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Birchtree's Account Talk
- Thread starter Birchtree
- Start date
hessian
Analyst
- Reaction score
- 23
Re: Birchtree's account talk
You're right, please forgive me. I did go overboard. I can only plead temp insanity! To echo TrafficDogs's sentiments:
Its just the "put downs" that's my only real source of irritation, as they have no place in advancing an opinion/perspective.
GL in your strategy Birch.
And all, Live well and be heathy. I've no interest in being a "nemesis" either.
:embarrest:
You're right, please forgive me. I did go overboard. I can only plead temp insanity! To echo TrafficDogs's sentiments:
Its just the "put downs" that's my only real source of irritation, as they have no place in advancing an opinion/perspective.
GL in your strategy Birch.
And all, Live well and be heathy. I've no interest in being a "nemesis" either.
:embarrest:
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
It would appear Ferdinand that we have accumulated a few more under the "Big Top" employees - what a wonderful world. I will say that I do sell - in '07 I liquidated 19 positions and reinvested the money into 522 other purchases and have the 1040 to show the taxes I paid as a result of my good fortune. I noticed that I had 400 views recently this weekend - there must be a reason. What I'll say to defend my position is that my oceanic account has been posted - no reason to be mendacious about it and it can be found in the short term thread under christmas. I've also been doing some selling this year and continue to purchase stocks building income. My TSP account is a fiduciary account and it has done well over the years without a lot of bunny hopping around - be right and sit tight. As far as my investing strategy goes I'll only say the best decisions I've made over the years are the ones that I never made. I mean who really cares about all the bunny hopping around - it's frankly boring stuff to someone with a longer term perspective.
It would appear Ferdinand that we have accumulated a few more under the "Big Top" employees - what a wonderful world. I will say that I do sell - in '07 I liquidated 19 positions and reinvested the money into 522 other purchases and have the 1040 to show the taxes I paid as a result of my good fortune. I noticed that I had 400 views recently this weekend - there must be a reason. What I'll say to defend my position is that my oceanic account has been posted - no reason to be mendacious about it and it can be found in the short term thread under christmas. I've also been doing some selling this year and continue to purchase stocks building income. My TSP account is a fiduciary account and it has done well over the years without a lot of bunny hopping around - be right and sit tight. As far as my investing strategy goes I'll only say the best decisions I've made over the years are the ones that I never made. I mean who really cares about all the bunny hopping around - it's frankly boring stuff to someone with a longer term perspective.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
"It has become increasingly obvious that we are in a stagflation environment with feeble economic growth and high commodity inflation. That is the bad news. The good news is our strategy seeks out companies that are profiting from high food, energy, and steel prices. In other words, we're riding the inflation wave." Me too, I've been waiting several years for today to arrive.
http://www.navellier.com/commentary/weekly_marketmail.aspx
"It has become increasingly obvious that we are in a stagflation environment with feeble economic growth and high commodity inflation. That is the bad news. The good news is our strategy seeks out companies that are profiting from high food, energy, and steel prices. In other words, we're riding the inflation wave." Me too, I've been waiting several years for today to arrive.
http://www.navellier.com/commentary/weekly_marketmail.aspx
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
"Over the past decade, it has generally been a good time to short oil and buy industrials metals once the ratio between WTI crude oil prices and the Goldman Sachs Industrials Metals Index reach a level near 0.30 or above. This ratio is now at an all-time high. Moreover, previous spikes to similar levels have always led to at least a short term (but significant) correction in oil prices."
http://www.safehaven.com/article-10514.htm
"Over the past decade, it has generally been a good time to short oil and buy industrials metals once the ratio between WTI crude oil prices and the Goldman Sachs Industrials Metals Index reach a level near 0.30 or above. This ratio is now at an all-time high. Moreover, previous spikes to similar levels have always led to at least a short term (but significant) correction in oil prices."
http://www.safehaven.com/article-10514.htm
- Reaction score
- 2,021
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Thanks hessian, for the refreshing post. Birch's thread is always filled with honest, up front posts, but it needed a little touch of class.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Ya, I'm sure all the moderators are relieved that I don't have the demeanor or sarcasm of a "Milkman" or Mr. Hessian would be under that horse and not on it. Let's have some news leaks out of the G-8 meeting to spark a 400 point up day tomorrow.
