Birchtree's Account Talk

[Birchtree]

It's Time To Buy The Oil Panic Of 2014 - ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF (NYSEARCA:UCO) | Seeking Alpha

 

[Birchtree]

I've been spreading the bull manure all year for a 300 point gap up open - will today be the day. We may be heading into a multi-month rally. No sign whatsoever that this (what people decades from now will look back on as being the greatest bull market in history) bull market is anywhere near being over. A mega trend secular bull market that runs through 2031 is purrfect. It's time to catch the rocket ride.

 

[Tsunami]

I agree this bull market isn't done...and in the long run agree totally with your idea that it will run through the 2020's in a huge bull run...but I also believe that there will be a painful correction in 2016/17 (of around 35%) before an even bigger bull run than this 2009-15 bull market get underway. So avoiding as much of that bear market as possible will be prudent (especially for folks like me wanting to retire in the next few years), but not easy.

The next megabull in the 2020's will be fueled by higher inflation and the millenials entering their peak spending years.

Here's a good article explaining the current situation if it hasn't been posted already. I haven't been keeping up on this blog.
Recent Hindenburg Omens Signaled Caution, Now What? | Chris Puplava | FINANCIAL SENSE

 

[Birchtree]

How I wish I had +$500K to spend on oil and coal stocks - I could do it in a heartbeat. An all out bull rally is not totally out of the question even from our current level.

 

[Birchtree]

"Studies have shown that investors and consumers tend to be 2-3 years behind the curve of a financial market trend. That is, investors who were scared onto the sidelines by a stock market crash will usually wait up to two or three years before re-entering the market, but only if stocks have advanced during that time." It's time to follow the Ferdinand express rampage. I got my son-in-law a subscription to Barrons to help him find redemption.

 

[Birchtree]

My investment adviser (Mindylou) still wants me to sell my Signet Jewelers (SIG) but I don't want the profitable capital gains just yet. Sometimes I'm just a coward. I really hate to sell anything.

 

[Birchtree]

Dividend Growth Investing FAQ | Seeking Alpha

 

[Birchtree]

Hulbert: Sentiment Levels Indicate Bull Isn’t Done | The Guru Investor

 

[Birchtree]

If I can make as much money in my oceanic account today as I did yesterday - boy I'd be a real happy camper.

 

[Birchtree]

The R2K has busted past 1188 - that means new higher highs on the way.

 

[MrJohnRoss]

How I wish I had +$500K to spend on oil and coal stocks - I could do it in a heartbeat. An all out bull rally is not totally out of the question even from our current level.

Check your coat pocket. I'll bet you left it in there. :nuts:

 

[MrJohnRoss]

If I can make as much money in my oceanic account today as I did yesterday - boy I'd be a real happy camper.

If you're happy and you know it, clap your hands! *clap, clap*

 

[Birchtree]

The rally out of the 2009 low has now extended to the point that it is the longest cyclical advance since the inception of the DJIA in 1896. I firmly believe that the Dow would be at 25,000 if Obama was a leader and cared about employing people - there I said it. We are seeing a 3rd wave in action right now - I anticipate more gains.

 

[Birchtree]

I'm wondering if the central banks were in the markets today buying equities.

 

[JTH]

Yesterday was the best day for the S&P 500 in 14 months, and today was even better. This was the first time the S&P 500 rose more than 2% on consecutive days since March 2009, shortly after the bull market began. We haven’t done it for three straight days since August 2002.

 

[burrocrat]

I'm wondering if the central banks were in the markets today buying equities.

ya think?

 

[shitepoke]

While the regulators are gone fer x-mas- thats what crooks do...
BT, this thang going to blast off through new years- we know you'll be in no matter what but the rest of us weaker players need the scoop. Gold/Russia/Oil/Obummer what do you think...

 

[MrJohnRoss]

While the regulators are gone fer x-mas- thats what crooks do...
BT, this thang going to blast off through new years- we know you'll be in no matter what but the rest of us weaker players need the scoop. Gold/Russia/Oil/Obummer what do you think...

o.m.g.

 

[Birchtree]

Nothing threatens this stock bull market. I believe the conditions now in place could foster a bull market that could last 18 to 20 years. They call it a mega trend. And I bet central banks are buying stocks - only a surging economy will end the bull run.

 

[Birchtree]

I'm trying to think ahead and discount the future. In 2013 the SPX gained 29.6% - the same type of gain for 2015 would be 620 points and take me to 2686. It's definitely time to think aggressive. We could stay in our current up channel and get there without a manic parabolic melt up phase.