Birchtree's Account Talk

Damn, Sam. If I had the money you just lost I would resign on Monday. I can whittle (wood carve) and sell the stuff on eBay while I lived on the interest of the 700K. I would also be in Hawaii saying "hello" to Konakathy by next Friday and very likely end up staying there (not insinuating staying with her) in the Sandwhich Islands carving and hanging loose on the beach. Money in itself, making money doesnt hold that much of a fascination for me - its what that money can do for me (while Im still alive, lol)~ You'll get it back, Im sure.
 
I wasn't planning on taking any capital gains until 2012 - I'll have it all back by then and more I'm sure. I'm interested in preserving the dividend income which is growing this year with increases and dividend reinvestments. Capital gains will fluctuate but dividends are usually solid and life long income.
 
I've got some throw away money now from selling my ARJ and plan to do some extended buying on Monday. If we happen to ramp up hard I may finally sell my CLF and redistribute the cash into my wall flower base - they are so deserving of my attention. And there are so many of them now seeking attention. A VIX level of 40 is rampant fear - the kind I actually like. I've often referred to myself over the eons as a renegade contrarian and now is step in front of that Grand Trunk time. As Adam Hamilton said: "The contrarians who've trained and hardened themselves to fight the crowd, intense selloffs are harbingers of great opportunities. Aggressively buying stocks in their fear filled hearts nearly always leads to huge profits within a matter of months." This is not valued priced like March 2009 but close enough to really make some serious money when we rebound - I'll be trying to buy all the way up to Dow 14,000 and SPX 1675 - yup I got high hopes.
 
I would say that with the I fund up 1.77% yesterday and a payout of $0.10 that the buggers were really holding on to some fair value. Monday could be explosive I mean really explosive if Italy doesn't disappoint. They're not rioting yet like the ass clowns in Greece are they?
 
I've often referred to myself over the eons as a renegade contrarian and now is step in front of that Grand Trunk time.

Adam Hamilton step aside - here comes Birchtree!

Not at Bernanke rates.

LOL! Damn his eyes! the Downgrade might get us back on track interest-wise...its a moot point for me anyway - I dont have the 700K!
 
From TWSJ: "There are only a few reliable rules of investing. One of them is that perceived risk and actual risk tend to be inversely related: The more dangerous the markets feel today, the more likely they are to produce generous returns tomorrow. Fear has always been the best fertilizer for future bull markets." Ain't that the truth.
 
More from TWSJ: "Since 1962, the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index has seen 25 corrections of 10% during a bull market - but in only nine of them did the losses grow to 20% or more, according to Birinyi Associates Inc. That means there is only slightly more than a 1-in-3 chance that the market is going to keep cratering." The sun still shines because I received 2 dividend increase announcements Friday - BIP and CSL as well as a special dividend of $1.00 from CNS. "During the past 20 years, the S&P 500 has returned 23.7% in the 12 months following a one-day selloff of 4% or more, according to FactSet Research Systems data."
 
How about a few more kinds words from TWSJ before we sink into oblivion: "The good news is that it isn't forever (correction). And in the meantime, there are ways for investors to take advantage of lower stock prices to pick up bargains, capture tax perks, maximize corportae stock awards and tweak retirement accounts. The burst of selling that sent the DJIA down 4.3% on Thursday continued into Friday, when the average dipped as much as 2.1% before rebounding. All told the Dow has dropped 10.7% since April 29. The selling has been so strong that the S&P 500s 'relative strength index', a technical gauge of momentum, fell to 23.48 on Friday, the lowest since Oct. 10, 2008. That is an indication that the market could be drastically oversold. After all, the number of falling stocks on the NYSE on Thursday outnumbered rising ones by 20-to-1, and 98.9% of the volume occurred in stocks that has dropped. That kind of selling pressure suggests the end of a correction - not the beginning of a bear market." So let's see if we take out the Dow of 11,139 and the SPX of 1168.09 on an intraday basis. That could be a double bottom.
 
The wall flowers I bought today are: BAC, ANR, CNX, NRP, LII, KEG, TEX, GGC. Right now the Dow is down 281 - if we get any kind of a rebound I'll be back to buy more.
 
How about a few more kinds words from TWSJ before we sink into oblivion: "The good news is that it isn't forever (correction). And in the meantime, there are ways for investors to take advantage of lower stock prices to pick up bargains, capture tax perks, maximize corportae stock awards and tweak retirement accounts. The burst of selling that sent the DJIA down 4.3% on Thursday continued into Friday, when the average dipped as much as 2.1% before rebounding. All told the Dow has dropped 10.7% since April 29. The selling has been so strong that the S&P 500s 'relative strength index', a technical gauge of momentum, fell to 23.48 on Friday, the lowest since Oct. 10, 2008. That is an indication that the market could be drastically oversold. After all, the number of falling stocks on the NYSE on Thursday outnumbered rising ones by 20-to-1, and 98.9% of the volume occurred in stocks that has dropped. That kind of selling pressure suggests the end of a correction - not the beginning of a bear market." So let's see if we take out the Dow of 11,139 and the SPX of 1168.09 on an intraday basis. That could be a double bottom.

I like energy stocks, so I picked up some CNX. Thanks again. $38.63/share
 
You got CNX cheaper than I did - I paid $39.76. Rail car manufactures are running straight out building rail cars for the coal export market. The VIX is in the 40 level again - buying should perk up soon. If it does I'll be doing more buying of wall flowers. Snort.
 
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