Ya, I'm sure all the moderators are relieved that I don't have the demeanor or sarcasm of a "Milkman" or Mr. Hessian would be under that horse and not on it. Let's have some news leaks out of the G-8 meeting to spark a 400 point up day tomorrow.
- Reaction score
- 2,021
FUTURESTRADER
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 17
Re: Birchtree's account talk
The weekly charts of S&P 500 and EFA (or BTAEX) have rolled over from overbought but the weekly DWCPF is still holding in overbought and showing increasing strength.
The weekly charts of S&P 500 and EFA (or BTAEX) have rolled over from overbought but the weekly DWCPF is still holding in overbought and showing increasing strength.
alevin
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 97
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Thanks Birchtree, that kind of information is definitely useable.
Thanks Birchtree, that kind of information is definitely useable.
Steadygain
TSP Elite
- Reaction score
- 45
Re: Birchtree's account talk
The general mood seems upbeat and I can't help but think the S Fund is in for a nice ride. One good week of an uptrend would be really nice as long as it's gradual. Rates will have to go up - but it's likely going to remain unchanged in the near future.
BTW - Thanks for posting your ITFs Tom - I missed that and your decision for doing what your doing.
Birch - welcome home (whenever you get back). You probably have continuing medical education to log as well. Well I'm about half way done and got a little break.
GL to all.
The general mood seems upbeat and I can't help but think the S Fund is in for a nice ride. One good week of an uptrend would be really nice as long as it's gradual. Rates will have to go up - but it's likely going to remain unchanged in the near future.
BTW - Thanks for posting your ITFs Tom - I missed that and your decision for doing what your doing.
Birch - welcome home (whenever you get back). You probably have continuing medical education to log as well. Well I'm about half way done and got a little break.
GL to all.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
No more ME for me - I'll be out of the work force before the year ends. I'm allowing my three licenses (RN, RRT, MT) to expire, I've had enough. My cushion will hold me until I hit the wall. I'm slowly easing into a little independent money management - the information I have to access for my own accounts is also applicable to anyone else without much more added work. My client base is growing and intact. I haven't mentioned this before because it is a private matter - I don't do any kind of advertising and I'm hard to locate, it's all by word of mouth from existing clients. I don't sell any products only my investment skills are for sale. And yes I am part of the notorious underground. We'll see how it works out.
No more ME for me - I'll be out of the work force before the year ends. I'm allowing my three licenses (RN, RRT, MT) to expire, I've had enough. My cushion will hold me until I hit the wall. I'm slowly easing into a little independent money management - the information I have to access for my own accounts is also applicable to anyone else without much more added work. My client base is growing and intact. I haven't mentioned this before because it is a private matter - I don't do any kind of advertising and I'm hard to locate, it's all by word of mouth from existing clients. I don't sell any products only my investment skills are for sale. And yes I am part of the notorious underground. We'll see how it works out.
Silverbird
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 27
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Flying Free Soon? Leaving the coop? Congrats!!!
Flying Free Soon? Leaving the coop? Congrats!!!
Steadygain
TSP Elite
- Reaction score
- 45
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Well Birch,
You are definately the undisputed KING - no matter whose got the top gain on this site (no offense to anyone else). I am thrilled for you my friend. I have a National Test every 6 years that is very extensive and without it I don't work. 100 hrs minimum CME per 2 year cycle. So I am very much looking forward to the day when I can retire and be done with all that stuff.
Your client base is bound to be growing. My gosh look at you Birch. You are unstoppable - I mean there is absolutely no way in hell the Markets will ever out do you. You do not sell short and you have a winning strategy that can't be beat. You know how to find the choice stocks (BTW - I hope you did consider EPAY) and you've got the data to prove you're no kid going on a wim.
