350zCommtech's Account Talk

[Braveheart]

I don't care what happens today I am going 100% G Fund for friday already did the IFT just in case of a mass traffic on the TSP site and it runs slow. Bad feeling on the F Fund and on the Market. F Fund could drop no matter what the reports are so I think either way it is a bad bet.

Any thoughts on this Z - :suspicious:

I know we got burned with inflation 2 weeks back but the F Fund came right back the next day so Monday 3/17/08 before the Fed breaks the news we could see a big move to the F Fund on fear the Fed may not cut .75+ I think they shouldn't cut the rates and what a shocker it would be but we just saw what 200 billion did it created more fear, speculation and now no one knows what the hell to do. It's a gamble monday but I like those odds better than friday. I know the C, S, & I Fund are at discount rates but who the hell wants to be sitting in any of them when the market could drop 400+ in a second. :suspicious:

 

[350zCommTech]

I don't care what happens today I am going 100% G Fund for friday already did the IFT just in case of a mass traffic on the TSP site and it runs slow. Bad feeling on the F Fund and on the Market. F Fund could drop no matter what the reports are so I think either way it is a bad bet.

Any thoughts on this Z - :suspicious:

I know we got burned with inflation 2 weeks back but the F Fund came right back the next day so Monday 3/17/08 before the Fed breaks the news we could see a big move to the F Fund on fear the Fed may not cut .75+ I think they shouldn't cut the rates and what a shocker it would be but we just saw what 200 billion did it created more fear, speculation and now no one knows what the hell to do. It's a gamble monday but I like those odds better than friday. I know the C, S, & I Fund are at discount rates but who the hell wants to be sitting in any of them when the market could drop 400+ in a second. :suspicious:

Yup, I agree. Go to G for Friday and then back to F fun for Monday. I would not be surprise if somebody blows up over the weekend.

 

[Silverbird]

How about this for a signature:

"because there's a definition for the 'R' word, and we haven't reached the definition" - Bush 3/12/08

[the formal definition is 6 months of a downturn so I'll be out of here]. "We support a strong dollar." [with lots of debt]. "We'll have a budget surplus in 2014." [because all of the tax breaks will stop in 2011, we don't adjust the AMT, and we only pay interest on our borrowing and the Chinese will keep holding and buying our new debt.]

 

[Braveheart]

Yup, I agree. Go to G for Friday and then back to F fun for Monday. I would not be surprise if somebody blows up over the weekend.

THX Z - Just wanted your thoughts on this. If you notice already with the market down 200+ the F Fund is lagging today. It's up about 2 cents compare that to yesterday the F Fund up 10 cents and that was when the Market was positive but there was a lot of fear. So many fled to the F Fund now today it's the opposite.

Good Luck -

 

[350zCommTech]

S&P just said writedowns could reach $285B but that the end of writedowns is "now in sight" for large institutions.

Sparking a rally. This is BS market pumping by a crook. Their unwillingness to downgrade the bond insurers is criminal.

 

[Silverbird]

S&P just said writedowns could reach $285B but that the end of writedowns is "now in sight" for large institutions.

That's garbage. There's another surge of ARMs due to break that will need a reset over the next few months, reaching a peak in June. End of the writedowns is only true if you "hold all other factors constant." Never liked hearing that during Macroeconomics cause those darn factors never stay constant.

 

[Braveheart]

S&P just said writedowns could reach $285B but that the end of writedowns is "now in sight" for large institutions.

Sparking a rally. This is BS market pumping by a crook. Their unwillingness to downgrade the bond insurers is criminal.

Geez why didn't the Fed just give them $285B and all would right with the world. What a joke !!!!!!!

 

[12%ayear]

S&P just said writedowns could reach $285B but that the end of writedowns is "now in sight" for large institutions.

Sparking a rally. This is BS market pumping by a crook. Their unwillingness to downgrade the bond insurers is criminal.

fluff news...watch the market resume the sell-off. That news was just a hiccup for today. I like the S Fund for tomorrow.

 

[Asylum]

Has cutting rates been at all effective so far this fall/winter?

It seems the fed cutes rates, the dollar falls, inflation fears rise, stocks fall and long-term rates go up.

Would this be "stagflation?"

 

[350zCommTech]

I like the S Fund for tomorrow.

