tomorrow we should be able to see if this bull channel is true.

Also I redid my long term to show current bull channel and the old bear channel. What you think.:)
 
So, feeling guilty because of over sleeping as you can see I'm up eariler today. Today is more critical anyway. The market wants to remain bullish but as you can see by the long term the top of the old channel blocked the move and we dropped into triangle or maybe a pennant. I think the market is coiling for a big move soon. If this is a bullish pennant I don't know? Why today is short term critical is today the market has to decide as to continue this short term small bull channel or turn from the top of the triangle and go down. Little bull is biting at the bit and little bear is waving his finger saying "no don't do it." So today we watch.

As to a slightly longer term, if the 50 SMA crosses the 200 SMA by the end of this week, traders will go bullish.

So as a treat I'll give you the chart early. I redrew the top side of the short bull pattern to touch more lines and so you can see the top of the triangle holding us back. Is the third try the charm? Even if we go bullish after IFT time, we can still get some gains between the top of the triangle and the top of the old channel at 1320ish.:)
 
Sensei said:
I notice you like to use hourly charts. Any particular reason, or just personal preference?
Click to expand...
I'm more able to pan in and out I guess and in the shorter time frame the 20 day seems to be more bumpy. Also when I draw my lines is the shorter term they move when I go back to the hourly. So just a personal preference. How did you like them anyway and do you agree with what I'm guessing here?:D
 
I checked out the shorter time frames and they may be better. Maybe I'll play with them more Thanks
 
How come the 20, 50, 200 average lines are different on both charts. Are the units dependent on the temporal resolution you are charting (i.e. day, hour...)?

On the right hand chart I think the 20 (?) average looks like it's ready for a move up, but on the left hand chart the 20 (?) average looks ready to top and move down. Basically I like the way the averages look on the right hand chart (for a long move) but dislike the left hand chart. Obviously these are subjective/personal conclusions I've drawn, but if you look at the charts you can see what I'm talking about, the lines are different.
 
Mapper said:
How come the 20, 50, 200 average lines are different on both charts. Are the units dependent on the temporal resolution you are charting (i.e. day, hour...)?

On the right hand chart I think the 20 (?) average looks like it's ready for a move up, but on the left hand chart the 20 (?) average looks ready to top and move down. Basically I like the way the averages look on the right hand chart (for a long move) but dislike the left hand chart. Obviously these are subjective/personal conclusions I've drawn, but if you look at the charts you can see what I'm talking about, the lines are different.
Click to expand...
The biggest reason is that the left one is an hourly chart and the right one is a monthly chart... very, very different perspectives...
 
Mapper said:
How come the 20, 50, 200 average lines are different on both charts. Are the units dependent on the temporal resolution you are charting (i.e. day, hour...)?

On the right hand chart I think the 20 (?) average looks like it's ready for a move up, but on the left hand chart the 20 (?) average looks ready to top and move down. Basically I like the way the averages look on the right hand chart (for a long move) but dislike the left hand chart. Obviously these are subjective/personal conclusions I've drawn, but if you look at the charts you can see what I'm talking about, the lines are different.
Click to expand...
On the right hand chart I think they're like monthly Moving average and the left hand chart is like weekly moving average. If you go to the 30 min or 15 min. they're more like the daily Moving Average. This is a guess. The hourly has been for me the scale I have been using because we only have 2 IFTs. This makes us have to act like swing traiders and the mid term trend is more apparent to me.. On the 30 min. the 50 has already crossed the 200 (golden cross) and that is why people are getting bullish. If I follow the shorter term the overall trend is less apparent.JMHO
You think the 30 may be better with our limited trades. A day trader would use the shortest time frame and can trade the higher volitility of the charts.
 
gotcha, that's what I was guessing but I had previously thought the 20, 50 and 200 were fixed as day moving averages, not just periods...dependent on the temporal resolution (hour, month) of the chart.
 
You know the market just waits till after IFT time to make the move and it might drag this level out for another day.:(
 
Mapper said:
gotcha, that's what I was guessing but I had previously thought the 20, 50 and 200 were fixed as day moving averages, not just periods...dependent on the temporal resolution (hour, month) of the chart.
Click to expand...
The averages are based on the chart displayed. If you are using an hourly chart, it is a moving average of 20 hours, 50 hours, and 200 hours. The same goes for a daily chart, weekly chart, etc.
 
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