back 2 back disatasters

[teknobucks]

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Dave M wrote:

Teckno, I have a track ball on the eye of this storm on my workstation. It has held a motion of 305 degrees at 9 knots for the last 24 hours. During the conference call that just ended -- 0830Z -- they chose Sabine Pass as the most likely place for landfall.

Surge is complicated. Forward speed and wind speed must synchronize for surge to maximize. If it is strong but slow, surge will be less than if it is strong but fast. However if it is moving too fast, it can outrun its surge. Coming straight on toward the coast will be a factor -- less surge than if it was paralleling the coast.Bottom topography and the shape of the shoreline also are critical. Sabine Pass is a narrow inlet to a large bay or lake. The necks on either side of the inlet will reflect and slow the surge.

To the right of the track lie extensive marshes south of Lake Charles LA. these will absorb a lot of the surge.

The main event with this system may not come fora week after landfall. It is forecast to stall in the Texarkana/Shreveport region and may even drift back toward the south. Thus it will be dumping 3-6 inches of rain per day for maybe 5 days over the same area. Once this water gets into the rivers a significant fresh water floodwill occur.For one thing, it means the folks who evacuated will not be able to get back for a long time.

Rita brushed my island Tuesday with 76 mph winds on land but 98 mph just five miles off shore.

Dave

folks in hou area may of got a gift from this track change.

*tues or wed. fang sent amerlin outta jax to photo the entire keys 4 storm damage ....worked pilot on return leg andhe indicatedya'll fairedwell. THANK GOD!

 

[teknobucks]

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Greg wrote:

teknobucks wrote:

would hate to think how GOD will punish us for printing all that money from thin air

Matthew 22:15-17 - Then the Pharisees went off and discussed how they could trap him in argument. Eventually they sent their disciples with some of the Herod-party to say this, "Master, we know that you are an honest man who teaches the way of God faithfully and that you don't care for human approval. Now tell us - 'is it right to pay taxes to Caesar or not'?"

22:18-20 - But Jesus knowing their evil intention said, "Why try this trick on me, you frauds? Show me the money you pay the tax with." They handed him a coin, and he said to them, "Whose face is this and whose name is in the inscription?"

22:21 - "Caesar's," they said. "Then give to Caesar," he replied, "what belongs to Caesar and to God what belongs to God!"

22:22 - This reply staggered them and they went away and let him alone.

Pharisees.......2005

off tt:



Greenspan is my hero. Without him we wouldn't have the greatest stock market bubble in history, the greatest real estate bubble in history, and the greatest bond market in history. If you think about it, the very way we trade today has been strongly influenced by Greenspan. I will surely miss him and so will you once you take a closer look at his replacement Mr. Bernanke.

 

[Dave M]

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I wish I had a time machine so I could go back and whisper to the folks from New Orleans who went to Houston: "Psst! Go to Dallas instead!" We had some fugitives from N.O. come to Key West if you can believe it. That is just asking for it. Nebraska, Chicago, anywhere but the heart of hurricane country.

The powers that be learned the lesson of Katrina: Evacuate! So they ordered the evacuation of the country's 4th largest metropolitan area, over 4 million people, just like that. Did they expect it to go smoothly? They did this into the pathof the people who were leaving the coastal islands and towns, which all the roads in the area funnel through Houston. Is it any wonder that it turned into the evacuation from hell?

Down here we do PHASED evacuations. First, tourists and visitors, then Lower Keys, then Middle Keys, then Upper Keys. That way there isn't a big jam up on our one 2-lane road outta town. We must empty the island chain within 24 hours. If we cannot achieve the 24 hour limit, the state refuses to issue any more building permits. (The developers want to 4-lane the entire road to accomodate more traffic and hence, acquire building permits.)

So why not let Galveston go, then 24 hours later evacuate south Houston and the locations near the bayous, and after that let everyone else stay put, so long as you are above the projected high tide line. Like up on the Florida mainland they have zones. The beach zone, the zone east of A1A, etc. The idea is to move as few people as necessary as short a distance as necessary. Youonly needto go may 10 miles to be safe from the surge. Why have people going all over the country? They were renting motel rooms in Oklahoma fer cryin out loud. That is needless and costly. And look at the result -- SNAFU.

The people of Houston have learned the lesson of the people of New Orleans who learned the lesson learned by the people on the Titanic: Thosein charge don't know what they're doing, and there are too few lifeboats.

Dave

 

[teknobucks]

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during floyd it took us 1 1/2 hours to go fromthe beachto I95....about 14 miles. A1A going off the islandto the 95 is now a oneway corridor during hurrivac.

neighbors that left at the last minute did better time wise driving. problem for them was finding gas and a hotel within 200 miles avail.

 

[teknobucks]

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[font="verdana, arial, helvetica,"]NEW ORLEANS - Hurricane Rita's steady rains sent water pouring through breaches in a patched levee Friday, cascading into one of the city's lowest-lying neighborhoods in a devastating repeat of New Orleans' flooding nightmare.[/font]

[font="verdana, arial, helvetica,"]***thank God the Federal government pleaded with that FOOL Nagin NOT to allow people back into the city..........things would be truly catastrophic.[/font]