350Z's 2007 I Fund Thread

[Robo5555]

Japan is up now!!!

 

[Fivetears]

At this hour... Little Nicky is holding well at -0.03%, despite the -.69% China Syndrome.

350Z's may have been on to something.
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.php?p=112165&postcount=5893

 

[weatherweenie]

Bloomberg quote: -0.515%

 

[Robo5555]

Strong head wind ahead....Push Spartans!

 

[350zCommTech]

Early estimate: Down .655% or -15 cents.

 

[350zCommTech]

The Yen carry trade came under pressure last night and again this morning. There's an attempt to turn the Yen around at this moment. If it works, markets could rally this afternoon causing a +FV. But if the Yen continues to rise this afternoon, we could see a small -FV, which could be followed by some panic selling in Japan tonight.

I know the Ebbchart says to go to the I fund for tomorrow, but IMO, the C or S are better choices, if I was to move back in.

 

[350zCommTech]

Current estimate: Down 1.003% or -24 cents.

 

[350zCommTech]

There's an attempt to turn the Yen around at this moment.

That attempt fail miserably, the Yen is under some serious pressure.

 

[NyteTracker]

FOMC meets today. +FV?

 

[fedgolfer]

FOMC meets today. +FV?

No meeting just minutes released from 8/7 meeting... see 12% account talk thread.

 

[350zCommTech]

FOMC meets today. +FV?

The minutes should be a non event.

 

[350zCommTech]

That attempt fail miserably, the Yen is under some serious pressure.

Yikes, it's getting worst. If it doesn't turn around this afternoon, Japan is really going to panic tonight. The last time they had panic attack, 2 weeks ago, the Nikkei fell 800+ points.

 

[NyteTracker]

No meeting just minutes released from 8/7 meeting... see 12% account talk thread.

Thanks, my bad

 

[ebbnflow]

The Yen carry trade came under pressure last night and again this morning. There's an attempt to turn the Yen around at this moment. If it works, markets could rally this afternoon causing a +FV. But if the Yen continues to rise this afternoon, we could see a small -FV, which could be followed by some panic selling in Japan tonight.

I know the Ebbchart says to go to the I fund for tomorrow, but IMO, the C or S are better choices, if I was to move back in.

I checked the ebbchart tally and here's the tale of the tape:

S-fund: 21/35 or 60% chance for an up day; +8.00% total gain.
I-fund: 23/35 or 66% chance for an up day; +6.15% total gain.

Bigger gains when choosing S-fund, but better accuracy with the I-fund. It's a toss up for me. Either one looks good.

 

[350zCommTech]

Down 1.125% or -27 cents.

 

[jayhawker]

EAFE Final: -1.16% or -27 cents.

 

[McDuck]

For us buying the I-fund today, an -UfV would be nice. To have that, the EFA would have to close at or below 75.95.

 

[qibovin]

For us buying the I-fund today, an -UfV would be nice. To have that, the EFA would have to close at or below 75.95.

Or Barclay otherwise computes (or just decides) that they could skim some profits based on a large volume of IFTs in one way direction or the other.

 

[Jonathan]

Looking at the indices as we approach 4:00 pm, I think it's pretty obvious we're going to have a -fv. It looks to me like it should be around -$.25.

 

[350zCommTech]

Looking at the indices as we approach 4:00 pm, I think it's pretty obvious we're going to have a -fv. It looks to me like it should be around -$.25.

I have the MBS (maximum bend-over scenerio) at -28 cents.