Whipsaw's Account Talk

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Yup Greece and the EU is a very slippery situation. Hopefully no one will turn the burner up too high. :smile:
 
Climbing the wall of worry? Keep grinding higher, works for me :) Lets go positive by the close!
 
"Are you ready to order, sir?"

"Oh, yes, I'll take UP, Market fresh, please..." :D

I'm going to have to rebalance going into March if this keeps up! ;)
 
I was somewhat concerned about this morning's dip, appears to be climbing out... a little more conviction, please! :suspicious:

Have a great weekend everyone! :D
 
Just remember that bear market rallies are sharp, quick, loud, big, noisy, make you feel good, get people talking about them. They suck you in and then bury you soon after. But what should we do right now? Party on, of course.
 
Birchtree said:
Just remember that bear market rallies are sharp, quick, loud, big, noisy, make you feel good, get people talking about them. They suck you in and then bury you soon after. But what should we do right now? Party on, of course.
Click to expand...

Birch, the perma-bull, points out we are in a bear market! Who knew? Well, he could be right... apparently the SPX is just breaking even after 15 years, adjusted for inflation. A secular bear sideways movement... so what do we do? Subscribe to their newsletter, of course! :D

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article49518.html
 
Whipsaw said:
Birch, the perma-bull, points out we are in a bear market! Who knew? Well, he could be right... apparently the SPX is just breaking even after 15 years, adjusted for inflation. A secular bear sideways movement... so what do we do? Subscribe to their newsletter, of course! :Dhttp://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article49518.html
Click to expand...
I think BT was referring to the I Fund still being in a bear market. I don't think he would consider the U.S. market to be a bear.
 
Cactus said:
I think BT was referring to the I Fund still being in a bear market. I don't think he would consider the U.S. market to be a bear.
Click to expand...

OK Folks, is it a bear or a bull market for the US? BT? Anyone? Beuller? :D

Looks like we may climb out of this morning's dip by the close... :)
 
Yes, it's a very slow melt up the will hopefully keep going and gain momentum by the end of the day. Kind of like watching paint dry but in a good way. :smile:
 
DBA put these up for me in January, isn't she a peach! ;) Now, if I can only get some of that charting analysis going on... hmmm... S-Fund does look a little toppy... Lower bollinger band moving right and getting further away from the fund value... all the squiggly lines at the bottom are up pretty high too... Hmmmm... Somebody help me out over here =:-o

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Hi Whipsaw, Happy New Year you to you too!! Here are all the charts...just for you!! :D Yep...they were last posted back in September. Had to really dig!

TSP Daily and Weekly charts.

Here are charts links ... Have posted these in the past and they are current. See notes at very bottom for notes on these charts.
Best wishes on executing your strategies! DBAnnie :)

S fund -tracks DWCPF index -Daily (last 6 months)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XX:DWCPF Advanced Chart - (DJW) XX:DWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com


C fund - tracks SPX index-Daily (last 6 months)
S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com


I fund -tracks EFA index-Daily (last 6 months)
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF, EFA Advanced Chart - (NAR) EFA, iShares MSCI EAFE ETF Stock Price - BigCharts.com


F Fund - tracks AGG index-Daily (last 6 months)
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF, AGG Advanced Chart - (NAR) AGG, iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF Stock Price - BigCharts.com



WEEKLY charts.
These have "weekly" EMA 10, 20, 50 plus BBs, MACD, and The Stochastics (slow and fast). I really like the Slow Stochastic just on weekly charts as good indicator on what may happen in the coming week for just the S and C funds.

S fund -tracks DWCPF index--- Weekly EMA (last 2 months)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XX:DWCPF Advanced Chart - (DJW) XX:DWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

C fund - tracks SPX index--- Weekly EMA (last 2 months)
S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com


I fund -tracks EFA index--- Weekly EMA (last 2 months)
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF, EFA Advanced Chart - (NAR) EFA, iShares MSCI EAFE ETF Stock Price - BigCharts.com


F Fund - tracks AGG index--- Weekly EMA (last 2 months)
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF, AGG Advanced Chart - (NAR) AGG, iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF Stock Price - BigCharts.com


NOTES: The DAILY charts are set to show Exponential moving Average (EMA) for 10, 20, 50 day averages, plus Bollinger Bands (BB) and MACD plus slow and fast Stochastics.

