southbeachrat
TSP Strategist
- Reaction score
- 1
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Birchtree's Account Talk
- Thread starter Birchtree
- Start date
caymanbrac12
Market Tracker
- Reaction score
- 9
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Just a side note. Birchtree I figure you would appreciate a work of art. Look what's getting parked in the garage this July: the Aston Martin DBS. I couldn't help myself. $275,000 - 10K over sticker and you can't imagine the favors I had to pull in just to get one. LOL
Just a side note. Birchtree I figure you would appreciate a work of art. Look what's getting parked in the garage this July: the Aston Martin DBS. I couldn't help myself. $275,000 - 10K over sticker and you can't imagine the favors I had to pull in just to get one. LOL
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Cayman,
She is definitely lovely and I bet she'll purr like a sweetheart. Congratulations - you provide incentive to keep on the march forward.
I went in today when the Dow was down 254 and bought a few positions: ALY, APL, BAC, BBT, BZH, BMS, EBF, LZB, LPX, T.
Second thought, I'll rub three coats of wax on it for free just so I can touch it.
Cayman,
She is definitely lovely and I bet she'll purr like a sweetheart. Congratulations - you provide incentive to keep on the march forward.
I went in today when the Dow was down 254 and bought a few positions: ALY, APL, BAC, BBT, BZH, BMS, EBF, LZB, LPX, T.
Second thought, I'll rub three coats of wax on it for free just so I can touch it.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
OK I'm done buying for the day after these: B, BAM, CX, DHT, FLE, IT, GRA. Only got 51 more purchases to make - will wait for next week to roll around. Good thing I own agriculture - may be forced to peel some of that off later. My ribs are sore from taking the blows today - but this is opportunity time in my book. I'm not afraid of this recession noise that is being bandied about town.
OK I'm done buying for the day after these: B, BAM, CX, DHT, FLE, IT, GRA. Only got 51 more purchases to make - will wait for next week to roll around. Good thing I own agriculture - may be forced to peel some of that off later. My ribs are sore from taking the blows today - but this is opportunity time in my book. I'm not afraid of this recession noise that is being bandied about town.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
4Q S&P 500 earnings are projected to come in -11%. The financial sector is contributing a -72% share to those earnings. The S&P 500 earning ex-financial shares will show a projected gain of +11% - duh? Why are all these young hedge fund managers so nervous - I say it's inexperience. S&P 500 earnings could actually surprise if exports are strong. I've got some agricultural stocks that are in rally mode - so I may be forced to sacrifice some future profits with them by peeling off shares intermediate term to raise buying power. Folks, there are just so many rejected wall flowers that want harbor in my oceanic portolio. I may be stepping in deep manure but spring is near and the garden needs planting.
Dennis - permabull #1
4Q S&P 500 earnings are projected to come in -11%. The financial sector is contributing a -72% share to those earnings. The S&P 500 earning ex-financial shares will show a projected gain of +11% - duh? Why are all these young hedge fund managers so nervous - I say it's inexperience. S&P 500 earnings could actually surprise if exports are strong. I've got some agricultural stocks that are in rally mode - so I may be forced to sacrifice some future profits with them by peeling off shares intermediate term to raise buying power. Folks, there are just so many rejected wall flowers that want harbor in my oceanic portolio. I may be stepping in deep manure but spring is near and the garden needs planting.
Dennis - permabull #1
Steadygain
TSP Elite
- Reaction score
- 45
Re: Birchtree's account talk
They're puppies Birch - and they hear all the chattering and get caught up in it. Of course when the markets are diving the press has to project bad news - and when they go up the press will print the upbeat stories. I personally see a short term bounce that will make everyone think "We're out of the woods" and then the ultimate downfall will occur.
They're puppies Birch - and they hear all the chattering and get caught up in it. Of course when the markets are diving the press has to project bad news - and when they go up the press will print the upbeat stories. I personally see a short term bounce that will make everyone think "We're out of the woods" and then the ultimate downfall will occur.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
I helped a friend with some stock talk today and this is what he bought when the market was standing down 304: KRO, LOW, MAS, NCC, NL, KWR, RF, SLE, SHS, SMP, SVU, TDW, TKR, LTD, LBY, KEY, GGC, AIT, F, BAC. The Technician will be here shortly to suggest I'm doing a pump and dump campaign - no that's pump and then dump. I'm doing all the pumping while someone else is foolishly dumping.
I helped a friend with some stock talk today and this is what he bought when the market was standing down 304: KRO, LOW, MAS, NCC, NL, KWR, RF, SLE, SHS, SMP, SVU, TDW, TKR, LTD, LBY, KEY, GGC, AIT, F, BAC. The Technician will be here shortly to suggest I'm doing a pump and dump campaign - no that's pump and then dump. I'm doing all the pumping while someone else is foolishly dumping.
