Whipsaw's Account Talk

Sort by newest Sort by date
To be quite honest, I don't remember seeing it do that. It is definitely embedded below 20. That us unsettling. I am going to check 2008.
Whipsaw said:
DBA, have you ever seen the Stochiastics flat line? Check out the S fund...
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XX:DWCPF Advanced Chart - (DJW) XX:DWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com
Click to expand...

Here is 2008-2009 - Yes see some of that embedding below 20 in June/July 2008 as market was heading down, October 2008 during the big drop but there were a couple bounces, and then during a second dip in Feb/March 2009 before it started to recover without going back to those lows.
s fund 2008-2009.jpg
 
WS: Also notice that price got below 200 EMA in June 2008 just before the start of the major movement down. The market really stinks right now due to so many things including China tariff issues and interest rates, but it showed some sign of promise earlier this morning.

I just don't know......I really do not wish to give anyone the idea they should exit if already in market only because I made the mistake of exiting a few times earlier this year only to see it recover. Obviously it does not mean it will do it this time... then again I just don't know.... Wishing you the very best!

Here is a permalink to this... will leave it for a week or so. So you can see it more clearly then the image in my last post.
$DWCPF | SharpChart | StockCharts.com
 
Last edited:
Thanks DBA; listening to some of the talking heads on CNBC and others, consensus is to buy the dip. So that said, I moved my other investment account into the growth portfolio out of capital preservation, and holding steady on TSP. All I can say right now is... Futures are UP! :cool:
 
whewwww... So glad to see buyers stepping in this morning. I am thinking to buy in ..not sure how much. No idea if we see dead cat bounce to then drop lower for better buyin price. Just thinking about reserving some powder. But its early in day....watching to see how market looks right before noon. That does appear like you made a good move to buy into growth portfolio. :smile: Best wishes to you and everyone!!!!!! :smile:
Whipsaw said:
Thanks DBA; listening to some of the talking heads on CNBC and others, consensus is to buy the dip. So that said, I moved my other investment account into the growth portfolio out of capital preservation, and holding steady on TSP. All I can say right now is... Futures are UP! :cool:
Click to expand...
 
Futures are up! :D For what its worth... :-/ Rode the beast down, now to figure out if we're bottoming or otherwise. I'm thinking along the lines of CH, market manipulation for political ends... the timing is very suspicious to me. So, may be an approach to get out on an up day and look for a good down day to try a few swing trades to dig out of this hole I'm in. Been on the road this week so didn't get to stay tuned in, the talking heads were, and I think still are, bullish with the underlying economy and that we will continue to recover, volatility not withstanding. :notrust:
 
This morning Charles Payne said that today's rise should extend into next week and I think if we do well next week we could really rise through to the end of the month. I do agree the political & global environment is pretty significant. Have a good weekend! :smile:
 
HI WS, I am debating exit out of S fund (in it 40%). Might stay in C fund (20%). Just don't know. Looks like it is forming an inside day type candle and that is somewhat neutral---but the S fund candle (intraday) is rather small in comparison to yesterday's large red candle. So that is a bit bearish. An inside candle is neutral but supposed to also look at volume and the size of the candle in comparison to the prior day. But.... while I like to look at the wick or tail to try to figure out market psychology and direction. Sometimes that works and sometimes it doesn't. :( As for next week, no idea what the future holds.... Eventually we will go up … the question is when. Also, are we going to move down further to test support before we go up and how long will it take???? hum.... but what I am noticing is that the yield on 10-yr Treasury note (TNX) has upward moment (intraday) and has risen a bit today... and that has not been good for equities as of late. but...Yesterday it had a down day... but equities dropped... go figure! :worried:


Best wishes to you! :)
 
Last edited:
Decision made ...I am exiting 100%. There! Now the market can go up all it wants! :blink
Can't take it no more! :smile: I did study charts and tried to not be emotional... I see candles struggling and upper wicks (buyers) getting stepped over by bears. S fund is not up much now .21% gain. I guess I am just seeing weakness. But who knows maybe it opens it up for strength next week????? I dunno…:dunno:. I am out! I will take what little I got and find the exit door.

Hope you and everyone has a great weekend and Best wishes on your investments!!!! :) See you in November.
 
Discretion is the better part of valor? Maybe... IFT to G COB. Suspect a test of the lows for a jump back in next week. Or buy higher :suspicious:
 
Always tough to lock in a loss, but I have seen you dig out before and have every confidence you will do it again. Hang in there. Things will get better.
It's Friday and my clock says it's beerthirty....:beerchug:
 
You have to check out Asian markets (not just charts but economic reports) to get the full picture but the potential for strong downside is getting higher...
 
Futures are off big, stayed at the fair too long, but still left before the worst of it... =:-o
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

TommyIV
  • Article Article
TSP Talk Market Wrap Up and Allocation Trends
Replies
1
Views
311
JTH
JTH
tsptalk
June 2025 AutoTracker Winners!
Replies
2
Views
274
TommyIV
TommyIV
TommyIV
  • Article Article
TSP Talk AutoTracker Insights: The Week of the FOMC Sell-Off
Replies
0
Views
523
TommyIV
TommyIV
tsptalk
May 2025 AutoTracker Winners!
Replies
1
Views
471
nasa1974
nasa1974
tsptalk
April 2025 AutoTracker Winners!
Replies
3
Views
535
rangerray
rangerray
Back
Top