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BigJohn's Account Talk
- Thread starter BigJohn
- Start date
BigJohn
Member
Made a timely move to the G fund on 2/18, felt like there was enough political upheaval (looming federal budget battle and geo-political intrigue) to warrant a jump to the lily pad. I plan on staying out of stocks until things truly settle down: i.e. the budget battle resolves itself and the Egypt/Libya/Bahrain/Saudi situation, including its impact on oil cools.
I don't think this is necessarily the second dip, in the double dip camp...I think it is a temporary setback and the trend longterm is still up.
Just my thoughts.
I don't think this is necessarily the second dip, in the double dip camp...I think it is a temporary setback and the trend longterm is still up.
Just my thoughts.
I agree with you whole heartedly ! It's always good to keep what you've
gained, then capitalize on any dip (Politically driven or not). Well Done !
FAB1
Well-known member
Good Call...but
Did Birch extend his gratitude followed by a bawk, bawk, bawk?
Of course he IS a bit under you on the tracker, hmmm.
Sign_Stealer
New member
Nice going, BigJohn. Congrats on moving into the top spot. You've earned it.
BigJohn
Member
An interesting article, makes sitting on the lily pad (at least for now) more tolerable.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/41743484
http://www.cnbc.com/id/41743484
BigJohn
Member
I don't like what I am seeing in my tea-leaves (Starbuck grounds??). My earlier thought that the overall trend is still up, with a possibility of short term loses, is now not sitting so well with me.
I am out, and I am going to stay out longer than I initially thought. As someone said on the board, it is just as important to side step a big loss than it is to miss out on a big gain.
I will comfortably accept the harassment for sitting on the lily pad.
I hope I am wrong, best of luck to all.
BigJohn
I am out, and I am going to stay out longer than I initially thought. As someone said on the board, it is just as important to side step a big loss than it is to miss out on a big gain.
I will comfortably accept the harassment for sitting on the lily pad.
I hope I am wrong, best of luck to all.
BigJohn
JTH
Well-known member
I have to remind myself many folks including me called for a 1400 SPX top this year. The closer to the edge we get, the more folks will bail for fear absorbing a pullback. Oil could kill everything, but if it doesn't and we chop through this trading range, some good money can be made here.
Of course, you're already at the top so you sitting this out is sort of a no-brainer to me.
Of course, you're already at the top so you sitting this out is sort of a no-brainer to me.
When BigJohn talks, we should listen. I think you have as many, or more, AutoTracker prizes as anyone.
FAB1
Well-known member
Lets see, Wed, Thursday, Friday Jobs Report
If I can make good on those three days I will be joining you Big John.
Looks like today is going to be okay after a nice stomach wrenching ride
BigJohn
Member
For years I didn't post out of fear of the very question you asked; I have no financial training at all...my moves are based on my general sense of things. Being raised Catholic, I shy away from the guilt I would feel if I held myself out to be more knowledgeable than I am, and thereby lead someone the wrong direction.
I am out because my general sense of things is more negative than positive, nothing more...nothing less.
Blind hogs and acorns...
Lets see, Wed, Thursday, Friday Jobs Report
If I can make good on those three days I will be joining you Big John.
My fingers are crossed for all of us...
Looks like today is going to be okay after a nice stomach wrenching ride
A definite day for dramamine...
I have to remind myself many folks including me called for a 1400 SPX top this year. The closer to the edge we get, the more folks will bail for fear absorbing a pullback. Oil could kill everything, but if it doesn't and we chop through this trading range, some good money can be made here.
Of course, you're already at the top so you sitting this out is sort of a no-brainer to me.
No question having a good return so far this year makes a trip to the lily pad easier; but I think your comment brings up an even more interesting topic. I have often found myself contemplating moves (in and out) based not only on my current return, but due to a competitve desire to end up higher on the board. Competition is a great thing, but hindsight being 20/20, I have noticed the real beat downs I have taken over the years had an element of wanting to be on top of the board.
I think I would have the stones to step out of the market regardless of my returns so far this year...but you are correct, it is much easier to do so with having banked a good return.
BigJohn
BigJohn
Member
I think tomorrow will be choppy throughout the day and end +/- .25%
If the weekend is uneventful, I think we make up today's drop up by COB Wednesday. Early in the week I will be looking for a good start of the trading day (1+ %) before the trade deadline, then it will be off to the G fund.
Looks like a fairly dramatic shift in the tracker due tonight; best of luck to all.
BigJohn
If the weekend is uneventful, I think we make up today's drop up by COB Wednesday. Early in the week I will be looking for a good start of the trading day (1+ %) before the trade deadline, then it will be off to the G fund.
Looks like a fairly dramatic shift in the tracker due tonight; best of luck to all.
BigJohn
JTH
Well-known member
That was monsterious gap down on EFA, with a nice nitro-boost from the dollar. Did you get the entry you wanted and do you feel the same way about the entry you got?
View attachment 10739
View attachment 10739
