Birchtree's Account Talk

[burrocrat]

if you knew the market would go down 10% in September, would you sell now and buy back in October

on dec. 31 of last year i knew the market would go down 10% in january so i sold then. i still want to buy back in and it's almost september.

 

[alevin]

And here I've thought all this time you were all-in for the ride down back in 08. No wonder you've been so heedless since then. And your household allocations between asset classes revealed recently have also given much enlightenment at long last. the Big Birch picture finally comes into focus. timing plus asset allocation+div reinvest. admiration here.

 

[Birchtree]

"If you don't know who you are, this is an expensive place to find out."

Investor, Know Thyself | The Reformed Broker

 

[Birchtree]

"We should be scared stockless right now."

Surprise! Stocks Aren't Guaranteed To Tank In September - Seeking Alpha

 

[Birchtree]

http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetel...mism-almost-back-to-march-2009-levels-b-of-a/

 

[Birchtree]

I'm truly thankful the market didn't hold its 117 point early gain - now I'll get better pricing for my dividend reinvestments. A few more days of sideways will be purrfect.

 

[Birchtree]

S&P 500 trading volume lightest in 15 years - The Tell - MarketWatch

 

[Birchtree]

S&P 500: 3 Reasons To Be Mega Bullish [SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, Tesla Motors Inc, Netflix, Inc., iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF), Yelp Inc] - Seeking Alpha

My preference was that today would be slow go but one can't be proud at a moment like this - I'll take my gains with humility. I now have 116 dividend increase announcements and only 20 more to exceed 2012 - suspect that will happen in the next four months.

 

[Birchtree]

Herro Focused on Europe, Not Emerging Markets | The Guru Investor

 

[Birchtree]

Yes, I'm talking my book.

Patient Investors Get A Crack At Plum Creek Timber [Weyerhaeuser Company, Rayonier Inc., Potlatch Corporation, Deltic Timber Corp] - Seeking Alpha

 

[Birchtree]

A bull market not ready to be put to rest - MarketWatch

 

[Birchtree]

If you think you know when this bull market finally comes to an end, you are kidding yourself. It's optimism that is the enemy of the rational buyer. Drillers are active today.

 

[Birchtree]

More gains for the hoofhearted while many jump ship. They say those blinded by emotion and the illusion of knowledgewhich so often comes reading a headline are missing the boat, not to mention the train. The service side of the economy booms in August - fastest pace on record at 58.6%. Remember, bull markets do one thing, and one thing only, they resolve to new bull market highs.

 

[Birchtree]

The first 4 trading days of September were OK for my oceanic along with mucho dividends going to work. Here is what happened: +$21K, +$41K, +$37K, +$8K for a splendid gain of +$107K. The ten year Treasury at 2.94% heading for 3%. The great rotation seems to be in force - though today was simply profit taking. The rest of September may be very lucrative.

 

[MrJohnRoss]

The first 4 trading days of September were OK for my oceanic along with mucho dividends going to work. Here is what happened: +$21K, +$41K, +$37K, +$8K for a splendid gain of +$107K. The ten year Treasury at 2.94% heading for 3%. The great rotation seems to be in force - though today was simply profit taking. The rest of September may be very lucrative.

$107K in a week is not too shabby, BT, especially a short and relatively weak week. :toung:

Keep it up!

 

[Birchtree]

$VIX: How Low Can It Go? | Guy Lerner | Safehaven.com

 

[EricDeLee]

I'm a bit conflicted with staying "all-in" for the month of September. Last few days have been good. Today's seems to be great. But the seasonality of Sept is kind of wanting me to run to my safety net. Mayhap I should just not check anything for a few weeks and go read a good book.

 

[Birchtree]

For EricDeLee,

Don't waste your time forecasting - MarketWatch

 

[JTH]

For EricDeLee,

Don't waste your time forecasting - MarketWatch

My current projections show the yearly high to be 1730-1740

 

[rktect1]

Permabulls make me question their depth of conviction when they are at 54% of the total S fund. I keep hearing things like its only going to keep going up and you have to just stay in it and link after link about the Dow 20000 and s&p 3000. But only buy and holders this year plus maybe five others have posted SFund or better results. So where are these permabulls.