Anyway - just make sure you stick around for us.
Steadygain
Well Birch,
You are definately the undisputed KING - no matter whose got the top gain on this site (no offense to anyone else). I am thrilled for you my friend. I have a National Test every 6 years that is very extensive and without it I don't work. 100 hrs minimum CME per 2 year cycle. So I am very much looking forward to the day when I can retire and be done with all that stuff.
Your client base is bound to be growing. My gosh look at you Birch. You are unstoppable - I mean there is absolutely no way in hell the Markets will ever out do you. You do not sell short and you have a winning strategy that can't be beat. You know how to find the choice stocks (BTW - I hope you did consider EPAY) and you've got the data to prove you're no kid going on a wim.
Anyway - just make sure you stick around for us.
Steadygain
FogSailing
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 61
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Been out of the coup for 1 1/2 years now Birch. Best decision I ever made. I made that change from "live to work" to "work to live". Life is so much better from the viewpoint of my front porch..
FS
Been out of the coup for 1 1/2 years now Birch. Best decision I ever made. I made that change from "live to work" to "work to live". Life is so much better from the viewpoint of my front porch..
FS
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
"Although many analysts have called the decline from October 2007 the beginning of a bear market, I have never felt that it was and that this call was premature. Instead, I beleive that the stock market is still following a typical decennial pattern which calls for one more high in 2009 or 2010 before we do start a bear market as a result of the powerful cycles which will bottom between 2012 and 2014. The low which is shaping up over the next couple of weeks is likely to hold above that of March, after which will begin an uptrend which should exceed 1440 on the SPX, but it may still fall short of the October high until the Fall cycles have made their lows.
I believe that analyzing the breadth/price relationship is one of the most important factors in forecasting, and one of the best tools to analyze intermediate breadth is the McClellan Summation Index (MCSUM). One of the reasons that I do not believe that we are in a bear market is because such a forecast is not supported by this index." Check the divergences.
http://www.safehaven.com/article-10530.htm
Anybody notice what happened to the ag stocks today? They surely have value for this ole bull - helping to keep me afloat during these midwestern floods. Although my FDP (Fresh Delmonte Foods) took a nice hit - I'll be buying more at the end of the month.
"Although many analysts have called the decline from October 2007 the beginning of a bear market, I have never felt that it was and that this call was premature. Instead, I beleive that the stock market is still following a typical decennial pattern which calls for one more high in 2009 or 2010 before we do start a bear market as a result of the powerful cycles which will bottom between 2012 and 2014. The low which is shaping up over the next couple of weeks is likely to hold above that of March, after which will begin an uptrend which should exceed 1440 on the SPX, but it may still fall short of the October high until the Fall cycles have made their lows.
I believe that analyzing the breadth/price relationship is one of the most important factors in forecasting, and one of the best tools to analyze intermediate breadth is the McClellan Summation Index (MCSUM). One of the reasons that I do not believe that we are in a bear market is because such a forecast is not supported by this index." Check the divergences.
http://www.safehaven.com/article-10530.htm
Anybody notice what happened to the ag stocks today? They surely have value for this ole bull - helping to keep me afloat during these midwestern floods. Although my FDP (Fresh Delmonte Foods) took a nice hit - I'll be buying more at the end of the month.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Bulkowski's timing indicator flashes a buy.
"Each market fractal is unique, but we can gain insight from the way in which a similar situation has resolved in the past. Back in early 1991, following a similar test down that we're seeing right now, the SPX gained an astonishing 20% in one month."
http://www.safehaven.com/article-10533.htm
Bulkowski's timing indicator flashes a buy.
"Each market fractal is unique, but we can gain insight from the way in which a similar situation has resolved in the past. Back in early 1991, following a similar test down that we're seeing right now, the SPX gained an astonishing 20% in one month."
http://www.safehaven.com/article-10533.htm
Rod
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 302
sugarandspice
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 31
Re: Birchtree's account talk
Well, I was going to comment until I read this disqualifier.
Well, I was going to comment until I read this disqualifier.
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