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350zCommtech's Account Talk
- Thread starter 350zCommTech
- Start date
felixthecat
Member
Someone let the grim reaper in
. Keep your heads down during the last 5 minutes. Someone could get hurt. 
350zCommTech
Well-known member
Looks like a bearish close to me. NDX closed below the 50 but still in the triangle is the only caution for bears.
Lets see what sticksave they can pull out of their ass Sunday night/monday morning.
Silverbird
Well-known member
Japan is not having a good night...well if the news I'm getting on their tech companies is any sign, they are hurting big time. Layoffs in Japan!!!:blink: Check NEC and Sony and a couple other of the big players in the financial or tech news.
350zCommTech
Well-known member
You must be looking at last night's numbers, since it's Saturday in Japan right now.
ATCJeff
Well-known member
You must be looking at last night's numbers, since it's Saturday in Japan right now.
Dang nothing gets by you!
Frixxxx
Moderator
I really think the only way they can is if Geithner looks under a rock and finds 2 trillion dollars in the White House lawn.
Barring that->Down,,Down,,Down
350zCommTech
Well-known member
350zCommTech
Well-known member
TNX RSI hasn't been near 90 since July 07. I'm just looking for a short term pop in the F fund.
It's been bleeding down and trying my patience. Bonds don't seem to have snap back rallies like stocks. The AGG reached strong support today so I'd say it needs to bounce here and now or I will have to stop the bleeding. (Would that be a great overly bearish buy signal or what?
)
350zCommTech
Well-known member
It's been bleeding down and trying my patience. Bonds don't seem to have snap back rallies like stocks. The AGG reached strong support today so I'd say it needs to bounce here and now or I will have to stop the bleeding. (Would that be a great overly bearish buy signal or what?
Capitulation out of the F fund? Yeah, I've done that.
But seriously, bond yields are due to drop back and at least test the 20dma before moving higher again.
ATCJeff
Well-known member
I'm also in the same boat. Hoping for a quick rally in bond prices. Though the prefect storm would be to have bond yields move down to the 20dma and the S&P fall to 800 level. I do not want to waste a move into the G. I need to move from the F into stocks. However, right now I just don't see a move from F into stocks. This month may become a bad month for me.
Corepuncher
Well-known member
I would think F fund will have good gains when the next stock down leg forms. Not sure if bonds selling off is just a "fad" (short bonds as seen on TV) or if it will accelerate. Looking at a chart of AGG...I would beware of a possible red waterfall forming! If I had to guess, I would say we bounce in F but it would be pure guesswork.
350zCommTech
Well-known member
Yeah, I'm willing to sit in the F for the whole month. Monday should be fun.
350zCommTech
Well-known member
It's no fad. It's real. Foreigners are buying less treasuries these days. It also doesn't help when the .gov is bailing out everybody in sight and coming out with BS stimulus bills. Too much supply.
Bond yields are on an uptrend. F fund is on a down trend. Severe recession with high interest rates is coming.
I'm just looking to catch a bounce during the next two weeks and then maybe make a percent or two in stocks before heading back to G.
Boghie
Well-known member
Swans are A'Circling
350z,
I value your advice.
I think TSP options - in this era - might be the worst ones that could be devised. I think your F Fund analysis is correct, but how fast can a short/mid-term laddered bond fund collapse?
Is the 'G Fund' the place to be with increasing interest rates and a strong potential for inflation at the same time? To my review, it doesn't look like it will do anything possitive in either inflation or rising interest rates. Yuk. And, 'The One' can borrow from it to fund the Porkulous Bill being tipped down the hill.
In the C and S and I Funds I hear the sound of a Black Swan in the past and another in the future. Maybe the same one. Maybe new and improved.
350z,I value your advice.
I think TSP options - in this era - might be the worst ones that could be devised. I think your F Fund analysis is correct, but how fast can a short/mid-term laddered bond fund collapse?
Is the 'G Fund' the place to be with increasing interest rates and a strong potential for inflation at the same time? To my review, it doesn't look like it will do anything possitive in either inflation or rising interest rates. Yuk. And, 'The One' can borrow from it to fund the Porkulous Bill being tipped down the hill.
In the C and S and I Funds I hear the sound of a Black Swan in the past and another in the future. Maybe the same one. Maybe new and improved.
350zCommTech
Well-known member
Sounds like TurboTax Timmy's plan might be a dud. The "bad bank" idea was probably never real. It was probably just thrown out there to sticksave the market.
The F fund might have lost a penny today. I still think it's close to a temporary bottom, if not there already.