I think it's too much of a gamble. Best of luck.

The PPI was up big on the 26th. If the CPI follows the PPI, like it normally does, then the CPI should be hot.

Here is how I see Friday:

CPI = a little bit lower than expected = market rallies = F fund down.

CPI = higher than expected = market tanks = F fund down a little due to inflation.

So for Friday, IMO, the market will be a big gamble and the F fund might not be a good idea.

Btw, here is what the ORDS and Japanese are doing: View attachment 3531

 

[Birchtree]

Many of the resetting ARMs are indexed to the Libor which is at 2.85 percent.

 

[Braveheart]

I think they just did us a favor because they can't stop the market from falling and now when investors see that news and the market drop after a rally they will come right over to the F Fund. Now the F Fund will move today because people know they are all full of sh1t. Market will finish down 180+ today and there will be a huge sell off at 12:30 PM EST. That is my prediction for the day LMAO !!!!!

 

[poolman]

S&P just said writedowns could reach $285B but that the end of writedowns is "now in sight" for large institutions.

Sparking a rally. This is BS market pumping by a crook. Their unwillingness to downgrade the bond insurers is criminal.

Institutions are doing and saying whatever they can to Help Themselves. Hype the market, Then Dump...

Middle Class people are feeling the effects of the Economy. Fuel, Food, Housing, Market's at Lowe's again, Portfolio Losses.. What is going to happen ?

I should be at Work consistently by now.. Guess What, No Work today.

 

[350zCommTech]

Has cutting rates been at all effective so far this fall/winter?

It seems the fed cutes rates, the dollar falls, inflation fears rise, stocks fall and long-term rates go up.

Would this be "stagflation?"

Yeah, but can you imaging if they do the right thing and not cut on the 18th?

Hank Paulson echoed the party line again saying he is supportive of a strong dollar. Well, holding the rates would be the best way to strengthen the dollar and cause oil to tank. But we know that Hank, the president, and the Feds are all full of chit. They will cut on the 18th.

Regular is now at $3.40/gallon and is probably headed to $4.00/gallon soon.

 

[12%ayear]

Institutions are doing and saying whatever they can to Help Themselves. Hype the market, Then Dump...

Middle Class people are feeling the effects of the Economy. Fuel, Food, Housing, Market's at Lowe's again, Portfolio Losses.. What is going to happen ?

I should be at Work consistently by now.. Guess What, No Work today.

Do you do poolwork as a side job or fulltime?? With this economy, luxuries will be at the back of the line. I hope it picks up for you.

 

[Braveheart]

Actually the FED gave them$400B because back in November it was estimated that $3T in writedowns would be seen...and $400B would be needed to cover. I re-posted that article earlier today.

So they got $400Band somehow in 4 months they recovered enough for the $3T in writedowns. LMAO !!!!

 

[poolman]

Do you do poolwork as a side job or fulltime?? With this economy, luxuries will be at the back of the line. I hope it picks up for you.

Full Time. 1900 Hour's/Year. I'm off 10 weeks in the Winter and very busy for the remaining 42 weeks. Our Reputation is the best around this area.
Pool's are a luxury and I have not had or seen this lack of work in the last 8 Years. It is a very weird feeling. Nice day today to boot, Mid 60's for the High.

 

[350zCommTech]

Boxholder,

Just saw your move to the I fund.

Please explain yourself.

 

[Boxholder]

Boxholder,

Just saw your move to the I fund.

Please explain yourself.

Way too much doom and gloom. I'm contrarian by nature and usually when things look the worst, the market fools them. This play is a huge risk that I would not expect others to follow, but I'm not looking for the US $ to rise in the next 2 days. I really don't think our markets are going to veer too much from sideways before the rate cut date, but if we tank today the possible -FV would be favorable for me. And given the overseas markets losses, I would expect a little jump tonight. I would also think our market would spring from any possible news that is not bad, such as tomorrow's numbers. Maybe not the smartest ploy to most, but I didn't get where I am today following the crowd.

 

[Show-me]

I'm at home today with a sick wife, bronchitis. If you have it, look at the double top on a intra day 5 minute chart. Perfect set up for a mighty fall tomorrow.

Looks like we could get scalped on the F today. Easy come, easy go.