Mr recognizer
Banned
- Reaction score
- 0
Re: Birchtree's account talk
s gotten huge...you never mention owning any of these.whats your opinion on the precious metals..now hold over 900k in these funds.....only 300k invewstment on my part...whatsyour take since you never mention prec metals?
birch ..i added to my gold pos agin today...i have been buying precious metal funds for 3 years now and my account ha
s gotten huge...you never mention owning any of these.whats your opinion on the precious metals..now hold over 900k in these funds.....only 300k invewstment on my part...whatsyour take since you never mention prec metals?
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
I've been holding 15 ounces of American Gold (Grant Woods, etc) since the early 1980s. I think I may actually have a small gain at this point. The origfinal plan was to use the coins as gifts for family members but that plan hasn't worked very well. Otherwise I donb't really pay much attention to the precious metals markets - stocks or etf. I can lose plenty of money in other places. For having a diversified portfolio I'm still rather narrow in my choices.
I've been holding 15 ounces of American Gold (Grant Woods, etc) since the early 1980s. I think I may actually have a small gain at this point. The origfinal plan was to use the coins as gifts for family members but that plan hasn't worked very well. Otherwise I donb't really pay much attention to the precious metals markets - stocks or etf. I can lose plenty of money in other places. For having a diversified portfolio I'm still rather narrow in my choices.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
"The magnitude of the bull market of 1982 to 1999 (even when adjusted for inflation) was truly of historic proportions. Today's chart does illustrate that on an inflation-adjusted basis the Dow still trades below its 1999 peak."
http://www.chartoftheday.com/20080111.htm?T
"The magnitude of the bull market of 1982 to 1999 (even when adjusted for inflation) was truly of historic proportions. Today's chart does illustrate that on an inflation-adjusted basis the Dow still trades below its 1999 peak."
http://www.chartoftheday.com/20080111.htm?T
weatherweenie
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 146
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Thanks for reminding me. I just added a little to my HD DRiP. Maybe in 30-40 yrs it might be worth somehing.
Thanks for reminding me. I just added a little to my HD DRiP. Maybe in 30-40 yrs it might be worth somehing.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
I'm remined that exports jumped at a 16.2% rate in 3Q, more than double 2Q's 7.5% rate, the strongest increase since the fourth quarter of 2003. Also, didn't 4Q GDP come in at 4.9%?
What is required to establish a new sell signal from my perspective for Dow Theory. The DJIA would have to establish a new downtrend (with a lower high and a lower low) and, in the process, penetrate the August intra-day low (12517). It'll be close next week. In the meantime, the DJTA would have to maintain its own primary downtrend. Until those events occur, the bulls will remain in control. I know it sounds silly with the fourth correction now in progress - but the bottom could definitely be near.
I'm remined that exports jumped at a 16.2% rate in 3Q, more than double 2Q's 7.5% rate, the strongest increase since the fourth quarter of 2003. Also, didn't 4Q GDP come in at 4.9%?
What is required to establish a new sell signal from my perspective for Dow Theory. The DJIA would have to establish a new downtrend (with a lower high and a lower low) and, in the process, penetrate the August intra-day low (12517). It'll be close next week. In the meantime, the DJTA would have to maintain its own primary downtrend. Until those events occur, the bulls will remain in control. I know it sounds silly with the fourth correction now in progress - but the bottom could definitely be near.
Rod
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 296
Re: Birchtree's account talk
I could be wrong Dennis, but on my speadsheet I have the DJIA penetrating the August intra-day low on 9 Jan. That day, I have the intraday @
12,502.33-12,737.26.
I could be wrong Dennis, but on my speadsheet I have the DJIA penetrating the August intra-day low on 9 Jan. That day, I have the intraday @
12,502.33-12,737.26.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Rod,
You are correct - looking at TWSJ they have the intra-day at 12,501.76. Ah, doesn't make any difference - I'm still not changing my plan. Just one more negative statistic - we've got historical badness about the markets - and for what reason? I'm prepared to do more buying next week.
Rod,
You are correct - looking at TWSJ they have the intra-day at 12,501.76. Ah, doesn't make any difference - I'm still not changing my plan. Just one more negative statistic - we've got historical badness about the markets - and for what reason? I'm prepared to do more buying next week.
Rod
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 296
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Thank you for that clarification.
And yes, there are bargains on the table.
Thank you for that clarification.
And yes, there are bargains on the table.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
"When fear rules the best opportunities surface; the opposite holds true when Euphoria rules. We are entering a new paradigm where the Feds will no longer be the only ones capable of injecting huge sums of money into these markets; SWF's will soon be the masters in this field."
Check out the section on the utilities and observe the graph.
http://www.[[financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/ti/2008/0111.html
"When fear rules the best opportunities surface; the opposite holds true when Euphoria rules. We are entering a new paradigm where the Feds will no longer be the only ones capable of injecting huge sums of money into these markets; SWF's will soon be the masters in this field."
Check out the section on the utilities and observe the graph.
http://www.[[financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/ti/2008/0111.html
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