Weekly Sentiment Update

After Friday's big short squeeze it will be interesting to see what Monday brings. Lots of buy signals being triggered, but bearishness persists. I can understand being bearish, but not shorting into a market that's bent on moving higher.

Let's take a look at how we're collectively positioned going into the new week.

2010 Fund Allocation ~ Top 50 Chart 3.jpg
2010 Cash-Stock Exp ~ Top 50 Chart 1.jpg

The Top 50 had a big shift into stocks last week. A big move. We haven't seen that much stock exposure in a month. Bond allocations are way down and the S fund is heavily favored.

Complete Tracker Fund Allocation.jpg
Total Tracker.jpg

Interestingly, the Total Tracker charts show little movement, although there is a modest up-tick in stock exposure. The volatility and pervasive bad news environment seems to be keeping many of us on the sidelines.

Total Cash-Stock Exp ~ Top 15 Chart 1.jpg

The Top 15, which is comprised of TSP traders who did well over the two year period of 2007-2008, are flipping back and forth. You can't see it on these charts, but there's more movement than is apparent. Often, one trader will go 100% stocks on the same day another will go all cash. When that happens the charts don't change. And I've seen it happen a few times in the past few weeks. But overall, they've been selling into this rally as cash levels have been rising.
 
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