350zCommtech's Account Talk

sounds to me like China is hinting that Glass-Steagall should be reinstituted. Good idea!

No doubt, but the horse has already left the barn. And our politician are still playing "lets protect our Wall st./banker friends. Allowing these criminals to go bankrupt is not an option yet.
 
Fear of the 10 year auction kicked everything in the teeth. Didn't see that the coming.

Bid to cover was 2.21.

biz-woman-thumbs-down.jpg
 
huh? did i miss something?

When you are holding derivatives that have a face value many times more then your assets and the derivatives instruments are essentially worthless because there is no market for them =

Screwed_-_2.jpg


Moral of this story: Leverage does not work to swell in reverse.
 
I believe that 90% of the mortgage backed securities on the bank's books are performing - that leaves the other 10% causing the problems. We are way to negative.
 
Problem is 60% of those 90% mortgages that are being serviced are underwater.

The home ATM is closed, home equity lines of credits are being shut down and people have a negative savings rate.

This is bleeding over to car loans and credit card defaults.

We are way to not unaware what is really going on.
 
I believe that 90% of the mortgage backed securities on the bank's books are performing - that leaves the other 10% causing the problems. We are way to negative.

Yes, but when you're leveraged 40:1, that 10% problem really puts the screw in you.

When you are holding derivatives that have a face value many times more then your assets and the derivatives instruments are essentially worthless because there is no market for them =

Screwed_-_2.jpg


Moral of this story: Leverage does not work to swell in reverse.
 
Just because a mortgage is under water does not mean the mortgage payment will not be paid. Most sensible people realize that a home as an asset class will fluctuate in price just like a stock portfolio - it's not a reason to cut and run. I wouldn't want to ruin my credit ratings by setting up for a default or foreclosure - but perhaps those good at risk folks shouldn't be homeowners. There is nothing wrong with relocating back to government subsidized housing.
 
Just because a mortgage is under water does not mean the mortgage payment will not be paid. Most sensible people realize that a home as an asset class will fluctuate in price just like a stock portfolio - it's not a reason to cut and run. I wouldn't want to ruin my credit ratings by setting up for a default or foreclosure - but perhaps those good at risk folks shouldn't be homeowners. There is nothing wrong with relocating back to government subsidized housing.

Anyone losing a job (and there are many) may not be able to make payment, and even people who CAN make the payment may have to relocate and if they are underwater, that sucks bigtime.
 
Just because a mortgage is under water does not mean the mortgage payment will not be paid. Most sensible people realize that a home as an asset class will fluctuate in price just like a stock portfolio - it's not a reason to cut and run. I wouldn't want to ruin my credit ratings by setting up for a default or foreclosure - but perhaps those good at risk folks shouldn't be homeowners. There is nothing wrong with relocating back to government subsidized housing.

Birch I'm telling you the residential and commercial real estate market is set for the next huge wave down, they cannot stop this. They are to little to late. Credit ratings get shuffled to the back of the priority list when you are 200k upside down.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123431311043370779.html

Many major Banks hold 50-60% of their portfolios in commercial and residential real estate. What do yo think is going to happen? Many of these banks are on the verge of collapse world wide. All these talking heads couldn't figure out we were in a ressesion for how long? This is a real depression coming imo.


PS...and the stimulus, TARP, etc etc ect is complete crap. The only thing that could save some of these banks is their Synthetic CDO Madoff like scam.
 
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Birch I'm telling you the residential and commercial real estate market is set for the next huge wave down, they cannot stop this. They are to little to late. Credit ratings get shuffled to the back of the priority list when you are 200k upside down.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123431311043370779.html

Many major Banks hold 50-60% of their portfolios in commercial and residential real estate. What do yo think is going to happen? Many of these banks are on the verge of collapse world wide.

At 40:1 leverage, these banks utimately were sold $100,000 1 room condos for $4,000,000
 
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