350Z's 2007 I Fund Thread

[Rascle Man]

Thanks so much to all. There are several of us in the office that check your posts here daily. Your efforts and willingness to share are so appreciated by all of us.

 

[350zCommTech]

The Yen is falling dramatically. This will support the Nikkei if the USM sells-off this afternoon.

 

[ebbnflow]

FWIW, ebb goes to the I on Thursday. Only thing is, there's green lights on the C and S, stop on the I.

I just like lookin at the symbols spin.

WW, I used to think about the individual funds on the Ebbtracker like that, too, but it was interesting to see when Ebb posted the stats on each of the patterns. Ironically it seems, Thursday's pattern #2 has the I fund performing the best on average even though it's the only red. These stats have gotten me to start looking at these patterns as a system, not as individual funds. Patterns #1 and #7 have the S fund outperforming others, and #8 which is supposed to be out of equities has the C fund outperforming the others even though it's actually red. It will be interesting to see how the I does relative to the other funds on Thursday given that it's got the odds stacked against it.

Qibovin is right, he's got a good grasp of the ebbchart patterns. I've been touting pattern 2 (green C, green S, red I) since the beginning. And I too never looked at the funds individually. I see the pattern that's x-checked for the I-fund as a whole (majority rules!).

 

[qibovin]

Qibovin is right, he's got a good grasp of the ebbchart patterns.

I'm a big fan of making money

 

[Griffin]

Have you ever compared the Ebbchart patterns to the percentage of times that the pattern was predicted on a day that actually produced a positive and/or negative FV? Just curious if there is a trend.

 

[12%ayear]

Markets will pop all week IMO..Staying fully invested. IMO you will new DJIA highs this week

 

[12%ayear]

Sallie Mae Stock plunge............ Halted

 

[Birchtree]

Good, we need those negative vibes. The more the better. The bull will run regardless.

 

[weatherweenie]

eafe -0.23%

 

[USNAVYRETIRED]

Does anyone know if the will be a FV tomorrow and if so, what it will be? (+ or -)?

 

[ebbnflow]

Have you ever compared the Ebbchart patterns to the percentage of times that the pattern was predicted on a day that actually produced a positive and/or negative FV? Just curious if there is a trend.

Griffin, you mean which of the patterns produced -/+FVs. I haven't done it, but if I find one pattern getting more FVs compared to others, then that sure would be interesting. I got to find the FV dates.

 

[ATCJeff]

Does anyone know if the will be a FV tomorrow and if so, what it will be? (+ or -)?

A orginal FV is determine on any given day by the way the market moves after the 11:30am cut-off on the same day. Therefor, there is no way to predict if a FV will occur tomorrow.

 

[James48843]

If 350's right, and yesterday's FV was .17 cents,-
then todays final number (-.14 cents),
plus the .17 cents from yesterday,
should equal

a plus .03 cents on the "I" fund today.

 

[USNAVYRETIRED]

A orginal FV is determine on any given day by the way the market moves after the 11:30am cut-off on the same day. Therefor, there is no way to predict if a FV will occur tomorrow.

OK! I thought tomorrow's FV was dependant on what the market did today between the maket 11:30 and the close. Now the whole thing makes more sense to me.... Thanks for the explaination, and good luck with your IFT's.

 

[Robo5555]

Wonder what the rest of the week brings???

 

[ebbnflow]

G 12.01 even
F 11.25 -.02 (-0.18%)
C 16.97 +.10 (+0.59%)
S 20.86 +.08 (+0.38%)
I 25.09 +.12 (+0.48%)

That's all folks. Good set up for the I-fund tomorrow.

 

[Wrngway]

Griffin, you mean which of the patterns produced -/+FVs. I haven't done it, but if I find one pattern getting more FVs compared to others, then that sure would be interesting. I got to find the FV dates.

It would be interesting to see. It seems that with the stats shown that you may already be taking that into account to some extent since you check with closing prices.

I have a question...

On the Ebbchart page you show each patterns performance. There you have up & down days over a total number of days.

Are up days shown for each fund for a pattern in the market (aka 2 greens)?

Thanks for your efforts!

 

[ebbnflow]

It would be interesting to see. It seems that with the stats shown that you may already be taking that into account to some extent since you check with closing prices.

I have a question...

On the Ebbchart page you show each patterns performance. There you have up & down days over a total number of days.

Are up days shown for each fund for a pattern in the market (aka 2 greens)?

Thanks for your efforts!

Wrngway that's right, up days are shown for patterns (1, 2, 4 and 7) that go to stocks (2 or more greens) using the C, S and I-fund.

And down days are shown for patterns (3, 5, 6 and 8) that go to safe haven (2 or more reds) using the C, S and I-fund.

Ex. Pattern 1 (3 greens/stocks):
For the C-fund: 16/29, means it was up 16 times in 29 appearances.
For the S-fund: 16/28, means it was up 16 times in 28 appearances.
For the I-fund: 18/28, means it was up 18 times in 28 appearances.

 

[James48843]

Opening data this morning:

"I" fund now up + 0.417%, or +.10 cents.

As of 9:51 am.

 

[qibovin]

Wrngway that's right, up days are shown for patterns (1, 2, 4 and 7) that go to stocks (2 or more greens) using the C, S and I-fund.

And down days are shown for patterns (3, 5, 6 and 8) that go to safe haven (2 or more reds) using the C, S and I-fund.

Ex. Pattern 1 (3 greens/stocks):
For the C-fund: 16/29, means it was up 16 times in 29 appearances.
For the S-fund: 16/28, means it was up 16 times in 28 appearances.
For the I-fund: 18/28, means it was up 18 times in 28 appearances.

Ebb, how is it that there can be more "appearances" of the C fund than the S and/or I when the existence of pattern implies all three? I presume your data does not go back to pre-S/I fund days. Am I missing something simple/obvious?