I keep these links on separate bookmarks so I can get to the latest information quickly. If one pulls each one up, bookmarks it, one can then just click that link to pull up each chart showing the most current data, each day. These links to Bigcharts.com update automatically so you always have the latest info without having to create them anew each day.

I also use these links to checkout the intraday market results. I reset timeframes (left of the linked screen on DAILY charts) and set to a two-day with 5 minute, or 15 minute or hourly increments. You can reset timeframes to what you want, going back a year p, several years, a decade, etc.

I will try to repost these charts/links more frequently. Once you bookmark each link, you have the same information that automatically updates when you open it. If you have a question about these charts, you can PM me. These are just nice to access if working remotely and cannot access your permanent links. Nothing here should be considered as financial or market advice.. Strictly all informational.
 
Yesterday was a continuation of the rollercoaster ride we had last week. Friday was just a news driven bump in that road. I expect it to be like that this week also -- finishing flat. Hey, it's consolidation giving us some more wiggle room up to the top Bollinger band.

I think the days to watch are next Mon & Tue. Monday is going to give us a start-of-month effect (up/down ?) followed by a Tuesday quick reversal. Question is which day is the fake out. My 2 cents -- they're all I have left. :D
 
The board is pretty quiet today, with Yellen yellin, and all. The tracker is showing a preponderance of folks moving into equities...
 
Hi Whipsaw,

I am now using EMA of 2,3,10 on all my charts since I like short term trades.

ON the daily chart (which needs to be changed to 2,3,10 EMA) I like to see price action within the upward channel and within the 2-3 day Exponential Moving Average. Once it drops out of that channel or touches the 10 day to me that is a warning to get out. I also heavily consider the MACD on the daily chart. If it crosses below its signal line to me that is an immediate required exit. Thing is to anticipate that drop correctly... the tough part. I look at the slope of MACD as well but again, if you get in on a buy early you can stand more risk to exit on a down day and still be ahead for that buy.

Today I did let it ride... looks like doing good on SPX but not so good on DWCPF. Still definitely in gain territory based on when I bought in. But will consider a sell tomorrow as well... in fact considering it day by day now as the upward trend is getting a little old... past 15 days from bottom to top so far... it can go much longer but typically that is not the case but have seen it go out past 30 days (ex November). I see some people buying and it likely continues upward in the long term as we are in bull market. But I would think a pull back is in order sometime soon....maybe not huge as Bolllingers are slightly expanding and price is rising steadily soooooooo...... Its anyone's guess as usual, but as the BBs get wider it gives more possibility of larger price swings and volatility. I really am deciding day by day. I do want to purchase some "I" but I would like to see it pull back slightly before I do.

I may try to post the latest version of charting parameters I am using this evening, along with new chart links. I like SS on the Weekly and MACD on the daily along with the 2,3,10 EMA. I really want to lock in some gains this week...maybe sell some S fund. Had a rough start in January and I finally have dug out of the hole.

Best Wishes to you and Everyone!! :smile:

P.S> Also, before even looking at the daily chart, I like to look at the weekly chart (with a 1 or 2 year weekly timeframe) and confirm that the action has Slow Stochastic above its signal line. If not, then I would definitely not enter. If it is going below the signal line I would seriously consider exiting if you are in ---unless you think you stayed in so long that you believe you have hit bottom. Right now all equities are above the SS signal line. So now analyzing dailies.
 
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Here we are at the end of the month, currently invested and wanting to hold through the first for that extra trade. Looks like its trying to climb out of the small dip this morning. The herd is bullish (thanks Sensei), is that a contrarian indicator? Also agree with the comments on what looks like topping formations. Hmmmm... have another hour to mull over what to do next.
 
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