What are the top 5-8 worst weeks each year, last ten years, S fund?

[rktect1]

I am not good at tracking this stuff so I was wondering if anybody was paying it any attention.

The S Fund is averaging 9.44% for the past ten years. I honestly think that is a good rate of return. The thought on this board is "friends don't let friends buy and hold."

OK, so how about we look at the past ten years on a weekly basis. What are those 5-8 weeks each year, that if we used our two IFT's per month, to move out of the market and into the G fund that moves us upwards of the average 9.44%? Or even instead of a single week, a back to back two week period, but really no more than 8 times being in the G fund. Is there such a thing? I am really just talking about the laws of averages here.

 

[Skorcher]

You're doing well the past four years - probably better than any of the seasonality moves like sell in May and go away until October. I don't know about weekly statistics but on a monthly basis September is the worst month (the only month with a median negative return over the last 50 years). You can get all sorts of seasonal stats at Stock Trader's Almanac
or check out these prior posts:
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.p...8&postcount=37

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.p...&postcount=890

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.p...&postcount=141

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.p...05&postcount=6

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.p...postcount=2102

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.p...postcount=5595

 

[Kentucky]

The S Fund is averaging 9.44% for the past ten years. I honestly think that is a good rate of return. The thought on this board is "friends don't let friends buy and hold."

OK, so how about we look at the past ten years on a weekly basis. What are those 5-8 weeks each year, that if we used our two IFT's per month, to move out of the market and into the G fund that moves us upwards of the average 9.44%? Or even instead of a single week, a back to back two week period, but really no more than 8 times being in the G fund. Is there such a thing? I am really just talking about the laws of averages here.

Wouldn't it be great to have an average 9.4% return? It seems like those days are history. Last year my TSP had a 4.5% return, and of course I was disappointed. I just looked this morning, and as of Friday, I am now showing a negative return for 2015.

Kinda depressing, huh? If anyone has recommendations, please let me know. These last few months (year?) seems to be so strange. Good economic news - the stock market drops. Bad economic news - the stock market drops. Andy one with any ideas?